Fri, Feb 12, 2016
A A A
Welcome Guest
Free Trial RSS
Get FREE trial access to our award winning publications
Opalesque Futures Intelligence

Index Tracker: Comparing the March performance of different hedge fund sectors confirms that managed futures returns correlate negatively with equity markets. We see the downside of this typically desirable attribute.

Tuesday, April 21, 2009

Index Tracker

March provided evidence that managed futures returns correlate negatively with equity markets. This is a boon for diversifying a portfolio, but it has a downside. Last month demonstrated the downside. Commodity trading advisors were down around 2% by most indexes while equity hedge funds rose with the stock rally. HFR's equity hedge index gained almost 3% and emerging markets index gained 4.5%.

The month was difficult for both long- and short-term managed futures strategies. The AlternativeEdge Short-Term Traders Index shows the daily performance of a portfolio of short-term, diversified CTAs who have an average holding period of less than a 10 days. Among the 27 constituents of the STTI, three posted positive returns—Banyan Capital Management, Cabana Capital Management and Crabel Capital Management (Multi-Product).

In the Newedge CTA Index, which tracks a pool of the largest CTAs, only two out of the 20 constituents posted gains: QFS Asset Mgmt. (QFS Currency) and Eagle Trading Systems (Yield). “March was a unique month in that there were a large number of managers that posted negative returns but the depth of drawdown remained relatively shallow," according to Brian Walls of Newedge.

Trend followers in particular were whiplashed by reversing trends. “The US Federal Reserve's willingness to employ quantitative easing helped to drive interest rates and the US Dollar lower, while propelling prices for stocks and agricultural commodities higher,” according to Sol Waksman of BarclayHedge. “Trend-followers, as a group, were on the wrong side of these markets when they changed direction mid-month.”

The one CTA strategy that gained in March was Barclay's discretionary traders, who apparently made correct judgments about the market reversals and are up 0.90% for the first quarter.

February Returns, Managed Futures and Other Strategies

HFRI Systematic Diversified - 2.06%
HFRX Systematic Diversified* - 2.35%
Credit Suisse/Tremont Managed Futures - 2.18
Greenwich Futures - 2%
AlternativeEdge Short-Term Traders (STTI) - 2.19
Newedge CTA Index - 2.41%
Barclay Hedge
Managed Futures total - 1.16%
Discretionary Traders - 0.24%
Diversified Traders - 1.93%
Systematic Traders - 1.61%
ManagedFutures Europe CTA Index - 0.45
Autumn Gold CTA Index - 1.35%
Selected Hedge Fund Strategies
HFRI Equity Hedge (Total) - 2.93%
HFRI Fixed Income-Convertible Arbitrage - 4.39%
HFRI Emerging Markets (Total) - 4.54%

* HFRI are equally weighted composites of constituent funds whereas HFRX are constructed according to a special model to represent the performance of a larger hedge fund universe.



 
This article was published in Opalesque Futures Intelligence.
Opalesque Futures Intelligence
Opalesque Futures Intelligence
Opalesque Futures Intelligence
Today's Exclusives Today's Other Voices More Exclusives
Previous Opalesque Exclusives                                  
More Other Voices
Previous Other Voices                                               
Access Alternative Market Briefing


  • Top Forwarded
  • Top Tracked
  • Top Searched
  1. Credit Suisse cherry picks hedge fund ideas[more]

    From FT.com: Credit Suisse Asset Management plans to cherry pick profitable concepts from hedge funds with the launch in Europe of a “best ideas” strategy. The investment arm of the Swiss bank said the strategy will separate it from other funds blighted by “overcrowding problems”. It comes at a time

  2. Investing - Hedge funds bet on risks in U.S. blue-chip debt, Hedge funds bets against bank credit risk paying off, Tiger Global still likes Internet names, gets pointers from Jeter[more]

    Hedge funds bet on risks in U.S. blue-chip debt From WSJ.com: Hedge funds are betting the next bond sector to crack will be the $4.5 trillion market for the safest U.S. corporate debt. New York’s Perry Capital has placed a $1 billion wager against investment-grade bonds issued by 10 comp

  3. Short Selling - Hedge fund manager Kyle Bass is shorting real estate—again, Top US hedge fund has €80m short position in Paddy Power Betfair[more]

    Hedge fund manager Kyle Bass is shorting real estate—again From Fortune.com: He also predicted the mortgage crisis in 2008. Hedge fund manager Kyle Bass, who runs Dallas-based Hayman Capital, tanked the stock of a little-known real estate financier Friday by revealing that he is shorting

  4. Investing - Real estate secondaries sole 'bright spot' in 2015, As hedge funds stumble, one firm prepares to buy illiquid stakes[more]

    Real estate secondaries sole 'bright spot' in 2015 From IPE.com: The secondary market for property was the sole “bright spot” over the course of 2015, as hedge fund secondaries saw deals fall by two-thirds, according to a wide-ranging survey of the market. Setter Capital said 2015 saw th

  5. Asia - Hedge fund manager Kyle Bass estimates China's foreign reserves below critical level[more]

    From Nasdaq.com: Investor Kyle Bass stepped up his attack on China's currency, arguing in an investor letter distributed Wednesday that the second-largest economy's foreign reserves are "already below a critical level." The comments mark the latest effort by hedge funds and other investors to raise