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Opalesque Commodities Briefing » Research http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing Wed, 30 Nov 2016 00:03:38 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.5.1 en Rabobank Report Projects Better Commodity Prices Ahead? http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144568 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144568#comments Wed, 30 Nov 2016 00:03:22 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144568 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144568>Article Link</a> A recent Rabobank report projects a rise in global demand should bring a three-year decline in commodity prices to an end. Nebraska Farm Bureau Senior Economist Jay Rempe says that outlook should give hope to farmers and ranchers who have been struggling through the downturn in the farm economy. (more…)

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Goldman Commodities Outlook: Metals & Oil Strength, Gold Suffers http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144547 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144547#comments Tue, 29 Nov 2016 01:18:54 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144547 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144547>Article Link</a> Commodities analysts at Goldman Sachs raised their outlook for base metals prices on Monday with currencies as a tailwind, but lowered their gold projection and offered a mixed outlook for Australia-based metals producers as the commodities cycle peaks. (more…)

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A Note On Gold And India – What Is Driving The Gold Price? http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144540 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144540#comments Tue, 29 Nov 2016 01:17:03 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144540 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144540>Article Link</a> It is well-known that India’s government wants to coerce its population into “modernizing” its financial behavior and abandoning its traditions. The recent ban on large-denomination banknotes was not only meant to fight corruption. (more…)

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Trump Administration to Rev Up Global Growth, Says OECD http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144526 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144526#comments Tue, 29 Nov 2016 01:12:46 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144526 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144526>Article Link</a> If all goes according to plan, a group of international economic experts believe President-elect Donald Trump’s incoming administration will help the world economy grow faster than anticipated over the next few years. (more…)

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As the commodity mega-boom winds down, the mini-boom gathers steam: Russell http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144523 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144523#comments Thu, 24 Nov 2016 23:09:46 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144523 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144523>Article Link</a> As the once-in-a-lifetime commodity boom winds down, a key concern has been what is going to replace the mega-projects built to feed China’s appetite for natural resources. The huge minerals and energy projects that were both the solution and the demise of the China-inspired commodity super-cycle are unlikely to be repeated any time soon, but developments in Australia show it’s not all doom and gloom. (more…)

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Commodities set for an ‘extraordinary bull run’, argue Schroders managers http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144521 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144521#comments Thu, 24 Nov 2016 23:09:14 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144521 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144521>Article Link</a> Managers at Schroders explain why commodities should outperform in 2017 and give their three resources investors should look at to capitalise on this. Commodities have been a very disappointing area to be invested over the past few years but they could be at the start of another “extraordinary” bull run, according to the team at Schroders. (more…)

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Commodity bulls may be about to hit a wall http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144498 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144498#comments Wed, 23 Nov 2016 23:15:11 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144498 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144498>Article Link</a> Rampant speculation and exaggerated hopes of a Trump-led boom have fuelled a blistering rally in industrial metal prices. Oil is perking up and talk of a new commodity super cycle is suddenly on everybody’s lips. (more…)

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Challenges to the global economy http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144477 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144477#comments Wed, 23 Nov 2016 23:09:59 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144477 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144477>Article Link</a> In this tribute to their teacher, Prabhat Patnaik’s former students put together a volume that covers three major themes: the internal contradictions of capitalism, the growth of the Indian economy and the feasibility of socialism. (more…)

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China-led commodities rally about to run out of steam http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144475 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144475#comments Tue, 22 Nov 2016 23:26:30 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144475 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144475>Article Link</a> All that Trump campaign chatter about making America great again has done wonders for the US dollar. This past week the greenback hit 13-year highs. Another asset class having a storming year: shares in mining companies. The MSCI world metals and miners index is up 90 per cent from its January low. Yet history suggests the two cannot rally in tandem for long. (more…)

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Goldman Bullish on Commodities Amid Mining’s Accelerating Rally http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144458 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144458#comments Tue, 22 Nov 2016 23:21:00 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144458 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144458>Article Link</a> Commodities are back in favor, boosting oil producers and miners after their annus horribilis of 2015. The Bloomberg Commodity Index is set for its biggest three-day advance since June, led by gains in oil and industrial metals. That’s pushed shares of mining companies close to their highest this year, with Anglo American Plc and Glencore Plc gaining almost 5 percent on Tuesday. Energy companies also rose, with Tullow Oil Plc up 2.2 percent. (more…)

