http://www.opalesque.com Technical Research Briefing from Opalesque.com, a premium hedge fund news service en-us Copyright 2006, Opalesque.com knab@opalesque.com (Matthias Knab) knab@opalesque.com (Matthias Knab) TRB Fri, 03 Sep 2010 11:54:50 +0200 5 http://www.opalesque.com/index.php?act=TRTrial&and=download_file&sFileName=TRB2Jan2008.pdf Thu, 02 Sep 2010 08:49:54 +0200 Near Term Trend: Neutral / Negative Wednesdays Close: 1081.70 (+ 33.40) UPDATE: Wednesday was the largest one day gain in the index since July 7th Following the writing of that opinion, the posted respective lows of 1038.00, 1037.80, and 1039.80, as the market continued to protect 1037.00, and now finds itself 44 points higher. . As we stated eight days ago, Overall, the S&P has capitulated within a 90 point range during the last four months, and key levels are ma... http://www.opalesque.com/index.php?act=TRTrial&and=download_file&sFileName=TRB2Jan2008.pdf Thu, 02 Sep 2010 08:50:45 +0200 Intermediate Trend (3 Months): Negative Wednesdays Close: $73.91 (+ $ 1.99) UPDATE: Crude Oil continues to trade on the heels of the U.S. Equity market. For the past three weeks the market traded from a high of $82.97 down to $70.76 last week. Out of the last six trading days, the two days of trading which were decisively posit... http://www.opalesque.com/index.php?act=TRTrial&and=download_file&sFileName=TRB2Jan2008.pdf Thu, 02 Sep 2010 08:51:24 +0200 Near Term Trend: Positive Wednesdays Close: $1,248.10 (- $ 2.20) UPDATE: Five weeks ago, price action held support at the trend line ($1159.00) which dates back to July 2009. Gold continued to move inversely to equities as Gold generally appears to be a safe haven against the drag in Global Stock Markets. Over a wee... http://www.opalesque.com/index.php?act=TRTrial&and=download_file&sFileName=TRB2Jan2008.pdf Thu, 02 Sep 2010 08:51:57 +0200 Near Term Trend: Positive Wednesdays Close: 125235 (- 24.5) Yield:2.57% UPDATE: Yields rallied 20 basis pts in the last three trading sessions, in line with the Stock market recovery last Friday. Once again technical trading patterns led the way, as a Key Downside Reversal was posted a week ago providing a two- day advanced warning that prices... http://www.opalesque.com/index.php?act=TRTrial&and=download_file&sFileName=TRB2Jan2008.pdf Wed, 25 Aug 2010 16:24:51 +0200 Near Term Trend: Negative Wednesday Trade: 3947 (- 92) UPDATE: Four weeks ago, once price action returned to the neckline, of the Head and Shoulder Top, it failed, once again, in text book fashion. Two weeks ago, we highlighted the bea... http://www.opalesque.com/index.php?act=TRTrial&and=download_file&sFileName=TRB2Jan2008.pdf Wed, 01 Sep 2010 08:31:58 +0200 Intermediate Trend (3 months): Positive Tuesdays Trade: 13449B (+ 8) UPDATE: Months ago we observed, Following several attempts within the last five months, Bunds finally broke out, above the broad congestion pattern. This move was based on a flight to quality as Eq... http://www.opalesque.com/index.php?act=TRTrial&and=download_file&sFileName=TRB2Jan2008.pdf Wed, 01 Sep 2010 08:29:49 +0200 Intermediate Trend (3 months): Negative Tuesdays Close: 8,985 (+ 30) UPDATE: Since posting a high of 11,410 in the beginning of April, the Nikkei has gone into a steady decline for the last four months. Eight weeks ago, price action failed exactly at the point of the negatively sloping 21- week Moving... http://www.opalesque.com/index.php?act=TRTrial&and=download_file&sFileName=TRB2Jan2008.pdf Thu, 02 Sep 2010 08:52:42 +0200 Intermediate Trend (3 months): Neutral/ Negative Wednesdays Close: 12796 (+ 134) UPDATE: The market traded within 170 points of our upside objective of 13500, four weeks ago. In light of that, we stated, at that time, the Euro was overbought at that ju... http://www.opalesque.com/index.php?act=TRTrial&and=download_file&sFileName=TRB2Jan2008.pdf Thu, 02 Sep 2010 08:53:17 +0200 Near Term Trend: Positive/ Neutral Wednesdays Close: $7.080 (+ 23 cents) UPDATE: This markets parabolic move was impressive, as the price of Wheat nearly doubled within a ten week period. Subsequent to that move, nearly four weeks ago, we forecasted, The market could retrace