| It all started so well: a surprise drop in Treasury yields, expectations of accelerating economic recovery, and more than a dash of geopolitical turmoil. Yes, 2014 was shaping up to be a good year for commodities. And indeed, the first half was more than acceptable. At 7.1%, the recently renamed Bloomberg Commodity Index (formerly the Dow Jones- UBS index) had its best six-month period since the latter half of 2010 and its best first half since that of 2008, when the supercycle's ascent seemed unstoppable.
Fast forward all of eight weeks and the good times are over. Commodities as a whole are now in negative territory for the year. Their lead over the S&P 500 has flipped to an 8.5 percentage point disadvantage. And while August may traditionally be a month of thin trading, there is good reason to think summer will set the tone for the rest of the year...............................................Full Article: Source
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