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Alternative Market Briefing

S&P 500 approaches 4 weeks of decline amid escalating trade tensions, government shutdown risk

Friday, March 14, 2025

Matthias Knab, Opalesque:

Linh Tran, Market Analyst at XS.com, has pointed out in a note that the S&P 500 index continued to record a 1.2% decline in the latest trading session, marking an extended losing streak. The primary reason for this decline stems from increased market sell-offs, driven by uncertainties surrounding the U.S.-Europe trade war and the risk of a partial U.S. government shutdown. These factors have placed significant pressure on investor sentiment, making them more cautious and prompting a shift away from the market.

U.S. President Donald Trump recently announced a 200% tariff on imported European wine and spirits. This move is seen as an escalation in the U.S.-EU trade war, raising concerns about a full-scale trade conflict. The EU immediately responded by considering retaliatory measures that could target U.S. technology and automotive products.

These developments not only heighten trade tensions but also directly impact the stock market, particularly in the consumer discretionary and technology sectors. Investors worry that if the trade war continues to escalate, corporate profits in these industries will suffer significantly, leading to even stronger selling pressure.

Additionally, the risk of a partial U.S. government shutdown is weighing on market sentiment. Currently, the temporary funding bill has yet to be approved by the U.S. Senate, increasing the likelihood that the government will have to shut down partially if no agreement is re......................

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