Today's Exclusives

• Opalesque Exclusive: Albright Capital puts a value lens on emerging markets [more]

  Bailey McCann, Opalesque New York: Over the past decade, investors have steadily increased investments in emerging markets private funds. Allocations to the cohort have increased from $93 billion in December 2006 to $564 billion in September 2016, according to data from research firm Preqin. Howe

• Activist hedge fund Elliott holds 5% shareholding in biggest mining firm BHP Billiton [more]

  Komfie Manalo, Opalesque Asia: New York-based Elliott Management, one of the world's most known activist investors, disclosed it now holds 5% of the issued shares of the world's largest mining firm BHP Billiton Plc. The company said in a

Today's Other Voices

• Other Voices: Crisis risk offset; about time? [more]

  This article was authored by Russell Barlow, global head of hedge fund solutions at London-based Aberdeen Asset Management. Like the ubiquitous force of gravity, when financial markets rise they must fall. The quest

More Exclusives

• 15. Aug. | Opalesque Exclusive: New energy is the right bet for this Australian hedge fund manager [more]

  Benedicte Gravrand, Opalesque Geneva: An Australian commodity hedge fund manager talks about his current favourite themes, namely new energy and car batteries, and the current commodity cycle. The managers of the Tribeca Global Natural Resources Fund, a long/short hedge fund, are most positi

• 14. Aug. | Opalesque Exclusive: Global Sigma launches volatility arbitrage strategy [more]

  Benedicte Gravrand, Opalesque Geneva: Global Sigma's volatility arbitrage strategy (GS/ Vol) went live in May, after returning a hypothetical back-tested 19% annually on average from January 2007 to May 2017, with a Sharpe Ratio of 2.

• 14. Aug. | Opalesque Roundup: Over 70 cryptocurrency hedge funds in launch pipeline: hedge fund news, week 33 [more]

  In the week ending 11 August, 2017, in FinTech, hedge funds that are tied to cryptocurrencies are exploding, with over 70 launches in the pipeline. This m

• 10. Aug. | Opalesque Roundtable: Darwinian pressure: Even mid-sized ($500m) hedge funds consider consolidation [more]

  Komfie Manalo, Opalesque Asia: Asset managers are facing a very significant challenge, particularly the mid-sized managed futures hedge funds, said John Harrison, a partner and Group CFO/COO at Amplitude Capital, a systematic commodity trading advi

• 09. Aug. | Opalesque Roundtable: The four different types of investor that are interested in alternative risk premia [more]

  Komfie Manalo, Opalesque Asia: Investment consultancy firm bfinance said it has identified different types of investor that are interested in alternative risk premia (ARP) with each approaching the space from a different perspective. Speaking

• 07. Aug. | Opalesque Roundup: New studies vindicate funds of hedge funds and ability of smaller hedge funds to survive: hedge fund news, week 32 [more]

  In the week ending 04 August, 2017, Chao Gao, Tim Haight, and Chengdong Yin found in a comprehensive study that funds of hedge funds have significant fund selection ab

• 04. Aug. | Opalesque Exclusive: Study says funds of hedge funds have significant fund selection abilities [more]

  Matthias Knab, Opalesque: Given a number of recent unfavorable trends, investors wonder whether funds of hedge funds (FOHFs) offer any value added as investment vehicles. This study by Chao Gao, Tim Haight, and Chengdong Yin seeks to shed light on this question by examining managers' abilities i

• 04. Aug. | Opalesque Roundtable: UCITS or nothing: $700bn net new business for alternative UCITS expected [more]

  Komfie Manalo, Opalesque Asia: The explosive growth of the UCITS space or the Undertakings for Collective Investment in Transferable Securities is not predicted to slow down. In certain regions, it is now essentially "UCITS or nothing", said Dr Toby Goodworth, head of Diversifying Strategies at i

• 03. Aug. | Opalesque Exclusive: Hedge fund Barnegat having a great year, up 17.9% YTD [more]

  Komfie Manalo, Opalesque Asia: Hedge fund manager Bob Treue is having a good year so far this year. His fixed income relative value hedge fund The Barnegat Fund is up 17.9% through July 2017 (+2.3% MTD). Since its launch in 2001, the fund has re

• 02. Aug. | SandPointe Asset Management reaches $150m in commitments, to close fund at $200m [more]

  Matthias Knab, Opalesque: West Palm Beach based SandPointe Asset Management said that firm assets under management have grown to over $116 million USD, with additional commitments of $40 million in September. Investors, which include U.S. and global banks, mutual funds, and family offices, have

