Today's Exclusives

• Opalesque Exclusive: MIAX Exchange launches VIX competitor [more]

  Bailey McCann, Opalesque New York: A new competitor to the VIX launched today on the MIAX Options Exchange. The competitor - SPIKES - was created by T3 Index, an indexing firm, as part of a partnership with MIAX Options' parent holding company, Miami International Holdings, Inc. The SPIKES In

• Eurekahedge Hedge Fund Index up 2.32% in January [more]

  Laxman Pai, Opalesque Asia: The Eurekahedge Hedge Fund Index was up 2.32% in January, as the risk-on sentiment returned to the market, propelling the MSCI AC World Index (Local) up 7.36% during January. Throughout 2018, hedge fund managers posted losses of 4.08%, outperforming the global equi

• Investors keep redeeming from hedge funds: Global AUM now $2,309bn as of January 2019 [more]

  Laxman Pai, Opalesque Asia: The assets under management (AUM) of the global hedge fund industry stood at US$2,309.2 billion as of January 2019, up roughly 0.7% during the month, in contrast to how the industry lost 6.3% of its assets in 2018. According to Eurekahedge, the final asset flow figu

• Hedge funds off to a strong start - Barclay Hedge Fund Index climbs 3.88% in January [more]

  Opalesque Industry Update - Investor optimism spurred by a variety of favorable conditions pushed hedge funds to a solid start in 2019 with a 3.88% return in January, according to the Barclay Hedge Fund Index compiled by BarclayHedge, a division of Backstop Solutions. All of Barclay's 31 hedge fund

Today's Other Voices

• Other Voices: Markets in a new key - A theory of meaning and market segmentation [more]

  By Alex Gavrish, Etalon Capital Ltd; author of "Story Investing". A recent article

More Exclusives

• 18. Feb. | Opalesque Roundup: How to determine the yearly income of hedge fund moguls: hedge fund news, week 07 [more]

  In the week ending February 15th 2019, Bloomberg's inaugural ranking of hedge fund manager income shows that the top 10 managers reaped approximately $7.7bn last year. The company said

• 15. Feb. | Opalesque TV: Using data science to measure ESG raises alpha [more]

  B. G., Opalesque Geneva: "ESG metrics today are terrible," Peter Kellner, social entrepreneur, activist and ESG investor, tells Matthias Knab on Opalesque

• 14. Feb. | Opalesque Exclusive: BDO Survey: 89% of GPs expect a downturn within the next two years [more]

  Bailey McCann, Opalesque New York: Private equity appears to be preparing for the worst. 89 percent of private equity fund managers expect a prolonged downturn sometime in the next two years, according to the findings of a newly released survey from BDO. The trade war was cited as a top conce

• 12. Feb. | Opalesque Roundtable: Investor skepticism about ESG can create a teachable moment for managers [more]

  Bailey McCann, Opalesque New York: Many market prognosticators have said ESG will be the future of investing. Millennials are increasingly putting pressure on institutions and companies to do better and build with sustainability in mind. Yet, skepticism remains about whether ESG strategies will t

• 11. Feb. | Opalesque Exclusive: Zook: bond investors complacency could cost them in a slowdown [more]

  Bailey McCann, Opalesque New York: Investors started off the year by piling into BBB bonds, and they've been paid for it. Performance is up and investors are buying up new issuance. A

• 11. Feb. | Opalesque Roundup: Hedge funds gained 2.9% in January: hedge fund news, week 06 [more]

  In the week ending February 8th 2019, Bloomberg revealed that six out of seven strategies tracked by the firm have advanced. Hedge funds gained 2.9% in January, the first positive return since July, as the rally in stocks offered managers some relief. Also

• 08. Feb. | Opalesque Exclusive: Investors pressure alts firms to embrace diversity [more]

  Bailey McCann, Opalesque New York: The alternative investments industry has improved when it comes to gender diversity in management positions, but there is still a ways to go according to a new report from KPMG. The sixth annual Women in Alternative Investments study looks at the efforts asset m

• 07. Feb. | Opalesque Exclusive: UK hedge funds to prepare their senior managers for new regulatory regime [more]

  B. G., Opalesque Geneva: Sani Jackson, London-based director at Optima Partners, a global regulatory compliance and risk management firm, warns UK-based fund managers of some (non-Brexit related) regulatory issues they cannot ignore this y

• 04. Feb. | Opalesque Roundup: Insider says Bridgewater's success a result of unique and intense culture: hedge fund news, week 05 [more]

  In the week ending February 1st 2019, Ray Dalio's Bridgewater fund topped all other hedge funds in 2018 in terms of total net gains, according to data provided by LCH Investments. Bridgewater - which is the world's largest hedge fund firm with $150bn in assets under management - led the annual ra

• 01. Feb. | Opalesque Exclusive: Jaguar Listed Property spins out of Northwood Securities [more]

