29.08.2008 - Why commodity prices are not done rising yet
From Moneyweek.com: The commodity bull market has a long way to go. This bull market is not magic. It's not some crazy 'cycle theory' I have. It does not fall out of the sky. It's supply and demand. It's simple stuff. In the 80s and 90s, when people were calling you to buy mutual fund and stocks, no one called to say, "Let's invest in a sugar plantation." No one called and said, "Let's invest in a lead mine." Commodities were in a bear market and in bear markets people do not invest in a productive capacity. They never have. Perhaps they should have, but they've never done it throughout history and probably never will. There has been only one lead mine opened in the world the last 25 years. There's been no major elephant oil fields [of more than a billion barrels] discovered in over 40 years. Many of you were not even born the last time the world discovered a huge elephant oil field. Think about all the elephant fields in the world that you know about. Alaskan oil fields are in decline; Mexican oil fields are in rapid decline; the North Sea is in decline. The UK has been exporting oil for 27 years now. ..... Full Article: Source
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