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Commodities Briefing - Category | Investment more

Gold’s upside from here is limited, says Goldman’s Currie

Posted on 28 June 2016 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Investors are flocking to gold as a safe haven trade after the U.K.’s vote to leave the European Union, but the upside from here is rather limited, the global head of commodities research at Goldman Sachs said. “One of the key reasons for that is the market is incredibly long. We’ve also seen a sharp decline in interest rates, particularly U.S. Treasurys, which suggests that we probably are topping out here,” Jeffrey Currie said.
Goldman Sachs upped its gold price forecast to $1,300 on Friday after Thursday’s Brexit vote sent the price soaring. The precious metal was trading around $1,330 in afternoon trading Monday………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Investors pouring billions into passively managed funds

Posted on 28 June 2016 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Cheap, flexible and tax-efficient. The three big advantages of passively managed exchange-traded funds continue to drive the migration of investment assets from actively managed mutual funds to ETFs.
Many industry observers expected that increased market volatility would push investors back to active managers, but the latest asset-flow stats from research firm Morningstar suggest not. In May, $18.7 billion flowed out of actively managed U.S. equity funds and $8.1 billion flowed into passively managed ones that track an index — largely ETFs………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Hedge Funds Win World-Beating Rally With Record Gold Holdings

Posted on 27 June 2016 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Unlike most of the world, gold investors got it right when it came time to betting on the Brexit vote. They were rewarded with a world-beating rally. Hedge funds boosted their bets on price gains for bullion to an all-time high just two days before U.K. voters took to the polls and decided to leave the European Union, sending global markets roiling.
Gold futures climbed to a two-year high after the referendum. The metal’s wild ride isn’t over yet. Prices could jump another 7.7 percent by the end of the year, a Bloomberg survey showed………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Why Aluminum Is A Suitable Commodity For Long-Term Investors

Posted on 27 June 2016 by VRS  |  Email |Print

The development of the global automotive industry has a positive impact on aluminum prices. The current perspectives of the global automotive industry assume a significant growth in aluminum demand in the mid-term. The decline in aluminum production and its warehouse levels are positive catalysts for the growth of aluminum prices.
One of the features of the aluminum market is that the biggest share of aluminum imports belongs to the United States: it amounted to 10.8% of total imports in 2015. The reason is that aluminum is mainly used in the construction and automotive industries, and their activities are spread all over the world………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Investors Map Post-Brexit Strategies Amid Global Market Upheaval

Posted on 27 June 2016 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Britain’s vote to leave the European Union almost a quarter century after its creation with the Maastricht Treaty left global markets in disarray Friday. Today, investors start to figure out the way forward.
“Ultimately, we have no experience in what will happen next,” Glen Capelo, managing director at Mischler Financial Group Inc., who has spent the intervening years on various trading desks, said in a note to clients. “Twenty-three years of positions may now need to be unwound,” he added in an e-mail………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Commodities Players Are Set Up for Market-Crushing Gains

Posted on 24 June 2016 by VRS  |  Email |Print

The resource sector’s devastating five-year bear market saw the Bloomberg Commodity Index drop 60% from its 2011 peak. Naturally, that crushed the world’s dominant resource producers; the top 40 companies saw their market caps shrink by $27 billion in 2015 alone.
All along, these producers have had to clean house, slash spending, reduce headcount, and rationalize every last cent they did spend as production crashed. It was the law of the jungle in action, survival of the fittest. Plenty of producers went straight out of business. It wasn’t easy to watch, and it was even tougher to invest in………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Wells Fargo Thinks Commodities are Still a Good Catch

Posted on 23 June 2016 by VRS  |  Email |Print

The big run by commodities is lifting prices for major benchmarks to new highs in 2016. But advisors who are wary at this point of putting new clients’ money into funds – either broad-based or more focused on futures like gold and oil – might find reason for relief by taking a longer-term view of such historically volatile markets.
“Advisors who are working with clients on a more strategic basis should be able to allocate to commodities with more confidence now,” says John LaForge, head of real asset strategy at Wells Fargo’s Investment Institute………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Is silver next for Chinese speculative investors?