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Goldman Overweights Commodities for First Time in Four Years http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144451 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144451#comments Mon, 21 Nov 2016 23:18:31 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144451 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144451>Article Link</a> Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said investors should bet on higher commodities prices in the next year as manufacturing picks up around the world, the first time the bank has recommended an overweight position for the asset class in more than four years. (more…)

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Growth forecasts for EM economies finally looking up http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144449 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144449#comments Mon, 21 Nov 2016 23:17:42 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144449 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144449>Article Link</a> Economic growth projections for emerging markets are finally starting to show signs of restoration from modest levels, having bottomed in the second quarter of this year. The ensuing rebound has steadily been translating into more positive earnings expectations after a lengthy period of net downward revisions. (more…)

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With Trump And Brexit, Is The Global Economy In Danger? http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144433 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144433#comments Mon, 21 Nov 2016 23:12:53 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144433 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144433>Article Link</a> The popular mobilisation in Europe has given an immense impetus to the conservative polity who maintain the status quo in the world. The rise of ‘protectionist’ politics through democratic and populist processes has questioned the effectiveness and sustainability of the neoliberal economic order. (more…)

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Commodities: Is the bull market out of puff as speculators run for the exits? http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144430 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144430#comments Sun, 20 Nov 2016 23:44:41 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144430 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144430>Article Link</a> For the commodity bulls out there, the past few months have been rollicking fun. Coking coal prices have tripled since mid-year and iron ore has doubled since January. However, in the past week or so, the news flow has turned somewhat negative. (more…)

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OPEC Math Misses the Point http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144424 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144424#comments Sun, 20 Nov 2016 23:43:17 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144424 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144424>Article Link</a> Saudi Arabia’s energy minister Khalid Al-Falih said Thursday he’s “optimistic” that the agreement OPEC reached in September to limit supply will be implemented, with individual output ceilings for member countries. But don’t mistake him for a pushover. (more…)

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Commodities set for rebound in 2017 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144411 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144411#comments Thu, 17 Nov 2016 23:29:28 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144411 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144411>Article Link</a> The commodities markets are rebalancing and the worst is over for the oil market, as a slowdown in production is setting prices up for a steeper rebound than predicted at the beginning of the year, Citigroup analysts said. (more…)

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China needs a bigger hammer to beat down commodity prices: Russell http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144365 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144365#comments Tue, 15 Nov 2016 23:15:03 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144365 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144365>Article Link</a> China may need a bigger mallet to hammer the nation’s commodity investors and take the wind out of what Beijing believes is a speculative bubble in prices for natural resources. (more…)

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Now Is The Best Time Ever To Invest In The Global Economy! http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144342 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144342#comments Tue, 15 Nov 2016 23:07:43 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144342 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144342>Article Link</a> While it may seem as though the global economy faces a difficult outlook, in reality there is a vast amount of opportunity on offer for long term investors. Certainly, the US economy could endure a challenging period after the election of a new President and the potential for interest rate rises. (more…)

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China trumps Trump over outlook for industrial commodities: Russell http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144339 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144339#comments Tue, 15 Nov 2016 00:30:34 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144339 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144339>Article Link</a> The election of Donald Trump as U.S. president has added froth to prices for metals and bulk commodities, but the real driver is, and will remain, the outlook for China. While price volatility associated with the somewhat surprising election of the brash real estate mogul was always likely, hopes for a Trump-led revival of industrial commodities and coal look way too optimistic. (more…)

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Trump Effect on Commodities: Copper Up, Oil Down (Video) http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144337 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144337#comments Tue, 15 Nov 2016 00:29:55 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144337 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144337>Article Link</a> Emad Mostaque, strategist at Eclectic Strategy, examines what is driving oil as prices dip to a three-month low and looks at the commodities market in the wake of the U.S. election. He speaks on “Bloomberg Daybreak: Americas.”. (more…)

