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Commodities Briefing 07.Mar 2011

Posted on 07 March 2011 by VRS |  Email |Print

From Citywire.co.uk: We are all familiar with the factors that are supportive of increasing commodity prices. Continued negative real interest rates, coupled with a strong cyclical recovery and positive supply fundamentals, are among the contributors.
Exchange rate volatility, in particular within the US dollar, has also contributed to strong commodity performance……………………………………….Full Article: Source

Posted on 07 March 2011 by VRS |  Email |Print

From Commodityonline.com: Commodity investment has been a very successful strategy over the past 6 years and is still the best way forward to protect against economic risks and unforeseen events.
Back in 2005 I commented in an article that “my investment portfolio is almost exclusively invested in a basket of commodities (gold, silver, potash, uranium and crude oil) of which the bulk is precious metals……………………………………….Full Article: Source

Posted on 07 March 2011 by VRS |  Email |Print

From Marketoracle.co.uk: Ceapach Donald writes: Metals, food and fuel beat stocks, bonds and the US dollar for a third straight month- the longest winning streak since June 2008.
Price rises fundamentally driven by short supplies lifted all soft commodities like the grains, vegetable oils, sugar, cotton and rubber, intensified by investor speculation that violence in the Arab and Muslim world will curb oil supplies…………………………………………Full Article: Source

Posted on 07 March 2011 by VRS |  Email |Print

From Fundstrategy.co.uk: As unrest escalates in the Middle East, home to some of the world’s biggest oil producers, fund managers will have to assess the likely impact of rising fuel prices on other emerging markets.
Since the onset of the turmoil two months ago, the oil price has risen by 20%. This increase is still much smaller than the surge that followed the Arab-Israel war in October 1973, when crude prices rose several-fold in a short period after a boycott by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec)……………………………………….Full Article: Source

Posted on 07 March 2011 by VRS |  Email |Print

From BBC: Citizens of oil producing nations must see more benefit from their country’s national resources, billionaire investor George Soros has told the BBC.
Revolts in Libya were partly the result of “revulsion against a corruption” fed by the misuse of oil money, he added……………………………………….Full Article: Source

Posted on 07 March 2011 by VRS |  Email |Print

From Hellenicshippingnews.com: Unrest sweeping the Middle East could squeeze OPEC’s precious spare oil capacity for the long term as well as the near term as fearful governments delay reforms needed to tame galloping domestic fuel use.
The disruption of much of Libya’s 1.6 million barrels per day (bpd) of production already threatens to make a serious dent in the less than 5 million bpd of OPEC oil that can be swiftly added to markets in times of shortage……………………………………….Full Article: Source

Posted on 07 March 2011 by VRS |  Email |Print

From Hellenicshippingnews.com: Iranian OPEC Governor Mohammad Ali Khatibi said there is no lack of oil supply in the market. “Raising outputs by some countries were unnecessary and it may have sought particular and probably political aims,” he told ISNA.
He added, “second-hand sources’ calculations suggest that 29,7000,00 to 30,000,000 oil barrels were produced daily in January, whereas some 700,000 to 1,000,000 barrels exceeded the demands.”………………………………………Full Article: Source

Posted on 07 March 2011 by VRS |  Email |Print

From Nzherald.co.nz: Motorists face more increases in the price of petrol, which is likely to reach a new high, the Automobile Association is warning. Motorists are being urged to redouble fuel conservation efforts as no early end seems in sight to the price rises.
Even after two increases last week - in which petrol rose 8c a litre and diesel by between 6c and 10c - the AA says the oil companies have still not passed on the full brunt of a global cost spiral……………………………………….Full Article: Source

Posted on 07 March 2011 by VRS |  Email |Print

From Financialfeed.net: Several situations amid global oil production and supplies, inflation, economic and political instability have made investors anticipate oil at $100/barrel even before the unrest in the Mideast and North Africa happened. With the situation at hand, there are now more concerns over oil.
Justin McNichols of Osborne Partners Capital Management said oil’s climb will stay over $100 if the political uproar continues to spread or if Saudi Arabia has enough spare……………………………………….Full Article: Source

Posted on 07 March 2011 by VRS |  Email |Print

From Stuff.co.nz: Gold surged to a record above US$1,436 an ounce last week as spreading unrest in the Middle East and North Africa burnished the metal’s safe-haven appeal. Following are key facts about the market and different ways to invest in the precious metal.
Large buyers and institutional investors generally buy the metal from big banks……………………………………….Full Article: Source

