Tue, Nov 19, 2019
A A A
Welcome Guest
Free Trial RSS
Get FREE trial access to our award winning publications
Alternative Market Briefing

Other voices: Global negative interest rates, what can go wrong and how can hedge funds help?

Thursday, September 05, 2019

By: Donald A. Steinbrugge, CFA - Founder and CEO, Agecroft Partners

Globally coordinated monetary stimulus prevented a potential economic meltdown in 2008 and helped create a quick rebound in the capital markets. We have since seen the longest economic expansion on record. Unfortunately, the effectiveness of monetary stimulus declines the more it is used. Ideally, it should only be used during recessions in order to reduce a downturn's severity and duration.

Recessions are a natural occurrence in an economic cycle. They are unpleasant when they occur, but can be helpful to the economy in the long term. Recessions drive out inefficient companies and capital is recycled into growing parts of the economy. The longer recessions are artificially delayed, the more severe they may ultimately become. Unfortunately, many governments have over used monetary policy, creating approximately $17 trillion of sovereign debt yielding a negative interest rate. This can be easily conceptualized by viewing the chart below, where we have substituted the word yield with the more appropriate word, expense.

Not only is monetary easing now having little impact in stimulating these economies, but it is significantly increasing the potential severity of a future recession. Overuse has effectively eliminated one of the major tools available to simul......................

To view our full article Click here

Today's Exclusives Today's Other Voices More Exclusives
Previous Opalesque Exclusives                                  
More Other Voices
Previous Other Voices                                               
Access Alternative Market Briefing

 



  • Top Forwarded
  • Top Tracked
  • Top Searched
  1. HarbourVest raises $3bn for Co-Investment Fund V[more]

    Laxman Pai, Opalesque Asia: Boston-based HarbourVest Partners closed its latest private equity fund above the fundraising target - the $3 billion HarbourVest Partners Co-Investment Fund V was oversubscribed and above its $2.5 billion target. The fund's strategy is to create a global, diversif

  2. Opinion: Cliff Asness: It's 'time to sin'[more]

    From Institutional Investor: Timing the market can be "deceptively difficult," as quantitative investor Cliff Asness has pointed out before. But now, the AQR Capital Management co-founder believes that while factor timing is "an ugly thing," it is "about time we did some" - specifically when it com

  3. Investing: Hedge fund Whitebox places big bet on gunmaker Remington, Quant funds exit Japanese bonds in worst sell-off since 2013[more]

    Hedge fund Whitebox places big bet on gunmaker Remington From Reuters: Whitebox Advisors LLC, a credit-focused hedge fund, has been quietly capitalizing on Wall Street's ambivalence toward gun manufacturers by replacing some banks as a lender to Remington Outdoor Company. Whitebox

  4. Tech: Investors race to tech start-ups despite SoftBank stumbles, Two Sigma launches risk management software[more]

    Investors race to tech start-ups despite SoftBank stumbles From FT: Investors are planning to pour billions more dollars into later stage tech start-ups, even as Japan's SoftBank reels from a succession of faltering bets. Stephen Schwarzman's Blackstone plans to raise between $3bn and $4b

  5. Regulatory: Carried interest tax rules slated for 2020, official says[more]

    From Bloomberg: The Treasury Department is planning to issue regulations restricting how hedge fund managers can claim a valuable tax break early next year, a top Treasury official said. The regulations will likely bar money managers from using S corporations to take advantage of an exemption