Thu, Aug 21, 2014
A A A
Welcome Guest
Free Trial RSS
Get FREE trial access to our award winning publications
Industry Updates

TrimTabs/BarclayHedge survey: Only 31% of hedge fund managers bullish on S&P 500

Wednesday, October 06, 2010
Opalesque Industry Update - October 5, 2010 - Only 31% of hedge fund managers are bullish on the S&P 500, according to the TrimTabs/BarclayHedge Survey of Hedge Fund Managers for September. About 37% of the 109 hedge fund managers surveyed are bearish on stocks, while 32% are neutral.

"Hedge fund managers were extremely bearish on equities at the end of August, and they remain downbeat even though the S&P 500 soared 8.8% in September," said Sol Waksman, founder and president of BarclayHedge. "Negative sentiment has proven costly, as the industry underperformed by more than 500 basis points last month. But managers are sticking to their bearish guns; four in 10 are forecasting stock prices will fall at least 2% in the coming weeks."

About 27% of hedge fund managers are bearish on the 10-year Treasury note, the largest share in four months, while only 24% are bullish. Additionally, 36% are bearish on the U.S dollar index, while only 21% are bullish. These shares are the largest and smallest, respectively, since May. Meanwhile, 19% of hedge fund managers plan to increase leverage in the next month.

"While managers dislike stocks, bonds, and the greenback, many aim to lever up," said Vincent Deluard, Executive Vice President at TrimTabs. "Short rates are essentially zero, the 10-year Treasury yields a scant 2.5%, and real interest rates are negative. Where there's an incentive to increase leverage, managers will act."

About 79% of managers attribute record company cash balances to uncertainty about the economic and political/regulatory outlooks, while only 14% cite a lack of profitable investment opportunities. About 28% of managers want firms to use excess cash to pay down debt, while 17% prefer they keep it on the balance sheet.

"Managers want companies to exercise caution," explained Deluard. "Typically, they'd promote acquisitions and capital spending, stock buybacks, and increased dividends. But in a muddy economic environment a month ahead of midterm elections, managers favor hoarding cash and preparing for the worst."

(press release)

The TrimTabs/BarclayHedge database tracks hedge fund flows on a monthly basis. The TrimTabs/BarclayHedge Hedge Fund Flow Report provides detailed analysis of these flows as well as relevant topical studies. Click here for further information.

- FG

What do you think?

   Use "anonymous" as my name    |   Alert me via email on new comments   |   
Today's Exclusives Today's Other Voices More Exclusives
Previous Opalesque Exclusives                                  
More Other Voices
Previous Other Voices                                               
Access Alternative Market Briefing
  • Top Forwarded
  • Top Tracked
  • Top Searched
  1. Institutions – Texas Employees sets 2015 tactical plan for alternatives, CalPERS' real estate consultant cautions the pension fund's investment committee, Why Sunsuper likes hedge funds[more]

    Texas Employees sets 2015 tactical plan for alternatives From PIOnline.com: Texas Employees Retirement System will invest in up to four new hedge funds in the next fiscal year, which begins Sept. 1. Trustees approved 2015 tactical investment plans for the hedge fund, private equity and in

  2. Private equity follows hedge funds into reinsurance for long-term capital[more]

    From Artemis.bm: It’s not just hedge funds that are entering the insurance and reinsurance market in search of so-called long-term capital to put to work in their strategies, private equity firms targeting the space are also seeking opportunities to add assets under management. The entry of large pr

  3. North America – New York City’s next hot neighborhoods targeted with property funds[more]

    From Bloomberg.com: New York’s real estate world is filled with tales of ordinary people who bought property decades ago and saw values skyrocket to the millions. Seth Weissman is seeking investors to get in early on the next hot neighborhoods. The veteran of Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and hedge

  4. Investing – George Soros bets $2bn on stock market collapse, Warren Buffett's Berkshire reveals Charter stake, cuts DirecTV, Hedge funds lusting to cash out of MGM, Top hedge fund managers are buying Ally Financial, Hedge funds dumped 5m Herbalife shares in Q2, Paulson & Co hedge fund ups Puerto Rico real estate bet, Netflix Inc., Citigroup Inc, Google Inc are top new picks in Tiger Management’s 13F[more]

    George Soros bets $2bn on stock market collapse From Newsmax.com: Billionaire investor George Soros has increased his financial bet that U.S. stocks will collapse to more than $2 billion. The legendary hedge fund manager has been raising his negative bet on the Standard & Poor's 500 Inde

  5. Investors now net short S&P500 and increased Russell shorts, technicals suggest further selling[more]

    Komfie Manalo, Opalesque Asia: Market Neutral funds increased their market exposure to -1% net short from -6% net short last week, according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch’s Hedge Fund Monitor. The report also added