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Alternative Market Briefing

Private equity GPs are cautiously optimistic about 2025

Monday, February 03, 2025

Bailey McCann, Opalesque New York:

Private equity GPs are cautiously optimistic about their prospects for 2025 according to a new survey from Alix Partners and IPEM.

51% of GPs now expect a better global business environment in 2025, up from 44% at the start of 2024. However, just 38% of GPs see conditions improving in Europe this year, possibly reflecting a broader economic decoupling. US-based GPs who responded to the survey said they expected a pro-business stance from the incoming Trump administration, which could support deal activity over the next year. European GPs, however, were worried about the potential for external threats including trade wars and geopolitical uncertainty potentially limiting deal activity on the continent in 2025.

An overwhelming majority of GPs-85%-see this year as a good time for dealmaking and capital deployment, possibly assisted by improving valuations. Fewer GPs see high valuations as a risk in 2025, with most firms seeing an improvement in the attractive investment opportunities in the market.

A majority of GPs who responded to the survey expect fundraising to pick up. Opinions on the trading conditions vary depending on fund size. Smaller mid-market funds are more likely to say this will be a tough year for fundraising, possibly a result of increased competition from large funds which are more positive here.

Private debt, infrastructure, and real estate funds are more positive than other private capital strategies on th......................

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