Fri, Aug 18, 2017
A A A
Welcome Guest
Free Trial RSS
Get FREE trial access to our award winning publications
Asia Pacific Intelligence

Stratton Street offers renminbi exposure through award winning fund

Friday, March 08, 2013

Andy Seaman

Andy Seaman, Partner at Stratton Street Capital and Portfolio Manager of the firm's award winning Renminbi Bond Fund (RBF) - the first such product in the field - and the WONDA Bond and Currency Fund, explains that for them, the renminbi story is a multi-decade story.

The firm has gone to over $1.9bn in assets since launch just over five years ago, and the RBF returned 25.32% in 2012 and has stood at number one for all fixed income, dollar denominated funds over five years, three years and currently stands second over one year.

"Whenever people worry about movements in the renminbi, we remind them that it's nothing like as volatile as the Australian dollar or the Brazilian real. The point is that any country that grows as fast as China grows will in time see its currency appreciate and that story will go on for many decades." Currently China represents 9% of world GDP and it is predicted that by 2050, that figure will stand at 25%.

Seaman draws comparisons with the yen, back in the 1970s, which has seen significant appreciation over that period. And the renminbi story is a UK story too, with London overtaking Singapore as a renminbi trading centre, second behind Hong Kong. "It will be the European centre for trading renminbi" Seaman says, quoting HSBC predictions that in the future 2013 will be remembered as the year of the renminbi.

Stratton Street's range of hedged and long only funds offer exposure to the renminbi - which can be a difficult market to crack for external investors - and were designed to provide that exposure to institutions and individuals. They are increasingly getting calls from institutions that realise that China is such a big economy and that it must be represented in their portfolios. "Leaving China out is equivalent to saying I have no exposure to the dollar" Seaman says.

Currently, RBF is up 0.34% to end January. The firm reports that Chinese GDP figures were released in January, with growth at 7.8% for 2012, but with a higher than expected fourth quarter figure of 7.9%, up from 7.4% in the third quarter, while the statistics bureau said that "overall the economy has been stabilising".

"During the month, the People's Bank of China fixed the renminbi at 6.26910 against the dollar, an eight month high. The main reason for this was the higher anticipated data. At the end of the month, the fixing was slightly weaker at 6.2795, however, over the month, the renminbi traded 0.19% stronger against the dollar. We expect this trend to continue through the year as the Chinese economy rebounds" Seaman writes.

His other fund, the WONDA Bond and Currency fund is a long/short fund, long wealthy nations and short things the firm is negative on. Currently, that includes the Australian dollar.

"We're expecting a downgrade this year from AAA to AA which will cause a shock to the system" Seaman says. "The Australian current account has been in deficit every year for the last 30 years - it's never earned more than it's spent and Australia has the highest property to average income ratio in the world, meaning it has a property bubble."

"Australians can only pay off their mortgages if they have no living expenses", Seaman says, "so most are massively over-mortgaged and there is an interest-only perpetual mortgage product available, implying that financial institutions no longer expect Australians to pay off their mortgages".

 
This article was published in Opalesque's Asia Pacific Intelligence our monthly research update on alternative investments in the Asia-Pacific region.
Asia Pacific Intelligence
Asia Pacific Intelligence
Asia Pacific Intelligence
Today's Exclusives Today's Other Voices More Exclusives
Previous Opalesque Exclusives                                  
More Other Voices
Previous Other Voices                                               
Access Alternative Market Briefing


  • Top Forwarded
  • Top Tracked
  • Top Searched
  1. Opalesque Exclusive: Albright Capital puts a value lens on emerging markets[more]

    Bailey McCann, Opalesque New York: Over the past decade, investors have steadily increased investments in emerging markets private funds. Allocations to the cohort have increased from $93 billion in December 2006 to $564 billion in September 2016, according to data from research firm Preqin. Howe

  2. Comment: "Long-Term Investing": What managing drawdown risk can do to your long-term returns[more]

    Matthias Knab, Opalesque: Real Investment Advice writes on Harvest Exchange: Last week, I was having lunch with a prospective portfolio management client discussing the curre

  3. Jasper Capital International joins Hedge Fund Standards Board[more]

    Komfie Manalo, Opalesque Asia: Diversified and systematic investment firm Jasper Capital International has become the second China-based signatory to the Hedge Fund Standards Board (HFSB), an organization that brings hedge fund managers and investors together to set standards for the hedge fund i

  4. Investing - Hedge-fund honchos including David Tepper are loading up on Alibaba, Billionaire hedge fund manager Stanley Druckenmiller is betting big on the Chinese consumer, Big-name U.S. hedge funds shed healthcare stocks during the rally in second-quarter, U.S. hedge funds bearish on FAANG stocks in second-quarter, Hedge fund titan Viking Global made a $680 million bet on scandal-plagued Wells Fargo[more]

    Hedge-fund honchos including David Tepper are loading up on Alibaba From CNBC.com: David Tepper's Appaloosa Management and three other he ge funds took new stakes in Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba in the second quarter, according to the latest quarterly filings. Appaloosa disclos

  5. FinTech - Danger: Crowdfunding on the wrong platform could force you to go public[more]

    From LinkedIn.com: Some equity crowdfunding platforms are putting startups at serious risk. Working with a platform that doesn't structure your deal appropriately could jeopardize your ability to raise future capital or worse, force you to become a public reporting company. The emergence of eq