Alternative Market Briefing

Opalesque Exclusive: Aussie global macro manager returns 4.40% YTD shorting AU$ and US equity indices

Thursday, November 27, 2008

Sydney-based RTM Absolute Return fund returned +0.17% for October, +4.40% YTD, and 31.43% since its October 2005 inception.

The fund manager commented: “Major contributors to the month’s performance were attributed to short positions in the AUD and short positions in the US equity indices. For the major part of the month, the fund maintained a small position in equities as volatility created an extremely difficult trading environment. By month end we began to increase our holdings in equity as the market approached important technical levels and attractive valuations.......................

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Hedge Funds at Inflexion Point:

Opalesque Round Table

The whole financial industry has reached an inflexion point, at which all market participants are challenged to identify the new themes and new paradigms that will determine asset management and how to create returns going forward.

The Opalesque South Africa Roundtable discusses the range and consequences of this inflexion point, from a fund manager as well from an investor point of view.

The participants also discussed the particularities of investing in Africa (ex-South Africa). You will hear portfolio managers explaining new ways to construct hedges, new and upcoming products. How do you deal with restricted liquidity, is Africa really uncorrelated?

With 28 pages, this is one of our larger Roundtable scripts, but as with all the other ones, you will find valuable intelligence on each page.

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CME- NIKKEI (Cash) Weekly graph

Intermediate Term Trend: Neutral Friday’s Close: 9,365 (+ 225) UPDATE: Following the worst yearly decline in history,we had remained optimistic for the last six weeks (based off our call in the US Equity market which would lead global stocks). In addition, we also believed we had the correct upside pivot point @ 9,080 (“This market is only, slightly, out of the woods if a weekly settlement above 9,080 is posted”). As of this past Friday, the market did in fact settle above 9,080, by a fairly wide margin. The next challenge comes against resistance at the 21- week M.A. line (9,960)