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Commodities: Flying High or Feet of Clay http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144336 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144336#comments Tue, 15 Nov 2016 00:29:36 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144336 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144336>Article Link</a> What does the fate of the BRIC countries and the launch of the latest acronym for investors tell us about today’s commodities businesses? Forget the BRICs and the MINTs; it appears that there is a new acronym in town. In October, market research firm, Absolute Strategy Research (ASR), launched CARBNS, a new commodities-dominated grouping, consisting of Canada, Colombia, Australia, Russia, Brazil, Norway, and South Africa. (more…)

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Gold Demand In Q3 And Trump: WGC http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144328 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144328#comments Tue, 15 Nov 2016 00:26:48 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144328 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144328>Article Link</a> Last week, the World Gold Council (WGC) published a new edition of its quarterly report on gold demand. What does Gold Demand Trends Q3 2016 say about the demand for gold in the third quarter of 2016? What does the WGC think about the impact of Trump’s victory on the gold market. (more…)

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Moody’s: Risks to global growth on the rise http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144316 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144316#comments Tue, 15 Nov 2016 00:23:15 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144316 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144316>Article Link</a> Global economic growth will remain at a historically low level next year, susceptible to a Chinese shock, fragmentation in the euro area and fresh financial market volatility, according to Moody’s. (more…)

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Commodities Recover From Jolt as Markets Assess Trump Win http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144274 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144274#comments Wed, 09 Nov 2016 23:19:53 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144274 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144274>Article Link</a> Raw materials and shares of the companies producing them were whipsawed as investors wrestled with the implications of Donald Trump’s stunning victory in the U.S. presidential election. (more…)

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Dr Doom Marc Faber sees Trump win as boom for commodities and Russian assets http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144272 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144272#comments Wed, 09 Nov 2016 23:19:11 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144272 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144272>Article Link</a> The foreseeable future under a Donald Trump presidency will prove beneficial for commodities and emerging markets, investor Marc Faber said Wednesday. With huge infrastructure expenditures underway in Asia, “within the stock market … anything that is commodity-related will do well,” Faber, who publishes the Gloom, Boom & Doom Report, told CNBC’s “Squawk on the Street.” (more…)

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Best & Worst Commodity Performance Under Presidents Since 1970 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144251 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144251#comments Tue, 08 Nov 2016 23:14:03 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144251 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144251>Article Link</a> Will recent history of commodities performing better under a Democrat continue or will a Republican break the mold? How are commodities likely to perform under a Hillary Clinton vs. Donald Trump administration? (more…)

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US election risks for commodities markets – Westpac http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144250 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144250#comments Tue, 08 Nov 2016 23:13:45 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144250 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144250>Article Link</a> Research Team at Westpac, lists down the US election risks for equities and commodities markets by taking reference from the recent Brexit scenario. Expect a similar outcome to Brexit - safe haven demand for gold should push it higher on a Trump win. (more…)

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The strains of a weak global economy are showing http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144225 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144225#comments Mon, 07 Nov 2016 23:21:16 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144225 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144225>Article Link</a> The strains of a global economy mired in a low growth, lowinflation and low interest rate regime are starting to show. Populist, anti-establishment and anti-globalisation sentiment is on the rise across the developed markets. If this leads to a marked deterioration in the quality of economic decision making, it could spell the end of a seven-year period of growth — however weak — for the global economy. (more…)

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How successful is China’s economic rebalancing? http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144207 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144207#comments Mon, 07 Nov 2016 23:09:09 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144207 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144207>Article Link</a> Over the past decade, there has been much talk of global imbalances, and of the need to correct them in an orderly way. But perhaps these imbalances are already moving towards some correction. The biggest sources of the imbalances were the large external deficits of the US economy, which have been reducing for several years now. But one counterpart of that deficit was large external surpluses in China, which were also associated with extremely rapid GDP growth. (more…)

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Can commodities end 2016 higher for the first time in six years? http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144206 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144206#comments Thu, 03 Nov 2016 23:08:37 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144206 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144206>Article Link</a> Agriculture is top contributor after October rally, beating precious metals and energy. With less than two months to go, a nail biting finish looms for investors: Will commodities finish 2016 higher for the first time in six years? (more…)

