30.03.2016 - Riding out the commodities storm
The era of oil shocks is far from over. In the past two years, oil prices have been in a free-fall, tumbling from US$100 (RM401.5) a barrel to around US$30. Frighteningly, nobody knows for sure where the bottom is. The International Energy Agency optimistically predicts a rebound to US$80 a barrel in 2020. Calculation by the Federal Reserve Bank at St Louis proposes oil prices could drop all the way to zero by mid-2019. This by no means suggests that oil will be offered for free. The conclusion is based on a model that combines inflation expectations with oil prices. What the study does point to is the contradiction of economic data and the roller-coaster nature of the oil market...............................................Full Article: Source
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