• 01. Aug. | Opalesque Exclusive: Foggy financials put new emphasis on other sources of data for predicting earnings [more]

  Bailey McCann, Opalesque New York: Hedge fund managers have always sold themselves as market wizards that can capitalize on information asymmetry in the market in order to make better trading decisions. A company's financial disclosure documents have often played a key role in those trading d

• 01. Aug. | Opalesque Exclusive: Amundsen Ventures launches Norwegian Tech Fund [more]

  Bailey McCann, Opalesque New York: Oslo and New York-based growth financing firm Amundsen Ventures is launching its maiden fund. The AV Growth Equity Fund is targeting $200 million in commitments for growth debt and equity investments in high growth Norwegian tech companies. "Norway has alwa

• 31. Jul. | Opalesque Roundtable: EUREX to release world's first futures-based tradable hedge fund index [more]

  Komfie Manalo, Opalesque Asia: The "futurization" of OTC products by bringing them on-exchange has been a big driver for the expansion of Eurex's equity index portfolio over the last three years, said Markus-Alexander Flesch, head of global sales Eurex equity and index products. Flesch explained

• 31. Jul. | Opalesque Exclusive: A family office spin-off runs a hedge fund that invests like institutions [more]

  Benedicte Gravrand, Opalesque Geneva for New Managers: A manager that spun out of a Canadian family office launched a fund last year that invests like institutions.

More Other Voices

• 28. Jul. 2017 | Other Voices: ICO hell is here (for U.S. investors) [more]

  Chris Kitze Technology Innovator and Investor ICO's surpassed VC funding for blockchain companies in the first half of 2017. Tezos raised $232m in two weeks and Bancor pocketed $153m in just three hours. New coin listings on exchanges have generated eye-popping returns for early investor

• 27. Jul. 2017 | Other Voices: Activist's investment in Nestle: Upcoming depreciation of major world currencies [more]

  By Alex Gavrish, Etalon Investment Research; author of Story Investing. Alex Gavrish discusses the possible story behind an activist inves

• 22. Jun. 2017 | Other Voices: Are your pricing policies and procedures for less liquid instruments adequate? [more]

  Komfie Manalo, Opalesque Asia: The unrelated position mismarking incidents that quickly precipitated the closures of both Visium Asset Management and Marinus Capital have been recent focal points for market participants, but regulatory scrutiny of valuation choices for less liquid instruments is

• 21. Jun. 2017 | Other Voices: What is the Capital Inflow From China A-share Index Inclusion? [more]

  By Qi Wang, CFA, CEO at MegaTrust Investment (HK): As expected, MSCI today announced the inclusion of China A-shares in its Emerging Markets Index for the firs

• 24. May. 2017 | Other Voices: The insidious threat of data mining bias [more]

  Guest article from Kris Longmore, Founder and Head of Quantitative Research at Quantify:In the context of systematic trading research, data mining bias refers to the risk of attributing significance to a result that was in fact due to chance. I refer to it as an "insidious threat" becau

• 17. May. 2017 | Other Voices: How to Evaluate a Machine Learning Based Trading System? [more]

  Meta Alpha, LLC - Submitted to Opalesque as Guest Article - Confidential and Proprietary 1. Is it really machine learning, i.e. does it really learn? Many systems depend on traditional statistical techniques such as GARCH and other techniques but are not really machine learning. In othe

• 12. May. 2017 | Other Voices: Aon Hewitt retirement and investment blog: Hedge fund indices as benchmarks [more]

  Executive Summary Where clients are looking to benchmark hedge fund investments against a relevant market, or peer average, we recommend that clients use HFRI Fund Weighted Indices as opposed to indices from other providers or the newer Asset Weighted indices from HFRI. In some situatio

• 26. Apr. 2017 | Other Voices: "Winner-take-all" dynamics and hedge fund investing [more]

  A growing stream of thinking in microeconomics is the concept of "winner-take-all" dynamics. The idea seems simple. A combination of networking economics and classic economies of scale creates situations where there are just a few dominant firms or economic agents who are able to capture significant

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CME - S&P 500 (FUTURES – Sept.) – Weekly

Near Term Trend: Bullish

Friday’s close: 2,440 (+ 2.50)

UPDATE: Last week, I suggested selling longs near 2,475 and getting short near 2,493 with stops above 2,500.

We finally started to see some stress return to the market this week with the heating up of tensions between the US, North Korea (and China). Technically, I’m staying with the outlook for a further correction and with a range of resistance between 2,477 and 2,496.

I would be covering shorts at 2,415 and then looking to re-short on a bounce to 2,450 – 2,460 with stops on a close above 2,462 and a downside target of 2,321.