Posted on 22 June 2016 by VRS  |  Email |Print

The roulette game all started in the fall of 2014, about two years after Chairman Xi Jinping came to power and became the general secretary of the Communist Party of China. Xi Jinping had campaigned for socialist economic reform, including a sweeping anti-corruption drive, cutting excess production capacity, tightening of housing credit, and clamping down on gaming in Macau.
Public feedback was initially positive. However, largely as a result of those policies, Beijing was facing an increasingly grim economic growth outlook which was the worst in more than two decades*. Manufacturing activity in China slowed along with the global economy and the construction sector stagnated………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Uncertainties of Brexit making gold attractive as safe asset

Posted on 20 June 2016 by VRS  |  Email |Print

The outcome of Thursday’s Brexit referendum will chart the price of gold in the next six to 12 months, but, in the longer term, investors and analysts agree that bullion is an asset to hold. The immediate trigger for any gold price moves will come in the wake of the referendum, which could see Britain leave the European Union.
Robin Tsui, exchange traded fund (ETF) gold specialist of Asia-Pacific at State Street Global Advisors, said: “If Britain does decide to vote for an exit, this would trigger more uncertainties. There are also risks that other countries may follow Britain to vote for an exit………………………………………..Full Article: Source

AfDB to invest $24b in agriculture

Posted on 20 June 2016 by VRS  |  Email |Print

African Development Bank(AfDB) President, DrAkinwumiAdesina said the bank plans to invest about $24 billion (or $2.4 billion yearly) over the next 10 years to help drive the agricultural transformation inAfrica.
This is, he said, represents a 400 per cent increase in financing to the agricultural sector by the bank. He spoke at the Seventh African Agricultural Science Week and FARA General Assembly, in Kigali, Rwanda. He lamented that Africa spends $35 billion on importing food. This, according to him, is projected to grow to $110 billion by 2025………………………………………..Full Article: Source

These two commodities will get a boost from Brexit

Posted on 17 June 2016 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Most investors anticipate a global selloff and flight to safety in the event of a British exit from the European Union, but two commodities are expected to rally. The cocoa and U.K. natural-gas markets are two of the last remaining commodities contracts still denominated in sterling. Most commodities, from oil to copper to gold, are priced in dollars.
If Britain votes to leave the EU, the pound is expected to plummet, boosting these commodities by making them cheaper in other currencies. A vote to exit the EU would cause a sharp rally in the London-traded cocoa contract, said Max Goettler, a trader at Cocoanect in Rotterdam………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Commodities making a comeback as best performing asset class

Posted on 16 June 2016 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Commodities have performed strongly so far this year, returning 14.0%, outperforming Bonds at 6.6% and Equities at 0.5%. Nitesh Shah, Director – Commodities Strategist, ETF Securities, identifies an improved outlook for global growth, and signs of a commodity supply deficit, as key stimulants of the comeback.
“Sustained central bank interest in keeping interest rates low in an effort to stimulate the economy is providing further support for commodities. And investor sentiment has come off near decade lows as investor realise that commodity oversupply is ending in many areas.”……………………………………….Full Article: Source

China’s Investors Shifting to Global Commodities

Posted on 16 June 2016 by VRS  |  Email |Print

China’s cash-rich investors are increasingly looking to trade on offshore commodities markets after a regulatory crackdown and amid fears over the depreciation of the yuan, according to Marex Spectron Group.
“We’re definitely seeing a tumultuous rise in retail-type or investor-type trading,” Simon van den Born, the broker’s global head of metals, said Wednesday at a press briefing in Hong Kong. Revenues from China have doubled this year, offsetting a slump of about 30 percent in traditional business from industrial and corporate clients, he said………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Multi-asset managers turn to passives for commodity exposure

Posted on 16 June 2016 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Multi-managers hoping to take advantage of the recent commodities bull run and rebuild their exposure have been forced to allocate to passive vehicles, as many active equity fund managers are holding “material underweights” to the unloved energy and mining sectors.
The Bloomberg Commodity index, which tracks returns from 22 raw materials, recorded a 21% gain over the six months since the lows of January, when concerns about China’s slowdown weighed heavily on the sector. There have been gains across the board as supply constraints and production cuts have driven up prices………………………………………..Full Article: Source

