Tue, Oct 22, 2019
Welcome Guest
Free Trial RSS
Get FREE trial access to our award winning publications
Industry Updates

Alternative investment industry foresees lower fee model & contraction of hedge fund firms over next few years

Monday, February 27, 2017
Opalesque Industry Update - Given the hedge fund industry's lackluster performance in 2016 and the significant amount of hedge fund firms that closed their doors, many institutional investors have been revisiting their allocations to hedge funds. As many investors question whether actively managed investments are worth the management costs associated with them, there has been some rejiggering taking place as some institutions have begun shifting their allocations away from actively managed investments in favor of passive investments such as ETFs. Yet, as the U.S. economy continues its recovery and a new presidential administration promises a more pro-business approach that could benefit a historically cyclical industry, now may not be the best time for institutions to pull their support from hedge funds.

To see how the alternative investment community believes the hedge fund industry is poised to perform over the next few years, The New York Hedge Fund Roundtable recently surveyed its membership about the topic.

The state of the hedge fund industry was the subject of one of the Roundtable's most recent events, where Mark Yusko, the founder, CEO and CIO of Morgan Creek Capital Management discussed his thoughts on several of the issues of most concern to the industry at the moment. "The death of active management has been greatly exaggerated. Four times in my career hedge funds have 'died,' active management has died and value investing has died," said Yusko, noting that the industry was first declared 'dead' when it had $300 billion in assets under management, then again at the $600 billion mark, then at the $1.2 trillion mark and now at the $3 trillion mark. While Yusko believes the industry will continue to grow, he is concerned with the current shift toward passively managed investments. "Twenty years ago you couldn't measure the percentage of passive money as a percent – it was sub-1%, but today it is 40%," said Yusko. "And the most egregious of it is this thing called smart beta, which is an oxymoron because it just doesn't exist. Smart beta is great marketing, but it is not a real thing," he said.

Roundtable members believe that assets under management within the hedge fund industry will continue to grow. At the same time, however, Roundtable members believe there will be additional consolidation within the industry and that investor pressure will push fees away from the current 2 and 20 standard, to a 1 and 20 structure. "The performance of hedge funds is being criticized by those who compare performance against index and long only investment products. Hedge funds, however, were never designed to compete with long-only products. As risk mitigation and capital preservation vehicles their value is most realized when there are adverse market conditions. So in a way they can be compared to insurance," said Timothy P. Selby, Chairman of the New York Hedge Fund Roundtable. "No one likes to pay for insurance, but when disaster hits the insured consider their policies one of the best investments ever made."

New York Hedge Fund Roundtable members had the opportunity to weigh in on the state of the industry at one of the Roundtable's most recent events, as well as through an online electronic poll.

*Of the respondents to this survey, 32% were fund managers; 14% were allocators; 8% were risk management or trading; 39% were service providers; and 7% were other industry participants.

Following are some of the key findings of both surveys:

  • Asked what they believe will happen to fees within the hedge fund industry over the next three years, 80% of respondents said they believe fees will be lowered to a 1 and 20 structure; 11% think fees will continue inching up above the industry's current standard of 2 and 20; and 9% think fees will remain at 2 and 20.

  • Given the number of hedge fund firms that closed up shop in 2016, respondents were asked what they think the hedge fund landscape will look like in three years. 64% of respondents think there will be fewer hedge fund firms in business than there are now, while 36% think that there will be more hedge fund firms in business than there are today.

  • 71% of respondents think that assets under management within the hedge fund industry will be above $3 trillion three years from now, while 29% believe assets under management will fall below the $3 trillion mark.

  • When asked what they believe investor sentiment is towards active vs. passive investments, 66% of respondents think that, despite the fact that the majority of active manager underperformed last year, investors will stay the course and continue investing into actively managed investment such as hedge funds. 34% of respondents think that investors have lost confidence in actively managed investments and will begin moving more money into passive investments such as ETFs.

  • Asked if the new presidential administration is likely to achieve the trifecta it is aiming for of regulatory relief, tax cuts and fiscal spending in 2017, 51% of respondents think it will never happen, while 49% believe that the Trump administration will achieve its goal.

  • When asked to rank the United States, Europe, Japan and Emerging Markets in the order that they believe they will perform in 2017, 57% of respondents believe that the U.S. will perform best, 29% think Emerging Markets will do best, 8% think Europe will perform best and only 6% think that Japan will do best. Conversely, 38% of respondents believe that the European market will be the worst performer in 2017, 33% think Japan will be worst and 29% think that Emerging Markets will be the weakest performers.

What do you think?

   Use "anonymous" as my name    |   Alert me via email on new comments   |   
Today's Exclusives Today's Other Voices More Exclusives
Previous Opalesque Exclusives                                  
More Other Voices
Previous Other Voices                                               
Access Alternative Market Briefing


  • Top Forwarded
  • Top Tracked
  • Top Searched
  1. These hedge funds do better. So why can't they raise more money?[more]

    From Institutional Investor: It's an enduring paradox: hedge funds run by women and minorities outperform their peers - but run less money. Evidence continues to mount that the money investors allocate to minority- and women-controlled hedge funds stands a better than even chance of outperformi

  2. Tech: Quantum computing may be closer than expected with 'game changer' discovery[more]

    From Inverse: While quantum computing has long been an exciting notion for scientists and the public alike, the realization of these technologists has long been on hold. But researchers from the Johns Hopkins University have discovered a material that might just fast-track the creation of these, unt

  3. PE/VC: Private-equity deals depress worker wages, study finds, Thoma Bravo to buy Sophos for $3.9bn, Unicorn valuations are fit to burst, warn investors[more]

    Private-equity deals depress worker wages, study finds From Market Watch: Private-equity deals result in worse pay for workers, and, depending on whether the buyout target was public or not, fewer jobs, according to a newly published study. The study of some 6,000 private-equity de

  4. Tech: When AI invests in AI[more]

    From Forbes: The title of this article might sound farfetched to many readers, but keen students of artificial intelligence (AI) know that this is no longer very far away. Since the advent of computers, capital markets have always been at the forefront of technology. Yes, that's right. You may be wo

  5. Institutional investors in Canada, U.S., and the U.K are warming to responsible investing, says a survey[more]

    Laxman Pai, Opalesque Asia: The use of environmental, social and governance (ESG) principles by institutional investors in Canada, the US, and the UK is rising according to a new survey. RBC Global Asset Management (RBC GAM)'s annual survey on responsible investing trends found that more