  Bailey McCann, Opalesque New York: Global listed property fund manager, Jaguar Listed Property has announced its spin-out from Northwood Securities. The new firm includes substantial minority investments from strategic partners Jaguar Growth Partners of New York and Hwa Hong Corporation Limited o

• 31. Jan. | Opalesque Exclusive: Pearl Capital Advisors Hedged VIX program ends 2018 up +14.85% [more]

  Bailey McCann, Opalesque New York for New Managers: While many volatility traders were caught out with directional bets in 2018, one fund managed to stay above the fray and end the year positively. Pearl Capital Adv

• 31. Jan. | Edison Partners leads $7M round into investment research platform Bipsync [more]

  Bailey McCann, Opalesque New York: Growth equity firm Edison Partners has led a $7 million round into Bipsync, a software solution for investment research founded by Tiger Cub Danny Donado. FINTOP Capital also participated in the round. Bipsync is an investment research platform that aims to

• 30. Jan. | Opalesque Exclusive: Commonfund cools on hedge funds, eyes credit in 2019 [more]

  Bailey McCann, Opalesque New York: Commonfund, a $24.8 billion asset manager for endowments, foundations, and pensions, has cut back its allocations to hedge funds citing a desire to preserve liquidity as managers struggle to take advantage of market moves. In its recent

• 28. Jan. | Opalesque Exclusive: US market neutral hedge fund cares for what investors actually take home [more]

  B. G., Opalesque Geneva: The partners at Alloy Investments, a New Jersey, U.S.-based fund manager, believe that the current investing paradigm is broken, which means that very few active managers reliably outperform benchmarks and m

More Other Voices

• 11. Jan. 2019 | Other Voices: How the SEC's list of examination priorities will affect private fund advisors [more]

  By: Jones Day, LLP On December 20, 2018, the Office of Compliance Inspections and Examinations of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission released its 2019 Examination Priorities in which OCIE detailed key areas where OCIE currently intends to focus its resources in 2019. The Report cont

• 31. Dec. 2018 | Other Voices: Hedge fund marketing blurs the line on BDCs [more]

  by Dechert LLP: In December 2018, the SEC announced two enforcement actions involving business development companies (BDCs) - one against Fifth Street Management, LLC, the former external registered investment adviser to two BDCs, and the other against KCAP Financial, Inc., an internally managed BD

• 04. Dec. 2018 | Other Voices: How do we solve the public pension fund crisis in the US? Are hedge funds to blame? [more]

  By: Donald A. Steinbrugge, CFA - CEO, Agecroft Partners An article recently published about the grossly underfunded Kentucky State Retirement System suggests that gambling on high fee hedge funds and private equity funds, and the use of placement agents, were primarily to blame. For many readers

• 13. Nov. 2018 | Other Voices: Alternative data could pose risks for fund managers [more]

  By: Joshua M Newville and Jeffrey Neuburger, Proskauer The WSJ recently published an article detailing how companies are monetizing smartphone location data by s

• 31. Oct. 2018 | Other Voices: How to take advantage of the current market sell-off [more]

  By Alex Gavrish, Etalon Capital Ltd; author of "Story Investing" Alex Gavrish explains

• 18. Oct. 2018 | Other Voices: Does hedge-fund activism really increase shareholder value? [more]

  By: Cydney Posner, Cooley, LLP The public debate about hedge-fund activism has long been informed by academic literature that found increases in shareholder value and operating performance after activist interventions. But do hedge-fund activists actually do any long-term good for the companies

• 12. Oct. 2018 | Other Voices: A new SEC focus on short activism? Activist hedge fund Lemelson Capital charged with unlawful short attack [more]

  By: Lawrence S. Elbaum, Clifford Thau, Patrick Gadson and Sarah C.C. Tishler On September 12, 2018, the Securities and Exchange Commission charged hedge fund, Lemelson Capital and its adviser, Gregory Lemelson, with perpetrating an unlawful short attack on Ligand Pharmaceuticals. The SEC's compl

• 04. Oct. 2018 | Other Voices: BVI passes new limited partnership act [more]

  By: Trident Trust The BVI has modernised its partnerships regime with the enactment of a new Limited Partnership Act, 2017 and Limited Partnership Regulations, 2018, both of which entered into force on 11 January 2018. A key feature of the new regime is that it allows limited partnerships t

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Sea Change Indicators:

Sea Change Long-Term Indicators:

• US Lg Caps – Partial long here – buy rest on test and hold of 200-day MA.

• US Mid Caps – Need one more day above 200-day and then a successful test of that level.

• US Small Caps – cash; 1% upside to resistance;

• MSCI EAFE – cash; 2% upside to resistance;

• Emerg. Mkts – cash; 0.56% upside to resistance.

Sea Change Opportunistic Indicator:

The current reading is 0.99. We will need to see at least two days above 1.20 and then a turn lower on a daily close. If and when it does give us a “buy” signal, the idea is to go “all in” with equity money.