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Zinc and gold poised to break free of commodity slump http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144194 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144194#comments Thu, 03 Nov 2016 23:05:13 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144194 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144194>Article Link</a> Seasoned investors know that commodity cycles are long and slow affairs that build up to a really great party that ends with a long, lingering hangover. Right now, for most commodities, we are in the hangover phase. (more…)

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Is the Roller-Coaster Commodities Ride Over? (Video) http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144183 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144183#comments Wed, 02 Nov 2016 23:18:41 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144183 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144183>Article Link</a> Global stocks fell toward a three-month low and bonds jumped as investors crowded into haven assets after polls showed Donald Trump gaining ground in next week’s U.S. presidential election. (more…)

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Prospects for oil to hit US$50 to US$60 appear dim http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144136 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144136#comments Tue, 01 Nov 2016 00:36:23 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144136 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144136>Article Link</a> With Iraq wanting to exit and uncertainty over Russian commitment to an output cut, the prospects for oil to hit US$55-US$60 per barrel appear dim, at least for the moment. “History has shown that sustaining production cuts has never been easy. Any headline news on the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec) members not toeing the line will create price pressures,” said Thomas Yong, CEO, Fortress Capital. (more…)

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Mobius says gold will gain in 2017 as Fed goes slow on rate increases http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144131 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144131#comments Tue, 01 Nov 2016 00:35:07 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144131 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144131>Article Link</a> Gold is set to advance by as much as 15 percent before the end of next year as the US Federal Reserve goes slow on increasing interest rates and the dollar remains subdued, buoying bullion demand, according to Templeton Emerging Markets Group. (more…)

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China’s contribution to world economic growth to stay near 30% http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144101 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144101#comments Mon, 31 Oct 2016 01:18:06 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144101 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144101>Article Link</a> The transition of China’s economy will become an important driver of world economic growth, according to Chi Fulin, director of the China Institute for Reform and Development. Addressing the China reform forum that opened on Saturday, Chi said the contribution of China to the world economy will remain at about 30 percent for the next five years. (more…)

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Global uncertainty about economic policy is at record highs http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144079 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144079#comments Fri, 28 Oct 2016 01:21:46 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144079 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144079>Article Link</a> Newspaper indexes show that the unstable politics and economic climate continue to slow down global consumption and investments. As the U.K. responds to voters’ rejection of the European Union, the U.S. presidential election comes to a head and other disputes play out across the globe, uncertainty is at a record high in 2016, according to a new index that tracks newspaper articles in over a dozen countries. (more…)

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Why the good economy could be a problem for the next president http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144060 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144060#comments Wed, 26 Oct 2016 22:07:29 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144060 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144060>Article Link</a> The U.S. economy is delivering some of the best employment and income gains of the past 40 years, boosting workers in a way that recalls the boom years of the 1980s and 1990s. (more…)

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Africa Must Face Reality of Low Commodity Prices, IMF Warns http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144059 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144059#comments Wed, 26 Oct 2016 00:16:05 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144059 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144059>Article Link</a> African commodity exporters risk a “disorderly” hit to their economies if they don’t adapt to the reality of low prices, said a senior official at the International Monetary Fund. Some governments in sub-Saharan Africa have been slow to “internalize” the fact that prices of oil and other commodities are likely to remain low, said Abebe Aemro Selassie, director of the IMF’s Africa department. (more…)

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Commodities: Acting As A Crystal Ball For The New Year http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144037 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144037#comments Mon, 24 Oct 2016 22:16:36 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144037 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144037>Article Link</a> Copper, Aluminum, and Crude Oil have reached at a crossroads and their next moves can dictate where the global economy is headed. Commodities’ next moves can dictate where the global economy is headed. Critical macro releases in the US, Europe, and Japan will shed more light on the dynamics of the global business cycle for Q4. (more…)

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The 5 Biggest Challenges the Global Economy Faces in 2017 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144021 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144021#comments Mon, 24 Oct 2016 02:35:48 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144021 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144021>Article Link</a> International forecasters fear that 2017 will not be a big improvement on 2016 for a sluggish global economy. With plenty of risks ahead including geopolitical and economic instability, here are the five main challenges facing the world economy in the upcoming Year of the Rooster. (more…)

