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Asset flows direct hedge fund market exposures - BAML

Wednesday, November 14, 2012

Bailey McCann, Opalesque New York: New data from Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Research shows that asset flows out of hedge funds may be driving their market exposures, specifically outflows in the long/short equity space may have a limiting effect on raising market exposure over year's end. According to historical data in the report, "imputed market exposure is highly correlated to total asset changes for L/S hedge funds based on quarterly data since Q1’04. In fact, 60% of the variation in L/S exposures may be explained by asset flows." As such, funds unable to maintain asset inflows going into year end may not be able to increase market exposure.

The investable hedge fund composite index was up 0.10% for the first week of November, compared to down 1.25% for the S&P 500. In terms of individual strategies, CTA Advisors and Convertible Arbitrage were the best performers last week, up 0.80% and 0.54%, respectively; Market Neutral performed the worst and was down 0.27%.

In commodities, funds are starting to sell out of soybean and wheat, leaving corn flat. Soybean and wheat remain in a crowded long. Funds sold gold, silver and platinum, flat copper and bought palladium. In energy, funds bought crude, sold heating oil & gasoline, and added to their shorts in natural gas. Currencies are......................

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