European investors buy heavily into gold ahead of Brexit poll

Posted on 16 June 2016 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Gold prices are spiraling with a rise in uncertainty in the developed world. In America, the ongoing meeting of the Federal Reserve is expected to decide on whether to raise policy rates. And, there is the June 23 referendum in Britain on whether to leave the European Union (’Brexit’).
If rate increase in the US and Brexit does happen, European investors will look for hedging in a safe haven, gold at present. SPDR, the largest exchange traded fund for gold, has seen its holdings rise nearly 40 per cent since January and 9.7 per cent since April. Since the beginning of May, its gold holdings have risen on a net basis by 94 tonnes, indicating investor buying. For, recessionary conditions will accelerate in Britain if it chooses to opt out of the EU, which is positive for gold………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Should investors be seeking safety in gold?

Posted on 16 June 2016 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Global gold investment shot up to the equivalent of 617.6 tonnes in Q1 this year, the second highest quarter on record, according to figures from the Global Gold Council and equivalent to $27.2bn (£18.8bn) based on prices of $1,250 an ounce. The industry body attributed the upsurge in demand to negative interest rates, stock market volatility and concerns about global growth.
ETFs were the “main engine” of this growth, according to the organisation, seeing inflows of 363.7 tonnes following three years of almost uninterrupted outflows. At BlackRock, one of the largest ETF providers, gold-based ETPs saw $4.1bn (£2.8bn) of inflows in May, second only to bond funds for net flows at the asset manager, while its gold miners ETFs saw inflows of $1.3bn………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Is Gold-to-Silver Ratio Too High?

Posted on 15 June 2016 by VRS  |  Email |Print

The gold-to-silver-ratio is an indicator that shows how many silver ounces are required to purchase an ounce of gold. The gold-to-silver ratio is one of the most important parameters in the precious metals market, as it measures the relative value of gold and silver. Therefore, it is a useful tool indicating whether gold or silver is undervalued or overvalued relative to each other.
Investors can use the ratio as a timing indicator deciding when to buy gold or silver, or which metal to buy at any given time. When the ratio is low, it means that silver is overvalued relative to gold (and vice versa)………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Should Investors Buy Into Alternative Assets Like Hedge Funds?

Posted on 15 June 2016 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Hedge funds and the less-pricey liquid alternative funds that attempt to mimic them have generally underperformed thus far in 2016. Walter Davis, alternative investments strategist at Invesco (IVZ) , said they started off well when the market dropped to start the year, yet have foundered since stocks turned up in mid-February.
“It’s been a tough environment because there has been volatility and a lack of sustained moves in the market,” said Davis. “It’s just been chopping around.”……………………………………….Full Article: Source

Bullish gold and agricultural bets rise as oil wavers

Posted on 14 June 2016 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Investors’ appetite for gold and agricultural commodities helped lift overall bets on rising commodity prices by 20 per cent last week even as speculators soured their expectations for an oil price that has almost rebounded since January.
“Aggressive buying of natural gas, gold, corn, wheat, and sugar more than offset the fact that the number of commodities being sold outnumbered those being bought,” said Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Investors pile into quant funds

Posted on 13 June 2016 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Investors may be fleeing hedge funds in droves but they are still allocating money to technology-driven strategies, despite more than a year of lacklustre performance. The move suggests investors are looking to position themselves for increased market swings or a possible crash as “quants”, which use computer algorithms to predict market moves, are not correlated to other strategies.
The number of institutional investors who allocated funds to the most popular sub-strategy of quant known as commodity-trading advisers, or CTAs, hit a record of 1,067 in 2015, an addition of 50 from the previous year, according to the data provider Preqin………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Billionaire Investors Back A Gold Price Rally In 2016

Posted on 10 June 2016 by VRS  |  Email |Print

It wasn’t so long ago that some of the more famous investor gurus were shrugging off gold as nothing more than shiny trinkets with no investment value. They were wrong. This safe haven is back, the recovery is clear, and there have been some very big changes of heart.
The biggest gold producers in the world have seen their share prices double this year. Not only are gold prices soaring, but producers are cutting costs and slimming down debt as they pave the way for gold to return to the top of the favored commodities list………………………………………..Full Article: Source

The Big Bet of 2016: Joining George Soros in Gold

Posted on 10 June 2016 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Investors pile into the metal, up 20% this year, and mining stocks, which have vaulted even more. There is a new gold rush on. Abating expectations for Federal Reserve rate increases have fueled a fresh boom in everything that glitters, from gold futures to the shares of gold-mining firms to exchange-traded funds that give traders a way to bet on gold’s daily rise and fall.
Front-month Comex gold futures have been among the best-performing major asset classes in financial markets this year, up about 20% as of Thursday………………………………………..Full Article: Source

How Are Gold Miners Placed in a Volatile Gold Price Environment?

