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Alternative Market Briefing

The Big Picture: We are going to witness something that no one alive has ever witnessed

Wednesday, March 03, 2021

B. G., Opalesque Geneva:

With the extraordinary pandemic-time capital flows, there's bound to be a shift in both economies and financial markets. So how does one prepare one's portfolio accordingly?

Dr. Patrick Welton

Dr. Patrick Welton, co-founder and CIO, and Basil Williams, CEO of Welton Investment Partners, a quantitative hedge fund manager based in the U.S., offer their macro views on the stimuli, inflation risks, bubble bursts, and what makes for a resilient portfolio.

They believe that, following the extraordinary measures taken by governments and central banks in 2020, we are now seeing a second wave of this phenomenon and are about to witness what no one alive has ever witnessed.

The risks linked to investing in equities and credit instruments will be challenged again either through an economic downturn or an out-of-control inflation environment. But we ignore inflation risks for now as they are not a priority.

It is difficult to predict a bubble, they say, but there are bubbles in valuation. The bubble, if there is to be one, will burst through a big shift in confidence when people decide to price their asset risks.

To make a portfolio resilient, they believe strategies that not only consider equities and fixed incom......................

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