05.12.2013 - How to guess right on commodities and still lose
Skeptical investors who concluded a few years ago that the decadelong commodities rally was running out of steam have been vindicated, and the timely bets they placed on falling prices have often paid off. But in a handful of cases, investors learned a painful lesson: You can be right about the big picture, but little things can still erode your returns. The big picture has been broadly negative for commodity prices since early 2011. The Dow Jones-UBS Commodity Index, which tracks futures contracts for nearly two dozen raw materials, is down 11% this year through November. Barring a rebound, the index will drop for the third straight year for the first time since its launch in 1998...............................................Full Article: Source
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