Posted on 09 June 2016 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Gold investors became worried after the release of the Federal Reserve’s April minutes, which were more hawkish than expected. This put the summer rate hike back on the table, causing gold to lose some of its sheen. Gold lost 5.1% in 11 trading sessions after the minutes were released.
The Market was also awaiting the May jobs data to get a sense of the direction of Fed’s monetary policy. The data came in markedly below expectations, lowering the chances of a Fed rate hike in June………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Commodities making a comeback, but investors remain wary

Posted on 08 June 2016 by VRS  |  Email |Print

After years of disappointing returns, commodities have now entered into a bull market and become the best-performing asset class this year. Prices are expected to stay high in the second half of the year with tightening physical and supply fundamentals across the complex, said analysts.
Yet, many investors remain wary of investing in the asset class and are still underweight on commodities, said a fund manager. The strong performance of commodities, fuelled by higher crude oil and gold prices, has outpaced those of equities and bonds………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Rebound in distressed debt boosts investors

Posted on 06 June 2016 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Robust gains mainly reflects valuations for energy bonds rebounding with a higher oil price. Distressed debt investors have experienced their best returns since the financial crisis, providing a rare boost for specialist players after disappointing results in recent years.
In the wake of two straight years of 20 per cent plus losses, this highly volatile style of investing has rebounded strongly, with gains between March and May approaching 30 per cent, the best three-month stretch since the US emerged from recession in July 2009………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Investor Interest in Gold Waning With Fed Rate Increase Looming

Posted on 03 June 2016 by VRS  |  Email |Print

There’s one more indicator signaling investors are beginning to lose interest in gold again. Open interest, a tally of outstanding contracts in futures on the Comex in New York, fell 1.5 percent on Wednesday to the lowest since April 8. In the week ended May 24, money managers cut their net-long positions in gold by 26 percent, the most this year.
In the U.S., where the Federal Reserve has been monitoring signs of economic resilience before deciding on the next increase in borrowing costs, filings for jobless benefits released Thursday fell for a third straight week………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Commodity Hedge Funds Get $5 Billion Embrace on Oil Gain

Posted on 01 June 2016 by VRS  |  Email |Print

The rally in oil has given a fillip to long-suffering commodities hedge funds. After four years of hemorrhaging cash and clients, managers are once again making money and winning back investors.
About $5 billion has coursed into the funds in 2016, with the first quarter seeing the biggest inflows since 2009, according to data compiled by eVestment. Investors are being drawn by gains such as the more than 18 percent increase reported in a letter to clients by Stuart Zimmer’s ZP Energy Fund in New York and the 12.7 percent posted by oil trader Pierre Andurand’s $1.1 billion Commodities Master Fund in London……………………………………….Full Article: Source

Forget gold, oil is the star investment right now!

Posted on 01 June 2016 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Since the turn of the year, the price of gold has risen by around 18%. As a result, many investors are highly optimistic about the prospects for the precious metal and it has clearly been a strong performer in 2016.
A key reason for this is the fact that US interest rates have risen at a much slower pace than expected. When the Federal Reserve increased interest rates in December, it was expected that there would be as many as four rate rises this year, but with none by May, this figure is unlikely to be met. As such, interest-producing assets have been less enticing than was anticipated and the price of gold has risen………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Two Lessons on China and Commodities From Legendary Investor Jim Rogers

Posted on 01 June 2016 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Investor Jim Rogers’ comments from years past are still valid in today’s markets. Maybe not tomorrow, but eventually, China will devalue its currency. And prices for uranium and coal and other undervalued commodities will recover. That’s because, in the end, markets always win.
That’s the application of some of the sage advice from the books of legendary investor Jim Rogers. Rogers co-founded the Quantum Fund, one of the world’s most successful hedge funds, in the early 1970’s. He quit full-time investing in 1980 after generating returns of 4,200% over 10 years………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Gold Price Forecasts Revised Higher – Citi Says “Buy the Dip”

