Monetary – Determined by US FOMC policy. Dovish, Neutral or Hawkish. Up to 10% long.
Fiscal – Determined by US Fiscal policy. Up to 10% long.
Timing – Long/Short off of wave count / Fibonacci projections. Short, neutral or long. 10% short, neutral or 10% long.
Based on Sea Change Long-Term
Indicator:
Global Equities: 30% long or 30% cash
US Small Caps: 10% long or 10% cash
Emerging Markets: 10% long or 10% cash
Technology: 0% - 10% long off of FAANG charts
Financials: 10% long or 10% cash off of XLF chart
Current Read:
Monetary Indicator: Long 8% DJ Industrials proxy
Fiscal Indicator: Long 8% Russell MidCap Growth proxy
Timing Long / Short Indicator: Short of SPY with 8%
Global Equities – Cash with 24% global slot.
US Small Caps – Cash with 8% small cap slot.
Emerg. Mkts – Long 8% IEV with Global slot of port.
Technology – Long 8% FAANG proxy (XLK)
Financials – Short 8% via SEF
Energy – Long 10% (4% CVX, 3% COP and 3% EOG)
Gold – Long 10% (5% of GLD and 5% of GDX).
Net 36% long exposure
Sea Change Opportunistic Indicator:
The current reading is .089 Waiting for next “buy” signal. When it does give us a “buy” signal, the idea is to go “all in” with equity money.
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