Thu, Feb 22, 2018
A A A
Welcome Guest
Free Trial RSS
Get FREE trial access to our award winning publications
Industry Updates

Edhec-Risk: Germany’s restrictions are counterproductive

Friday, May 21, 2010
Opalesque Industry Update - EDHEC-Risk Institute considers that Germany’s restrictive measures on the sovereign debt markets are counterproductive, inconsistent and liable to hinder European growth

On the basis of numerous academic studies, along with its own research, including the position paper published in March 2010 by Professor Abraham Lioui entitled “Spillover Effects of Counter-cyclical Market Regulation: Evidence from the 2008 Ban on Short Sales,” EDHEC-Risk Institute considers that the unilateral measures taken by Chancellor Merkel on the sovereign debt markets, both on the short selling of sovereign bonds and credit default swaps (CDS), are counterproductive, inconsistent and liable to hinder European growth.

Counterproductive

Besides the fact that the lack of convergence on these issues with the US authorities leaves little hope of the measures being effective, EDHEC-Risk Institute thinks that this ban poses numerous problems and runs up against legal and practical obstacles that make it inapplicable or even counterproductive:

 It will be impossible for intermediaries and ultimately for regulators to verify investors’ holdings of the securities representative of the risk the credit default swaps are assumed to cover.
 A strict obligation to use credit default swaps to hedge the risk of sovereign debt would prevent sovereign nations from issuing long-term debt, as the CDS market for hedges of more than ten years is relatively illiquid.
 This prohibition makes it harder for countries to manage the interest rate risk on their debt actively, as their counterparties are no longer able to hedge the country risk of the interest rate swaps they may have entered into. This active management of the yield curve is a major component in the optimisation of the cost of public debt.
 By making the market for hedging default risk more complex, the markets may be deprived of the debt of countries with low ratings, of investors, and thus of liquidity, which will inevitably increase the cost of this debt.

Inconsistent

Even while European Commissioner Michel Barnier, in a letter to Professor Noël Amenc, Director of EDHEC-Risk Institute, on May 5, 2010, was confirming that “a group of experts from the Commission has been given the mission of studying the effects of CDS on price formation and the liquidity of the underlying bond market,” Chancellor Merkel’s unilateral decision, which renders the functioning of the sovereign debt markets responsible for the euro’s difficulties and the increase in the cost of credit for certain European countries, is inconsistent.

Once again, financial regulation decisions have been based more on preconceived ideas and populist posturing than on objective analysis of the facts. From that viewpoint, the position of the president of the European Commission who, without concerning himself with the work instigated on the subject by Commissioner Barnier, supports Germany’s reasoning, appears relatively incompatible with the requisite solidarity of the Commission and the consistency of European policy.

A hindrance to growth

A very strict definition of a naked sale would keep investors who finance public investment or companies that enter into contracts with sovereign nations or with state-owned companies from hedging the default risk of their counterparties. At a time when public-private partnerships and private financing of public infrastructure projects are considered one of the drivers of global growth, making it harder to manage country risk may, at the very least, increase the costs of these partnerships and this financing and, at worst, prove a major hurdle to their development.

This limitation on the hedging of risk for companies exporting capital goods, engaged in major international contracts with the public sector, and for the credit institutions that finance them, is of a nature, if it is generalised, to slow down or render more difficult the exports of a large number of countries within the European Union.

The following elements can be accessed by pressing [Ctrl] and clicking on the link:

Open letter addressed by EDHEC-Risk Institute to European Internal Market Commissioner Michel Barnier on March 15, 2010: Source.

Commissioner Barnier’s response on May 5, 2010 (in French): Source.

EDHEC-Risk Institute Position Paper “Spillover Effects of Counter-cyclical Market Regulation: Evidence from the 2008 Ban on Short Sales,” March 2010: Source.


EDHEC-Risk Institute is part of EDHEC Business School, one of Europe’s leading business schools and a member of the select group of academic institutions worldwide to have earned the triple crown of international accreditations (AACSB, EQUIS, Association of MBAs). www.edhec-risk.com.


Bg

What do you think?

   Use "anonymous" as my name    |   Alert me via email on new comments   |   
Today's Exclusives Today's Other Voices More Exclusives
Previous Opalesque Exclusives                                  
More Other Voices
Previous Other Voices                                               
Access Alternative Market Briefing

 



  • Top Forwarded
  • Top Tracked
  • Top Searched
  1. Opalesque Exclusive: Global Sigma captures February's long-vol trade[more]

    Bailey McCann, Opalesque New York for New Managers: Florida-based Global Sigma rode February's volatility to new highs. The firm's AGSF strategy is up +2.8 percent through February 16 and +4.2 percent YTD a

  2. Art & Motion launches collectible car alternative investment vehicle[more]

    Komfie Manalo, Opalesque Asia: Luxembourg-based Art & Motion has launched a new investment vehicle dedicated to vintage cars and exceptional high-quality vehicles as this collectible market has grown exponentially the turn of the centu

  3. Investing - Hedge funds turn short on tech just as stock rally takes off, After biggest short, speculators slash bearish US bond bets as supply deluge looms[more]

    Hedge funds turn short on tech just as stock rally takes off From Newsmax.com: A key group of investors has just missed out on the biggest tech-stock rally since 2014. Hedge funds and other large speculators turned net short on Nasdaq 100 Index futures for the first time in 21 months, ac

  4. Low volatility funds fail to protect investors[more]

    From FT.com: A number of exchange traded funds (ETFs) designed to protect investors from sharp stock market gyrations lost more money than mainstream US stocks during a sell-off this month, underperforming in precisely the conditions in which they were meant to thrive. Low volatility ETFs, lau

  5. Legal - Hedge funds fight to save M&A arbitrage strategy, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac ruling blow to hedge funds[more]

    Hedge funds fight to save M&A arbitrage strategy From FT.com: Hedge funds which use the US courts to wring higher prices for merger and acquisition deals are fighting to save the lucrative investment strategy, after a Delaware court ruling that threatens to shut it down. Verition Partner