Sat, Feb 28, 2015
A A A
Welcome Guest
Free Trial RSS
Get FREE trial access to our award winning publications
Industry Updates

Campbell & Company: CTA performance historically invariant to direction of interest rates

Thursday, February 14, 2013
Opalesque Industry Update – According to new research by Campbell & Company, the performance of commodity trading advisors (CTAs) has historically exhibited a distinctly different pattern than equities and fixed income in relation to the direction of interest rates.

In a new white paper, Prospects for CTAs in a Rising Interest Rate Environment, the firm provides a comprehensive quantitative evaluation of CTA performance in relation to the direction of rates and concludes that the strategy has not historically been rate regime-dependent.

This conclusion is positive news for investors who may wonder if CTAs, many of whom have spent their entire existence operating in a bull market for fixed income, can weather a secular uptrend in rates.

How might a rising interest rate environment impact CTA performance? Here’s a snapshot of the conclusions:

• Unlike stocks and bonds, CTA returns have not historically been rate regime-dependent.
• Since 1972, there has been no statistical difference between the average monthly performance of CTAs in rising and falling rate environments, as defined by changes to the Fed Funds target rate (if anything, the strategy tended to do somewhat better when rates were rising).
• There has, historically, been no linear relationship between CTA performance and the direction of Treasury yield changes.
• The multi-dimensional approach to portfolio diversification employed by many CTAs may be one reason why the monetary policy environment historically has had a minimal impact on performance.

For a copy of the white paper, Prospects for CTAs in a Rising Interest Rate Environment, investment professionals may go to: www.campbell.com/_files/Prospects%20for%20CTAs%20in%20a%20Rising%20Interest%20Rate%20Environment.pdf

Founded in 1972, Campbell & Company is a pioneer in absolute return investment management, specializing in systematic managed futures and equity market-neutral strategies. The firm has long been an innovator in quantitative modeling, Campbell’s research efforts are designed to exploit structural market inefficiencies and have delivered attractive risk-adjusted returns over time. Campbell and its affiliates manage $3Bn in assets for a broad array of institutional and private clients around the world.

Press release

Bg

What do you think?

   Use "anonymous" as my name    |   Alert me via email on new comments   |   
Today's Exclusives Today's Other Voices More Exclusives
Previous Opalesque Exclusives                                  
More Other Voices
Previous Other Voices                                               
Access Alternative Market Briefing


  • Top Forwarded
  • Top Tracked
  • Top Searched
  1. Investing - Seth Klarman of Baupost outlines his investment process as major stock market indices are stretched, Myriad hedge fund sold bulk of its Alibaba stake last year[more]

    Seth Klarman of Baupost outlines his investment process as major stock market indices are stretched From Valuewalk.com: As hedge fund manager Seth Klarman, leader of the $28 billion Baupost Group, reviews 2014 performance and considers investors gained near 7 percent on the year, he cons

  2. Adamas Asset Management and Ping An Insurance to co-manage $500m debt fund[more]

    Komfie Manalo, Opalesque Asia: Hong Kong-based Adamas Asset Management and Ping An Insurance Group, one of China’s largest financial institutions, have finalized a memorandum of und

  3. Opalesque Exclusive: dbSelect’s top ten FX strategies average almost 10% in January[more]

    Benedicte Gravrand, Opalesque Geneva: In one of Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management (AWM)’s hedge fund platforms, called dbSelect, a number of FX Strategies did very well in January. dbSelect is a managed investment platform for unf

  4. Opalesque Exclusive: SEC’s Mark J. Flannery warns hedge funds against valuation misconduct[more]

    Komfie Manalo, Opalesque Asia: Securities and Exchange Commission chief economist and director of Division of Economic and Risk Analysis (DERA) Mark J. Flannery has warned of the risks posed by market misconduct, particularly in the true valuation of assets by hedge fund managers. In his

  5. Dymon Asia's $3bn macro hedge fund lost 10.45% in January[more]

    From Reuters.com: Dymon Asia's $3.1 billion macro hedge fund lost 10.45 percent in January, performance data seen by Reuters showed, a month where many peers lost heavily after a surprise rise in the Swiss franc. Singapore-based Dymon, set up by Danny Yong, a former founding partner and chie