Posted on 07 March 2011 by VRS |  Email |Print

From Mineweb.co.za: An analysis of the World Gold Council’s latest figures on global supply and demand and of what this means for the gold investor.
In 2011 with such additional supplies no longer available in large chunks, we do not expect to see visible purchases by central banks in the market except for Russia, who is still buying [they bought 3.4 tonnes in January in line with the pattern they showed in 2010……………………………………….Full Article: Source

Posted on 07 March 2011 by VRS |  Email |Print

From Mineweb.co.za: Current Federal Reserve System chairman Ben Bernanke believes a simple recession was turned into the Great Depression by the Federal Reserve of the day not doing enough while the money supply contracted 31 percent between 1929 and 1933.
This reduction in the money supply was caused by no less than three bank runs between late 1930 and March 1933. Bank deposits formed 92 percent of the money in circulation at the time and 10,000 banks failed with the loss of $2 billion in deposits……………………………………….Full Article: Source

Posted on 07 March 2011 by VRS |  Email |Print

From Todayonline.com: Trading of metal futures here could triple by next quarter, as more investors venture into the market following surging commodity prices.
However analysts warned that more liquidity is needed to attract wider participation in the market……………………………………….Full Article: Source

Posted on 07 March 2011 by VRS |  Email |Print

From Etftrends.com: The focus has shifted from Egypt and now to Bahrain, and of course, Libya, which is changing the outlook for crude oil investors. You and millions of others might be wondering what Libya has to do with oil exchange traded funds (ETFs).
David Fessler for Investment U reports that Libya produces about 1.7 million barrels of oil per day, which accounts for about 2% of the world’s daily output, making Libya the world’s twelfth-largest oil supplier……………………………………….Full Article: Source

Posted on 07 March 2011 by VRS |  Email |Print

From Ninemsn.com.au: US exchange traded funds linked to rising commodity prices enjoyed strong inflows in February, according to data from the National Stock Exchange, while the two largest emerging markets ETFs saw withdrawals as investors continued to rotate into developed market equities.
The SPDR energy ETF, known by its ticker XLE, gathered almost $1.6bn in new cash in February, taking assets to just over $10.9bn as fighting in Libya helped to push the price of Brent crude near to $120 a barrel……………………………………….Full Article: Source

Posted on 07 March 2011 by VRS |  Email |Print

From Wallstreetpit.com: With oil hitting highs last seen 2 1/2 years ago and gold and silver hitting all-time highs, broad market indices somehow managed a gain on the week. The battle for Libya continues, with much of the world anticipating the outcome but unsure of the timing or the future governance structure.
Fears over unrest spreading into Saudi Arabia are sparking oil price jumps practically daily. In US politics, there has been rare pause in major federal legislative debate with financial implications, but the states are starting to take on public sector union costs (see Outrage in Wisconsin)……………………………………….Full Article: Source

Posted on 07 March 2011 by VRS |  Email |Print

From BBC: When the government changed the terms of a new tax on the carbon emissions of large companies in last year’s Spending Review, it was accused of hitting firms with a “green stealth tax”.
Money raised through the Carbon Reduction Commitment (CRC) will now go to the government, rather than to those firms who cut their bills the most, as had been originally planned……………………………………….Full Article: Source

Posted on 07 March 2011 by VRS |  Email |Print

From Chinadaily.com.cn: China’s grain reserve has reached 40 percent of annual consumption, much higher than the world standard of 17 to 18 percent, Zhang Ping, minister of the National Development and Reform Commission, said Sunday.
China’s wheat reserve stands at 100 billion kilograms, about the output of one year, he said……………………………………….Full Article: Source

Posted on 07 March 2011 by VRS |  Email |Print

From Marketoracle.co.uk: Growing demand, falling production, a market based upon speculation. Global food prices have increased for the 8th consecutive month. Most commodity groups have risen. The ones who are going to pay the invoice are the world’s poor, as per the humanitarian catastrophe looming in Somalia. The world can no longer feed itself under this model.
Those who implemented this economic model, based not upon stable and staple elements but rather upon speculative and inflationary pressures, often resulting more from caprices and whims than the chain of supply and demand which is supposed to underlie the market economy, should crawl into the annals of history through the lowest possible passage……………………………………….Full Article: Source

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