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Alternative Market Briefing

Hedge funds bet on French bonds as economy borders on recession

Friday, August 31, 2012

Bailey McCann, Opalesque New York: Hedge funds are beginning to bet on French bonds as the country is on the brink of a recession and fund managers began to look for increases in borrowing costs. Reuters is reporting that hedge funds are going against market consensus and betting on French bonds, noting potentially unsustainable low yield if the country descends into a recession.

Macro funds are betting that the yields which are currently at 20 year lows will increase. They are also skeptical about the promises of newly elected President Hollande and his ability to enact change. Some finds have started to short French bonds including French corporate bonds on this thesis.

This report follows another from July which noted that French fund managers were also expecting a French resurgence sometime this year after an extended period of slow growth. French institutional investors have approximately $2tn on the sidelines according to a Reuters account and are now hungry for returns.

Few expect that France will ever rival other, more common financial hubs in the region but there is a growing number of funds located in France. At our recent France Rounta......................

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