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Alternative Market Briefing

Other Voices: The tragedy of Bernie Madoff - There were signs if you looked for them, HF regulation now sure thing

Monday, December 15, 2008

From John Mauldin: Bernie Madoff had been arrested and his fund was missing at least $17 billion, and maybe losses were as much as $50 billion. This is so very, very tragic, as it is not just large investors with well-diversified portfolios who lost here. Many smaller investors around the world had significant sums of money with Madoff. Far too many were not as diversified as they should have been. Some of the stories already surfacing are of horrific personal losses to investors and retirees who have no way to come back from such losses. The fact that Madoff will spend the rest of his life in jail in no way compensates for the loss of so many people whose lives have been seriously impacted. It is just so terribly sad.

Madoff is a topic that comes up very often in alternative investment circles. I have been talking about his fund with friends at various conferences for almost a decade. "How does he do it?" we wondered. His fund posted steady 1-1.5% monthly returns since 1996, with only a few losing months in all that time. Supposedly he was doing something called split strike conversions. Some speculated that he was actually front-running trades in his market-making business. (Interestingly, regulators who looked at his market-making business never investigated the fund to see if he was doing just that, although I believe there were suggestions and other hints to them.)

But arbitrage traders in the same arena could never figure out how he did it, and many ......................

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