Posted on 31 May 2016 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Gold price forecasts have been revised higher in recent weeks and Citi became the latest bank to revise higher their projections for gold, despite the recent weakness in the price. Citi Research, the research division of one of the world’s biggest banks, raised its gold price forecast to an average $1,280 in the current quarter, $1,300 in the July-September period, and $1,250 in the final three months of the year.
Citi said that despite the recent gold pullback, now is an “opportune moment” for buyers and now is the time to invest in gold………………………………………..Full Article: Source

UBS: Investors Have Opportunity To Buy Gold At ‘More Attractive Levels’

Posted on 30 May 2016 by VRS  |  Email |Print

UBS says any further weakness in gold may be a buying opportunity. The metal has fallen some $90 an ounce from its recent highs, leaving it not far from $1,200 psychological support.
The bank says it’s “understandable” that some investors might be hesitant to buy into weakness, considering recent gains in the U.S. dollar, equities back near the highs for the year, rising 10-year Treasury yields and financial markets pricing in an increased likelihood of Federal Reserve tightening since the start of last week……………………………………….Full Article: Source

Should you start hoarding gold? Some say China’s gold ambitions mean you should keep some stashed at home

Posted on 27 May 2016 by VRS  |  Email |Print

China’s decision to buy its second gold storage vault in London last week was another step towards total dominance of the market. The vault is in a secret location and was bought by Chinese state-owned bank ICBC Standard Bank from Barclays. It could store $90bn of gold at today’s prices, and follows the purchase of a lease on another vault in the capital earlier this year from Deutsche Bank.
London has been a hub for metals investment for hundreds of years, but times have changed and the big banks are pulling back from trading them. Now China is pushing into the gold market in a big way. The reasons why are unclear, and gold continues to spawn more conspiracy theories than the moon landing, but what is known is that China has been amassing the yellow metal at a rapid pace over the last decade………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Banks see worst Q1 in a decade in commodities

Posted on 25 May 2016 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Commodities revenue at the largest banks had the worst start to a year in more than a decade amid a pullback in financing of raw materials. Income at Goldman Sachs Group, Morgan Stanley and 10 other top banks slid by a combined 40 per cent year on year in the three months to March to US$1.1 billion (S$1.5 billion), according to analytics firm Coalition, which tracks commodities activities, including power and gas, oil, metals, coal and agriculture.
Revenue shrank as banks scaled back hedging and financing deals and their hedge-fund clients pulled out of commodities, said Mr Amrit Shahani, a research director at Coalition………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Is gold THE investment of 2016?

Posted on 25 May 2016 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Suddenly there’s a real buzz about gold. There’s something about the ancient precious metal that taps deep into human psychology, and it doesn’t take much to get gold bugs flying again. There’s something about George Soros that taps deep into investor psychology as well. This is the man who famously broke the Bank of England in 1992, and holds an estimated $24bn fortune, which always commands attention.
Soros recently bought bullish options contracts on 1.05m shares in the SPDR Gold Trust, that tracks the price of bullion, and took a $264m stake in the Barrick Gold Corp. So why the sudden razzle-dazzle?……………………………………….Full Article: Source

Defaults Have Already Spread Outside Commodities

Posted on 24 May 2016 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Bond investors appear to have placed their faith in commodities exceptionalism, with many positing that the recent pick-up in U.S. default rates will defy historical trends and remain confined to that industry.
New research from Deutsche Bank AG pours cold water on that idea, arguing that there are already signs of contagion in junk-rated debt outside of the commodities space. A look at previous peaks in default rates shows the potential for more pervasive corporate stress………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Gold Fever: Why Investors Rush to Buy Gold