back toward $6.60- $6.50 (Decembe... http://www.opalesque.com/index.php?act=TRTrial&and=download_file&sFileName=TRB2Jan2008.pdf Wed, 23 Dec 2009 10:27:47 +0100 Near Term Trend: Negative Tuesdays Close: $9.91 (- 10 cents) UPDATE: After calling the recent highs and lows for the past couple of months, the overall pattern for the last four weeks had been one of a broad congestion (an overall range of 40 cents between $10.20, and roughly $10.60), until the end of last ... http://www.opalesque.com/index.php?act=TRTrial&and=download_file&sFileName=TRB2Jan2008.pdf Tue, 23 Mar 2010 09:09:39 +0100 Intermediate Term Trend (3 Months): Positive Mondays Close: 9089 (+ 15) UPDATE: The Aussie $ has rallied in conjunction with the rebound in Global Equities during the past two months. That being said, the slope of the M.A. line has turned neutral in recent we... http://www.opalesque.com/index.php?act=TRTrial&and=download_file&sFileName=TRB2Jan2008.pdf Wed, 01 Sep 2010 08:29:01 +0200 Intermediate Trend (3 months): Neutral Tuesdays Trade: 25,890A (- 90) UPDATE: Nearly two months ago, we stated, A weekly settlement (Friday close) above 28400 is required to ensure a bull run could take us into the fourth quarter and beyond. As of four weeks ago, the m... http://www.opalesque.com/index.php?act=TRTrial&and=download_file&sFileName=TRB2Jan2008.pdf Wed, 01 Sep 2010 08:31:20 +0200 Intermediate Trend (3 months): Neutral Tuesdays Trade: 51715B UPDATE: Both the FTSE and the S&P 500 moved in tandem for the last 15 months. Both Indexs bottomed in March 2009, and both continued to recover/ rally up until April 2010. Four months ago marked the 2nd largest dow... http://www.opalesque.com/index.php?act=TRTrial&and=download_file&sFileName=TRB2Jan2008.pdf Wed, 01 Sep 2010 08:32:38 +0200 Intermediate Trend (3 months): Positive Tuesdays Trade: 12676A (+ 81) UPDATE: Following the upside breakout, above the blue down trend resistance line, several months ago, Gilts rallied from 11600 up to historical highs above 12600. When Gilts were testing the 12200 region, se... http://www.opalesque.com/index.php?act=TRTrial&and=download_file&sFileName=TRB2Jan2008.pdf Thu, 02 Sep 2010 08:53:52 +0200 Intermediate Trend (3 Months): Positive/ Neutral Wednesdays Close: 20,474 UPDATE: Our blue proprietary lines between 19,220 and 20,900 encapsulated price action for many months. Four weeks ago, the Hang Seng broke- out above the main downtrend resistance blue line, and as a ... http://www.opalesque.com/index.php?act=TRTrial&and=download_file&sFileName=TRB2Jan2008.pdf Wed, 01 Sep 2010 08:28:05 +0200 Intermediate Trend (3 months): Positive Tuesdays Trade: 14295A (- 4) UPDATE: Once price action bottomed out this past March, and settled above the Blue Downtrend Line, over three months ago, since that time, the JGB has done nothing but rally. Currently the JGB is trading near its highest levels since June 2003. Price action rema... http://www.opalesque.com/index.php?act=TRTrial&and=download_file&sFileName=TRB2Jan2008.pdf Wed, 01 Sep 2010 08:30:41 +0200 Intermediate Trend (3 months): Neutral Tuesdays Trade: 58595A (- 275) UPDATE: Four weeks ago, for the third time in as many months, the DAX tested the 63475 region- which we denoted resistance at our blue proprietary line. At the time the market was testing key resistance at 63,... http://www.opalesque.com/index.php?act=TRTrial&and=download_file&sFileName=TRB2Jan2008.pdf Fri, 04 Sep 2009 08:11:56 +0200 Long Term Trend (12 Months): Neutral Thursdays Close: 9060 (+ 18) UPDATE: Late 2002, the market was trading near the 62 region, and subsequently hit a historical high, toward the end of 2007, at the 110 region. Since posting that particular high, against the U.S. Dollar, the market proceeded to sell- off to a low near the 7... http://www.opalesque.com/index.php?act=TRTrial&and=download_file&sFileName=TRB2Jan2008.pdf Thu, 02 Sep 2010 08:54:27 +0200 Intermediate Term Trend (3 Months): Positive Wednesdays Close: 2049 (+ 74) UPDATE: Based on the rally in Sugar from the lows in April (1332) to the current level of the 2054 region, this week, the slope of the 21- week moving average line has turned positive. This would imply, e...