Fri, Jul 30, 2021
A A A
Welcome Guest
Free Trial RSS
Get FREE trial access to our award winning publications
Alternative Market Briefing

Other voices: DBRS: No-deal Brexit increases risk of breakup of the UK

Thursday, September 05, 2019

By: Sovereigns

DBRS considers that diverging views on Brexit among citizens in the UK could inadvertently lead to the breakup of the Union. DBRS reviews the implications of no-deal scenarios and their potential impact on the unity of the United Kingdom.

At one extreme is a "severe" hard Brexit whereby the UK crashes out of the EU permanently with no airbags or restraints on its impact. DBRS concludes that such a Brexit could quickly change the support for Scottish independence and even over time the support for the unification of Ireland, increasing the breakup risk of the UK. These considerations are exacerbated by a weakening economic environment that intensifies divisions within the UK.

No-deal scenarios range from a technical no-deal Brexit that delivers on the referendum decision to leave the EU, followed by an almost immediate agreement on key transition terms (i.e., a "temporary" hard Brexit). This outcome could deliver Brexit and re-orient the political debate to the future relationship with swift agreement on both sides somewhat limiting the chaos. On the other hand, a deep and prolonged period of disruption and serious fallout with the EU (i.e., a "severe" hard Brexit) would likely have much more negative consequences, including a potential dismantling of the Union.

DBRS expects that a "severe" no-deal Brexit would be politically and economically painful and would threaten the integrity of the Union. DBRS views a breakup of the UK as credit neg......................

To view our full article Click here

Today's Exclusives Today's Other Voices More Exclusives
Previous Opalesque Exclusives                                  
More Other Voices
Previous Other Voices                                               
Access Alternative Market Briefing

 



  • Top Forwarded
  • Top Tracked
  • Top Searched
  1. SPACs: SPAC merger with space firm Momentus threatened by SEC fine, Altus Power to merge with SPAC created by CBRE in $1.58bn deal, 10 best cheap SPACs to buy according to Reddit, A-Rod's slam SPAC is in merger talks with Italy's Panini group, How to conjure a $20bn fortune using a SPAC[more]

    SPAC merger with space firm Momentus threatened by SEC fine From Bloomberg: A blank-check company's acquisition of space-cargo firm Momentus Inc. has been dealt a serious blow by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, which accused both entities of misleading shareholders just we

  2. PE/VC: Private credit: The $1tn "new 40" opportunity[more]

    From Institutional Investor: The private debt asset class has provided investors with an attractive combination of high cash yield and floating rate returns coupled with low volatility and loss rates, while modernizing portfolios. Private credit is on a roll. Investors love the strong cash yie

  3. Distressed-debt funds get no love as credit problems disappear[more]

    From Bloomberg: Private debt investors are turning away from distressed funds amid shrinking opportunities to profit from troubled companies. Investors were less keen to put their money to work in funds that target distressed credits in the past quarter than a year ago, according to a poll of

  4. Investing: Cathie Wood's Ark Invest abandons Chinese tech stocks amid regulatory crackdown[more]

    From Business Insider: Cathie Wood's Ark Invest has slashed its exposure to Chinese tech stocks amid an ongoing regulatory crackdown, according to Ark's daily trading updates. Ark's flagship Disruptive Innovation ETF has seen its exposure to Chinese stocks fall to less than 1% from a high of 8

  5. SPACs: SEC abruptly kills Ackman's controversial SPAC plans, Bill Ackman rejigs Universal deal after regulators probe SPAC plan, SPAC-ing the Southeast Asia story, SPAC deals will rebound for remainder of 2021[more]

    SEC abruptly kills Ackman's controversial SPAC plans From Institutional Investor: The Securities and Exchange Commission has killed Bill Ackman's special purpose acquisition company's complicated plan to invest in Universal Music Group. On Monday, his SPAC, Pershing Square Tontin