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World Bank Raises 2017 Oil Price Forecast http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144004 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144004#comments Thu, 20 Oct 2016 22:17:43 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144004 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=144004>Article Link</a> The World Bank is raising its 2017 forecast for crude oil prices to $55 per barrel from $53 per barrel as members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) prepare to limit production after a long period of unrestrained output. (more…)

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The Domino Effect of China’s Economic Slowdown http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143984 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143984#comments Thu, 20 Oct 2016 22:12:03 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143984 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143984>Article Link</a> In the 1800s a popular American saying was “As Maine goes, so goes the nation,” meaning that what happened in Maine had a significant impact on U.S. presidential elections. Today, some economists are adapting that sentiment to “As China goes, so goes the world.” (more…)

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Can Latin America Free Itself from Dependence on Commodities? http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143983 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143983#comments Wed, 19 Oct 2016 22:31:06 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143983 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143983>Article Link</a> If there is a market that draws special attention in Latin America, it is the market for raw materials. The economies of the region are widely exposed to price fluctuations in markets such as corn, soy beans and copper, not to mention the region’s number-one commodity: petroleum. (more…)

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BHP says sees early signs of commodity recovery http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143982 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143982#comments Wed, 19 Oct 2016 22:30:50 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143982 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143982>Article Link</a> BHP Billiton, the world’s biggest diversified miner, said on Wednesday it was finally detecting indications of a commodity market turnaround, giving its most upbeat assessment in about five years. (more…)

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Commodities Market: Seeing Signs of Recovery? (Video) http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143981 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143981#comments Wed, 19 Oct 2016 22:30:35 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143981 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143981>Article Link</a> BHP Billiton says iron ore and petroleum production both fell in the first quarter but CEO Andrew Mackenzie says he expects that market for oil and gas to improve in the medium term. Bloomberg’s David Stringer reports on “Bloomberg Daybreak: Asia.”. (more…)

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IMF Sees Saudi Break-Even Oil Price Drop Less Than Forecast http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143979 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143979#comments Wed, 19 Oct 2016 22:29:54 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143979 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143979>Article Link</a> The average oil price that Saudi Arabia needs to balance its budget will fall this year by only half as much as forecast six months ago, according to the International Monetary Fund. (more…)

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OPEC Spat Over Production Data Grows as Iran Rejects Estimates http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143940 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143940#comments Mon, 17 Oct 2016 22:26:55 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143940 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143940>Article Link</a> OPEC’s struggle with the first step of its new production deal — agreeing on how much its members are pumping — deepened as Iran became the third nation to openly question the organization’s data. (more…)

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BRICS drive the global economy http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143922 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143922#comments Sun, 16 Oct 2016 22:26:04 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143922 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143922>Article Link</a> BRICS nations – Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa – account for 43 per cent of the world’s population and 25 per cent of the global economy. Despite a global economic slowdown, BRICS has been a main economic engine for the world economy. (more…)

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Global economic recovery ’still treacherous’: Xi http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143904 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143904#comments Sun, 16 Oct 2016 22:17:53 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143904 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143904>Article Link</a> Even though the 2008 credit crisis and the “treacherous recovery” of global economy has impacted growth among the BRICS countries, Chinese President Xi Jinping today said the potential and the inherent strength of the five-nation grouping of emerging economies continues to be unchanged. (more…)

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Moody’s puts Australia on top of the Triple-A rated commodity exporting economies http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143901 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143901#comments Fri, 14 Oct 2016 02:25:29 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143901 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143901>Article Link</a> Australia will be the fastest growing Aaa-rated commodity exporting economy in 2016, according to analysis by Moody’s Investors Service. Behind this analysis is the increase in export volumes and a services sector benefiting from a weaker Australian dollar. (more…)

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UBS: Gold is setting up for a big comeback http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143895 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143895#comments Fri, 14 Oct 2016 02:23:17 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143895 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143895>Article Link</a> Gold is set for a comeback six to 12 months from now, according to UBS. As long as the Federal Reserve sees no reason to raise interest rates in a hurry, gold should do well, according to strategists at the bank’s Chief Investment Office Wealth Management Research arm. (more…)

