Monetary – Determined by US FOMC policy. Dovish, Neutral or Hawkish. Up to 10% long.
Fiscal – Determined by US Fiscal policy. Up to 10% long.
Timing – Long/Short off of wave count / Fibonacci projections. Short, neutral or long. 10% short, neutral or 10% long.
Based on Sea Change Long-Term Indicator:
Global Equities: 30% long or 30% cash
US Small Caps: 10% long or 10% cash
Emerging Markets: 10% long or 10% cash
Technology: 0% - 10% long off of FAANG charts
Financials: 10% long or 10% cash off of XLF chart
Current Read:
Monetary Indicator: Long 8% DJ Industrials proxy
Fiscal Indicator: Long 8% Russell MidCap Growth proxy
Timing Long / Short Indicator: Long ARKK
Global Equities – 14.4% long with SPY slot 4.3% long with IEV
3.3% in cash with PacRim slot
US Small Caps – 8% long with IWM
Emerg. Mkts – 10% long with EEM
Technology – Long 8% FAANG proxy (QQQ)
Financials – Long 8% in XLF
Energy – Long 10% Energy Money
Gold / Silver – Long 5% in GLD and long 5% in AGQ
Net 96.7% long exposure
Sea Change Opportunistic Indicator:
The current reading is 0.95. Waiting for next “buy” signal (north of 1.20 is the primer). When it does give us a “buy” signal, we’ll go “all in” with equity money.
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