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Alternative Market Briefing Weekly

Opalesque Roundup: Massive fundraises by Elliott and others signal confidence

Saturday, October 25, 2025

PRIVATE CREDIT STRESS SIGNALS BANKING CONCERNS

The private credit market is creating significant anxiety among investors following several high-profile defaults and banking exposures. The collapse of Tricolor, a subprime auto lender, and First Brands, an auto parts maker that borrowed through supply-chain finance, has triggered lawsuits from Western Alliance Bancorporation and Zions Bancorporation seeking to recover USD 160 million from California-based Cantor Group.

JP Morgan wrote off USD 170 million in Q3 due to the Tricolor bankruptcy, with CEO Jamie Dimon warning that "when you see one cockroach, there are probably more." Opalesque reported on rising concerns in private credit markets as exposures become more complex.

The IMF's Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva revealed that risks from non-bank lending "keep her awake at night," citing the USD 2.1 trillion private credit market's opacity and systemic spillover threats. According to the IMF, American and European banks have lent USD 4.5 trillion to private credit firms, hedge funds and other non-bank lenders. The IMF has warned of 'fragilities' in the rapidly growing private credit sector.

Federal Reserve researchers have warned that hedge funds' basis trades likely conceal approximately USD 1.4 trillion of Treasury holdings, exposing unseen leverage that could amplify market stress during periods of volatility.

MAJOR HEDGE FUND DEVELOPMENTS Elliott Management&......................

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