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Commodities on track for first positive year since 2010 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143880 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143880#comments Wed, 12 Oct 2016 22:22:16 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143880 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143880>Article Link</a> Commodities remain on track to record their first year of positive returns since 2010. But with the Bloomberg Commodity index up by less than 10%, it could all still change before year-end. While the energy sector continues to stabilise following a two-year selloff, it has primarily been the precious metals sector with its 26% gain that has helped stop the commodity rout, Ole Hansen, Head of Commodity Strategy at Saxo Bank has said. (more…)

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Surplus: Oil glut to last until mid-2017, says IEA http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143874 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143874#comments Wed, 12 Oct 2016 22:20:37 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143874 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143874>Article Link</a> A massive oil glut may weigh on world markets deep into next year unless the OPEC producer cartel makes good on its promise to cut output, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said. The oil price has recovered steadily since OPEC said last month that it would reduce production, with details to be hammered out at the cartel’s November meeting, and such a deal would “speed up the process” of working off global oil inventories, the IEA said in its monthly report. (more…)

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Gold price ‘uptrend is over’, says ABN Amro http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143870 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143870#comments Wed, 12 Oct 2016 22:19:25 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143870 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143870>Article Link</a> The gold price “uptrend is over”, Dutch bank ABN Amro analyst Georgette Boele has said in a note to clients, reports BullionVault. Mounting speculation that the US Federal Reserve will increase interest rates again before the end of the year is weighing on sentiment towards the metal and Boele says a host of technical indicators suggest its 2016 rally has run out of steam. (more…)

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Our Bullish Gold Price Prediction for the End of 2016 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143868 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143868#comments Wed, 12 Oct 2016 22:18:56 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143868 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143868>Article Link</a> Gold prices have fallen more than 4% in October, but our latest gold price prediction shows prices climbing by the end of 2016. In fact, Money Morning Resource Specialist Peter Krauth believes gold prices will climb by double digits before 2017. (more…)

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Citi Not Expecting Quick Silver Return To August Highs http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143866 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143866#comments Wed, 12 Oct 2016 22:18:24 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143866 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143866>Article Link</a> Citi Research is not looking for silver to regain its highs from August any time soon. Spot silver broke below $18 an ounce on Oct. 4 for the first time in three months, following the initial European Central Bank announcement to potentially taper the bond-buying program, Citi says. (more…)

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Here Is One Sign That the Global Economy Is Weakening http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143856 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143856#comments Wed, 12 Oct 2016 22:15:54 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143856 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143856>Article Link</a> Global foreign direct investment flows are set to fall by 10-15% to $1.5 to $1.6 trillion this year, according to United Nations data. “Business are very reluctant to invest [cross-borders],” said James Zhan, director of investment and enterprise at the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development, based in Geneva, Switzerland. (more…)

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Commodities Increased in September due to Supply Fundamentals in Agriculture and Energy http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143855 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143855#comments Wed, 12 Oct 2016 02:07:13 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143855 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143855>Article Link</a> Commodities increased in September, broadly due to supply fundamental factors, according to Credit Suisse Asset Management. The Bloomberg Commodity Index Total Return performance was positive for the month, with 18 out of 22 Index constituents posting gains. (more…)

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The key to the commodity surge puzzle http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143854 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143854#comments Wed, 12 Oct 2016 02:06:56 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143854 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143854>Article Link</a> The continuing surge in commodity prices is causing some head-scratching, as resource sector executives and analysts try to come to conclusions about its sustainability. The oil price hit a year-high of $US52.92 a barrel overnight, as the prospects of an OPEC-led production cut, or at least freeze, appeared to strengthen. (more…)

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BofA Merrill Revised Nonferrous Metals Price Forecast for 2016 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143844 http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143844#comments Wed, 12 Oct 2016 02:02:37 +0000 VRS http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143844 <br> <a href=http://www.opalesque.com/Commodities_Briefing/?p=143844>Article Link</a> Bank of America Merrill Lynch (BofA Merrill) said October 7 it revised price forecast for major nonferrous metals in 2016, according to wenhua.com. It expects the average copper price to be $4,734 per tonne in 2016, compared to $4,828 per tonne it had expected earlier. The bank lowered its price forecast for aluminum from $1,597 to $1,589 per tonne in 2016. (more…)

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