16.04.2014 - Pre El Nino implications for spring/summer weather and commodities
There is a lot of talk about El Nino and often, as is the case in commodities, some hype over which crops and futures contracts will be affected in coming weeks and months. It is important to look, not just at the timing of when El Nino forms and how strong it might be, but ocean temperatures in other parts of the globe. El Nino "does not" always imply higher commodity prices and disasters around the world. In fact, a cooler U.S. summer and weak hurricane season would cap rallies in corn, soybeans and natural gas this summer. In addition, global ocean temperatures (see below) may bring about good early season weather for West Africa's cocoa crop...............................................Full Article: Source
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