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Alternative Market Briefing

Tokenization market to reach $30.1tn by 2034

Friday, June 28, 2024

Laxman Pai, Opalesque Asia:

Demand for tokenized assets could reach US$30.1 trillion by 2034, according to a report.

The report on tokenized real-world assets (RWA) focusing on trade finance published by Standard Chartered and Synpulse predicts that trade finance assets could become one of the top three tokenized assets globally, at 16% or $4.8 trillion. The segment will be amongst the top three classes of tokenized assets globally.

According to the paper, Real-World Asset Tokenisation: A Game Changer for Global Trade, global trade will reach $32.6 trillion globally by 2030 and this, "combined with growing industry digitization and the specific features of real-world trade finance assets, make it an ideal category to originate tokens".

The so-called trade finance gap is $2.5 trillion, representing slightly more than 10% of the global merchandise trade of $24 trillion in 2023.

However, the bank observes that only 80% of the export market is currently financed, so there could be another 10% undisclosed trade finance gap. In that case, the gap is closer to $5 trillion and growing, given global trade is forecast to reach $32.6 trillion by 2030.

As an investable asset class, trade finance is attractive. Default rates are typically a fraction of one percent. Even in default cases, the recovery rates are high - close to two-thirds or almost 100% where there's a guarantee.

Currently, the tokenized assets sector mainly comprises traditional assets like US trea......................

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