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Alternative Market Briefing

Other Voices: Looking ahead through 2006

Wednesday, April 05, 2006

Dean Barr, Head of Liquid Investment at Citigroup Alternative Investments, makes the case for multi strategy funds:

For some, 2005 represented a continuation of the low return, low-volatility environment that began in 2004 for hedge funds. The HFR indices showed that the average hedge fund was up 9.3% for 2005. Less still were the funds of hedge funds, which returned 7.5%. Is this what we should expect from these type of investments going forward? Is it the end of the growth phase for hedge funds and funds of hedge funds? According to a recent survey, hedged assets reached a staggering $1,280 billion in 2005. This happened despite low historical returns, one-off scandals, funds of hedge funds redemptions and increased regulatory scrutiny.

While it is convenient to suggest that hedged asset returns still outperformed traditional stock or bond indices, there are very powerful demographic and demand driven trends that decidedly point to continued growth and allocation toward hedged assets. In fact, by some studies, it is not unreasonable to expect a doubling of hedged assets by 2010 to $2,500 billion, representing a compounded 15% growth rate over the next 5 years.

We believe the hedge fund industry is in the early stages of a powerful move toward more calculated allocation of risk exposure and leverage to meet future liabilities. This is true for institutions as well as individuals. The result of this pursuit is the recognition that beta is cheap and alpha is rare, ......................

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