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The world’s commodity supercycle is far from dead

Posted on 03 December 2012

Great resource booms usually end abruptly, catching almost everybody by surprise. The rhythm is as old as mankind. It is poignantly described Nobel laureate Halldór Laxness through the life of an Icelandic sheep farmer a hundred years ago in Independent People, harrowing because his ruin is so utterly human.
Studies by the World Bank covering two centuries of data sketch a pattern of 10-year supercycles, followed by a slide for the next 20 years or so as excess investment leads to a flood of supply. The long bear market can be cruel for those hanging onto to resource stocks, convinced that the rebound must be nigh………………………………………..Full Article: Source


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VRS - who has written 36130 posts on Opalesque Commodities Briefing.


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