Posted on 23 May 2016 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Demand for gold rose by 21 percent in the first quarter of 2016. Recently, billionaire George Soros invested nearly $390 in gold stocks, having decreased investments in other assets. Shortly after, large hedge-funds followed the example of the legendary US investor.
Between January and March 2016, Soros Fund Management established by George Soros increased investments in gold market assets, according to the company’s data. Particularly, the fund bought shares worth $264 million in Canada’s company Barrick Gold, one of the world’s leading gold producers. It also bought an option for nearly 1.05 million shares ($123 million) in SPDR Gold Trust, the world’s biggest gold exchange fund………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Why gold makes sense for investors

Posted on 23 May 2016 by VRS  |  Email |Print

The price of gold rose more in the first quarter of 2016 than during any quarter since the third quarter of 1986. As a result, should advisers be educating their clients about including this rather unique commodity as part of their investing tool box, particularly now that a variety of gold ETFs are so readily available?
Gold doesn’t pay a dividend or yield interest, nor does it convey partial ownership of an enterprise that may increase in value. However, there are times when gold can play an important role in a diversified portfolio. It can serve as a leading indicator of future inflation. It can be a defensive asset to hold during periods of economic and market anxiety………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Investor sentiment on commodities turns positive: Lloyds

Posted on 19 May 2016 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Investors have turned positive towards commodities for the first time since November, according to the latest Lloyds Private Banking survey. The monthly Lloyds Bank Private Banking Investor Sentiment index measures net investor sentiment towards an asset class, showing the difference between those with a positive and a negative outlook for the next six months.
Sentiment towards the sector currently stands at 3.24%, an increase of more than 8 percentage points (the biggest rise this month) from -4.8% in April. Emerging markets also saw a change in confidence from a negative -2.42% last month to a positive attitude of 1.97% for May………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Gold price volatility to continue as investor interest rises

Posted on 19 May 2016 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Gold ’s safe-haven allure continues to attract more investors, but one veteran precious metals strategist warns that the higher interest makes the metal subject to price volatility. “Large open interest may add to volatile moves as headlines may influence prices and as many open orders are held back for now,” said George Gero, managing director for RBC Wealth Management.
He also commented on billionaire investor George Soros’ latest Securities Exchange Commission filings, which showed that the hedge fund manager held SPDR Gold Trust shares worth $123 million as of the end of Q1. “Today’s figures were helping gold traders somewhat and more fund managers like Soros are allocating to gold again,” Gero added………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Gold Investment Surge ‘Marks Major Price Low’

Posted on 18 May 2016 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Gold investment prices slipped to 3-session lows beneath $1270 per ounce in London trade Tuesday, retreating 1.4% from yesterday’s 1-week high as Western equities failed to follow China’s stock market higher. Silver also erased Monday’s pop higher, trading unchanged in Dollar terms from the end of last week at $17.13 per ounce.
“Major lows achieved across the complex,” says a new chart book from the technical analysis team at French investment and London bullion bank Societe Generale – calling December 2015’s gold price low a “major bottom” at $1045 per ounce. “Short term though, a shaky configuration [is] expected.”……………………………………….Full Article: Source

China’s biggest bank just bought a vault that holds 2,000 tons of gold in a secret location near London

Posted on 18 May 2016 by VRS  |  Email |Print

ICBC Standard Bank Plc expanded its push into London’s precious metals market by agreeing to buy one of Europe’s largest vaults from Barclays Plc. ICBC Standard, formed last year after Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Ltd. — China’s biggest bank — bought a controlling stake in Standard Bank Plc’s global markets business, expects the purchase of the vaulting business and related contracts to be completed in July.
No financial details were given. About US$5 trillion of transactions are cleared every year in London’s gold market, which Barclays is exiting as it pulls out of precious metals………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Palladium left out of precious metals rally; investors shy away

Posted on 18 May 2016 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Investor appetite for palladium-backed exchange-traded funds is failing to pick up after a dismal 2015, pointing to another difficult year for the metal despite the prospect of a deepening supply deficit.
Market watchers are predicting the market shortfall for palladium will grow this year as mine output abates and demand from carmakers picks up. However, its prices have lagged the rest of the precious metals complex this year, rising 5 percent versus a 20 percent jump in gold and 17 percent climb in platinum………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Ag prices soar: Commodities get mojo back

