Tue, Jan 24, 2017
A A A
Welcome Guest
Free Trial RSS
Get FREE trial access to our award winning publications
Industry Updates

Hedge fund managers predominantly downbeat on US equities, 16% inclined to increase leverage

Monday, November 29, 2010
Opalesque Industry Update - Hedge fund managers remain predominantly downbeat on U.S. equities, according to the TrimTabs/BarclayHedge Survey of Hedge Fund Managers for November. About 39% of the 83 hedge fund managers the firms surveyed in the past two weeks are bearish on the S&P 500, and bullish sentiment sank to 31% from 36% in October.

“Moods are still somewhat sour, but hedge funds returned 7.0% in the four months ended October following a rough patch in May and June,” said Sol Waksman, CEO of BarclayHedge. “About 80% of the funds that reported returns for the January-October period are profitable in 2010.”

Almost half of hedge fund managers believe QE2 will have a positive impact on asset prices, although four in 10 feel it will ultimately have a negative impact on the economy. Meanwhile, only 9% of managers plan to decrease leverage in the coming weeks, the smallest share since May, while 16% are inclined to increase it.

“It is telling that some managers aim to lever up even though they are predominantly downbeat on stocks,” explained Vincent Deluard, Executive Vice President at TrimTabs. “The Fed is begging firms, consumers, and market participants to take risks, and hedge fund managers are capitalizing on kind conditions. They view QE as an asset-price gift horse—one they are not looking in the mouth—and hedge fund investors have handed them $33 billion in recent months. Also, it certainly doesn’t hurt that managers can borrow to buy assets for virtually nothing courtesy of historically low short rates.”

Bearish sentiment on the U.S. Dollar Index surged to 44% in November, the highest level in six months, from 30% in October. Meanwhile, bond sentiment has been hammered as long-term interest rates have spiked. Bearish sentiment on the 10-year Treasury note vaulted to 49%, the highest level since May, while bullish sentiment dove to 13%, the lowest level in six months.

“Market participants have no interest in fighting the Fed in the belly of the curve, where its Treasury purchases are concentrated,” noted Deluard. “But hedge fund managers are very bearish on the 10-year, and futures traders have been dumping the 30-year bond contract. Also, mom and pop ditched bond mutual funds in the past fortnight after pouring money into them for 100 straight weeks, and TIPS funds have raked in assets in 2010. The more the market feels the Fed’s reflation strategy will succeed, the more powerless policymakers become to prevent long yields from grinding higher.”

(press release)

Source

kb

What do you think?

   Use "anonymous" as my name    |   Alert me via email on new comments   |   
Today's Exclusives Today's Other Voices More Exclusives
Previous Opalesque Exclusives                                  
More Other Voices
Previous Other Voices                                               
Access Alternative Market Briefing

 



  • Top Forwarded
  • Top Tracked
  • Top Searched
  1. Investing - This hedge fund made 37% betting on banks in 2016 and remains bullish after the Trump rally, Hedge fund legend David Einhorn is making a big bet on GM, After impressive 85% return in 2016, hedge fund looks to Canadian gold producer, small banks[more]

    This hedge fund made 37% betting on banks in 2016 and remains bullish after the Trump rally From Forbes.com: Can bank stocks continue to rise after a 28% surge in the KBW Bank Index in 2016, fueled by a post-election rally as stock pickers returned to the beaten down sector? Forget the s

  2. SWFs - China sovereign wealth fund CIC plans more U.S. investments[more]

    From Reuters.com: China Investment Corporation (CIC), the country's sovereign wealth fund, is looking to raise alternative investments in the United States due to low returns in public markets, its chairman said on Monday. CIC will boost its investments in private equity and hedge funds as wel

  3. Some hedge funds strong start in 2017 nice contrast to 2016[more]

    With the 2016 HSBC Hedge Weekly performance rankings in the books - a year in which the same leader-board entries pretty much dominated unchallenged throughout the year - comes a new leader board that is a hard-scrabble mix of hedge fund styles and categories. What is clear after but a few short wee

  4. Macro hedge funds and CTAs outperform in December on strong dollar[more]

    Komfie Manalo, Opalesque Asia: The last month of 2016 saw risk assets climbing higher, as part of expectations that the new U.S. administration will remove barriers to growth and investment, Lyxor Asset Management said. December also saw the Fed hik

  5. Opalesque Exclusive: Roxbury credit events UCITS gathers more assets[more]

    Benedicte Gravrand, Opalesque Geneva for New Managers: The Roxbury Credit Events Fund, launched in September 2015, was up 4.24% in 2016, having returned seven positive months during the year. The managers raised