Mon, Jul 20, 2026
A A A
Welcome Guest
Free Trial RSS pod
Get FREE trial access to our award winning publications
Alternative Market Briefing

Are large US cities are financially strong enough to weather a recession?

Friday, December 13, 2019

Laxman Pai, Opalesque Asia:

The credit rating agency Moody's Investors Service said that most of the largest 25 US cities would be able to weather a recession of similar severity as the 2008-09 downturn without a material adverse credit impact.

The rating agency's analysis shows that 17 of the 25 cities are moderately prepared for a recession, while six cities are stronger and two of the group are weaker.

Moody's looked at four factors to determine a city's preparedness for recession: fiscal volatility, reserve coverage, financial flexibility, and pension risk. Its analysis shows that Boston, Charlotte, Denver, San Antonio, San Francisco, and Seattle scored "stronger," while Chicago and Detroit scored "weaker."

"A majority of local governments have used the broad economic expansion of the past decade to strengthen their finances," says Nicole Serrano, a Moody's VP-Senior Analyst. "Additionally, they have been able to keep their debt and related fixed costs in check."

In terms of fiscal volatility, the rating agency found that most of the largest 25 US cities would not experience a sudden, unexpected drop in revenue of more than 5% in a future downturn, given these cities' last recession experience.

Between 2007 and 2011, the median largest one-year revenue decline was 2.7%, with five of the cities seeing no decline.

Moody's analysis also shows that most of the largest 25 cities have built solid reserves over the past 10 years, wit......................

To view our full article Click here

Previous Opalesque Exclusives                                  
Previous Other Voices                                               
Access Alternative Market Briefing

 



  • Top Forwarded
  • Top Tracked
  • Top Searched
  1. Other Voices: Nvidia extraordinary growth and the challenge of sustaining demanding valuations over time[more]

    Antonio Di Giacomo, Senior Market Analyst at XS.com, writes: Nvidia has established itself as one of the most extraordinary growth companies in the global technology sector. Over the past two fiscal years, its revenues have risen from levels close to $60 billion annually to well above $120 billi

  2. Secondaries take center stage: What the 2026 PE landscape means for GPs and investors[more]

    Matthias Knab, Opalesque for New Managers: The 2026 edition of Dechert's Global Private Equity Outlook - "Signs of a Gradual Thaw" - marks a notable shift in industry sentiment. After years of compr

  3. And, finally: Time to share it with the people[more]

    From Newsoftheweird: Leavenworth, Washington, has become a tourist destination because of the Bavarian theme businesses have adopted there, NPR reported. One shop, the Leavenworth Nutcracker Museum, houses the world's largest nutcracker collection, thanks to 101-year-old Arlene Wagner. Wagner sta

  4. Opalesque Exclusive: Private Markets Evergreen Funds - An Insider's View[more]

    Matthias Knab, Opalesque for New Managers: Private Markets Evergreen Funds: What Investors Need to Know Before They Dive In The democratization of private markets is well underway. Structural barriers t

  5. Opalesque Exclusive: Governance, Scale, and Boutique Resilience in a Consolidating Hedge Fund Industry[more]

    Matthias Knab, Opalesque for New Managers: The hedge fund industry has undergone significant consolidation in recent years, with capital increasingly concentrated among large multi-strategy platforms. Yet boutique m