Posted on 13 May 2016 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Investors have been harvesting big gains in the past month from agricultural commodities, and some of the futures, such as sugar and soybeans, were near levels this week not seen in 18 months or more.
Latin America weather woes and the Brazilian government turmoil are playing a major role in the month-long ag rally. Brazil’s real has strengthened against the dollar, encouraging producers of traditional export products, such as coffee and sugar, to sell supplies at home………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Africa Investors Look East as Commodity-Driven Boom Withers

Posted on 13 May 2016 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Investors targeting Africa are looking east, as depressed commodity prices and slowing growth in China put the brakes on a two-decade growth surge in the world’s poorest continent. Kenya, Tanzania and host Rwanda are the countries in vogue at the World Economic Forum’s annual confab of Africa’s business and political leaders that began Wednesday in Kigali.
All three economies should expand at least 6 percent this year, double the sub-Saharan Africa average, according to the International Monetary Fund. Growth in Ethiopia, the investors’ darling at last year’s WEF Africa summit, is set to slow to 4.5 percent this year, from 10.2 percent in 2015, as a drought curbs farm output………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Lithium - the commodity winner you can’t buy: Russell

Posted on 13 May 2016 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Lithium is the hottest commodity around these days, enjoying spectacular price gains and a blue-sky outlook that’s the envy of the natural resource sector. There’s just one problem though. It’s extremely difficult, and somewhat risky, to gain exposure to the sector.
Lithium isn’t traded on any major exchange, and doesn’t have futures contracts or swaps, thereby cutting out one of the main ways investors gain exposure to a commodity. This means the best way to access lithium’s story is through equities, but this isn’t as straightforward as it may seem………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Hedge-Fund Investors Called Commodities Markets’ Rebound: Chart

Posted on 13 May 2016 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Hedge-fund investors rushed into commodities money pools in the first quarter and the bet’s paying off. They allocated about $4 billion to the strategy in the period, benefiting as the pools returned 6 percent in the first four months.……………………………………….Full Article: Source

Blink and you’ll miss it: China’s two-month commodities bubble

Posted on 12 May 2016 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Chinese investors are known for their ability to drive markets to eye-popping extremes, resulting in some of the most spectacular booms and busts of recent times. The latest frenzy has been a bet on China’s economic recovery expressed through trading the commodities futures market, but how does it compare with history’s most-famous bubbles?
If the charts are anything to go by, the latest rage in trading commodities futures could already be over, after just two months that saw futures pricing in everything from iron ore to eggs and cotton rise as much as 50 per cent. ……………………………………….Full Article: Source

From bull to bear market: China commodities shakeout hits investors, threatens mills

Posted on 12 May 2016 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Only a month ago, Chinese commodities prices were skyrocketing, led by a stampede of speculative investors betting on early signs of recovery in the world’s second-biggest economy. Now, not only has the bubble been popped but a dive has left steel and iron futures 23 per cent off their April peaks and in bear market territory.
This in turn threatens to put the brakes on the restart of steel plants that became profitable as prices rose, as well as drive investors to other markets. When prices shot up in April, Chinese commodities exchanges moved quickly to raise trading fees and push speculators to dial down trading positions, anxious to ensure there was no repeat of the boom and bust Chinese stocks suffered last year………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Oil and Gas Drag Down Canada Investment Plans for Second Year

Posted on 11 May 2016 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Oil and gas companies hurt by low prices are leading a drop in Canadian investment plans for a second year, a government survey found. Planned spending by companies and governments on non-residential construction and machinery and equipment will fall.
4.4 percent in 2016 to C$241.6 billion, Statistics Canada said Tuesday from Ottawa. The survey backs up recent statements from Bank of Canada policy makers, who say the country is undergoing a complex adjustment as an oil-price shock and slower global demand hamper growth………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Is Gold a Strong Investment Through the Rest of 2016?

Posted on 11 May 2016 by VRS  |  Email |Print

There’s no doubt that gold has been an incredible investment throughout the year 2016. Since January first, the price of the precious metal has already gained by around 18%. Now the big question is, “Will gold remain as a strong investment throughout the rest of the year? In my opinion, the answer is yes. Today, we’ll talk about why.
Gold, like any other commodity is heavily dependent on the law of supply and demand. When supplies are low and demand is high, we tend to see gains in the price of gold. Adversely, when supplies are high and demand is low, we will likely see declines in the value of the commodity………………………………………..Full Article: Source

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