08.03.2013 - Is Australian property worth the risk?
Those looking to the RBA for succour that property price rises are inevitable are only seeing half the picture. In the post-GFC environment, APRA is just as important to credit availability. It is APRA that has to date forced banks to lend dollar for dollar on deposit growth. This means that there is an implicit macroprudential constraint on the distribution of credit, even if the price is cheap. By that I mean considerably tighter credit standards than pre-GFC. I do not see this changing unless APRA itself changes, or is changed. And if it does not change then property price growth is inherently limited. ..............................................Full Article: Source
Print