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Alternative Market Briefing

Blackstone's Byron Wien predicts Trump mellows down, real growth and more surprises for 2017

Wednesday, January 04, 2017

Komfie Manalo, Opalesque Asia:

Byron R. Wien, Vice Chairman of Multi-Asset Investing at Blackstone, released his list of Ten Surprises for 2017. This is the 32nd year Byron has given his views on a number of economic, financial market and political surprises for the coming year. Wien defines a "surprise" as an event that the average investor would only assign a one out of three chance of taking place but which Byron believes is "probable," having a better than 50% likelihood of happening.

Wien started the tradition in 1986 when he was the chief U.S. Investment Strategist at Morgan Stanley. Wien joined Blackstone in September 2009 as a senior advisor to both the firm and its clients in analyzing economic, political, market and social trends.

Byron's Ten Surprises for 2017 are as follows:

1. Still brooding about his loss of the popular vote, Donald Trump vows to win over those who oppose him by 2020. He moves away from his more extreme positions on virtually all issues to the dismay of some right wing loyalists. He insists, "The voters elected me, not some ideology." His unilateral actions throw policy staffers throughout the government into turmoil. Virtually all of the treaties and agreements he vowed to tear up on his first day in office are modified, not trashed. His wastebasket remains empty.

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