Monetary – Determined by US FOMC policy. Dovish, Neutral or Hawkish. Up to 10% long.
Fiscal – Determined by US Fiscal policy. Up to 10% long.
Timing – Long/Short off of wave count / Fibonacci projections. Short, neutral or long. 10% short, neutral or 10% long.
Based on Sea Change LT Indicator:
Global Equities: 30% long or 30% cash
US Small Caps: 10% long or 10% cash
Emerging Markets: 10% long or 10% cash
Technology: 0% - 10% long off of FAANG charts
Financials: 10% long or 10% cash off of XLF chart
Current Read:
Monetary Indicator: Long 10% DJ Industrials proxy
Fiscal Indicator: Long 10% Russell MidCap Growth proxy
Timing Long / Short Indicator: Short 10% NASDAQ 100
Global Equities – Long 30% Global Equities proxy
US Small Caps – Long 10% Russell 2000 proxy.
Emerg. Mkts – Long 10% MSCI Emerging Markets proxy
Technology – Long 10% FAANG proxy, cash 4% with combined NFLX and AMZN slices
Financials – Long 10% Financials proxy
Net 80% long exposure
Sea Change Opportunistic Indicator:
The current reading is 0.91. Waiting for next “buy” signal – which is further away this week than it was last. When it does give us a “buy” signal, the idea is to go “all in” with equity money.
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