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Gold Price Recovery Will Spark M&A Breakout

Posted on 04 September 2014 by VRS  |  Email |Print

A report titled “M&A and Capital Raising in Mining and Metals, 1H 2014″ from Ernest and Young (EY) says that mining and metals deal values in H1/2014 are “down 69% year-on-year, to $16.7 billion ($16.7B), from $53.8B, with deal volumes down 34% over the same period.” Why aren’t more mergers and acquisitions (M&A) happening in the precious metals space?
The first reason is that there are some big egos in the mining sector and some mining companies would prefer to go it alone or at least be in charge. But if both companies want to be in charge, someone is going to lose out. Ego is a big factor. Third is asset quality. Miners looking at other companies believe that their own assets are of superior quality and those of targeted companies are poor. Generally, asset quality is not high. Number four is transaction costs. It costs a lot of money to make a transaction, especially for small companies with limited cash………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Is Gold Knocking On Intrinsic Value’s Door?

Posted on 04 September 2014 by VRS  |  Email |Print

From 2008 through 2011, Gold was a hotly debated subject within financial circles as we acclimated to the idea that the Fed could double and triple its balance sheet and somehow not debase the dollar. On the one hand there were gold bugs who said that gold was the only true form of money based on the precedent of thousands of years of economic history.
On the other side there was the intelligentsia, which argued that gold was a “barbaric relic” utilized by uncivilized people and that its value was purely psychological. At first, gold bugs had the advantage in the debate — between 2008 and 2011 gold’s price rose by 150%. But since then, the price has fallen by 35% from its peak. Indeed, as gold prices collapsed and stocks soared, the gold debate has seemingly faded from the discourse………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Gold price flounders under $1,300/oz

Posted on 04 September 2014 by VRS  |  Email |Print

A stronger dollar and U.S. economic data are being blamed for dismal performance of the price of gold over the past day. The spot gold price dropped some 1.6 percent to around $1,265 an ounce mid-day yesterday and has since muddled along, mostly between $1,265 and $1,270. The latest drop adds to a string of downsteps for gold since early July when the price of gold was looking up. In late May and early June gold surged from similar levels in the mid $1,200s to the mid-$1,300s in early July, when its latest decline began.
Generally analyst commentary pointed to U.S. economic data as driving the down the price of gold Tuesday. “The metal continued its decline further, to a low of 1262.00/1263.00 – a level last seen in mid-June, as it broke through a key technical support level on a day that also saw crude oil prices tumble and the dollar index touch a 13-month high after U.S. manufacturing data surpassed expectations and supported speculations that the U.S. Fed would raise interest rates earlier than anticipated.”……………………………………….Full Article: Source

Gold price plunges to two-month low

Posted on 03 September 2014 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Gold prices fell to a two-month low and palladium posted its steepest decline in two months overnight, as pressure from a stronger US dollar snuffed out investor appetite for the haven assets. Gold for December delivery, the most actively traded contract, fell $US22.40, or 1.7 per cent, to $US1265 an ounce, the lowest closing price since June 11 on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange.
The US dollar gained on investors’ expectations of stimulus efforts by the European Central Bank after its chief Mario Draghi signalled that further accommodative steps are necessary to revive the region’s economy. The ICE dollar index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of currencies, rose to 83.03, its highest level in more than a year………………………………………..Full Article: Source

HSBC Sees Gold Ranging From $1,150 To $1,350 For Rest Of 2014

Posted on 03 September 2014 by VRS  |  Email |Print

HSBC said Tuesday it sees gold trading in a range of $1,150 to $1,350 an ounce during the remainder of 2014 in a market “searching for a new equilibrium” with a number of offsetting factors. The bank left its 2014 average price forecast at $1,292 an ounce and listed 2015 and 2016 forecasts of $1,310 and $1,345.
“Gold is searching for a new equilibrium after last year’s price plunge, which ended the more than decade-long bull run,” HSBC said. “The massive gold-exchange-traded funds (ETFs) outflows of 2013 –which were instrumental in driving prices lower – have largely abated. Another positive is that net long positions on the Comex are rebuilding. Other factors supporting prices are that mine production gains are plateauing, scrap supplies are down and central bank demand is steady.”……………………………………….Full Article: Source

Gold and Silver Price A Critical Juncture

Posted on 03 September 2014 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Gold and silver are at a critical juncture - either they break down to new lows soon or a major new uptrend is about to start. Which is it? - while we cannot be 100% sure either way, we can certainly attempt to figure which way they are likely to break.
Many have been tempted to conclude, because of the dismal response to date by the Precious Metals to the growing geopolitical tensions in various regions of the world, that this is an indication of intrinsic weakness, and that they are therefore destined to break down soon, but there is another way of looking at it………………………………………..Full Article: Source

A Golden Fall For Gold And Silver Bullion Bulls?

Posted on 03 September 2014 by VRS  |  Email |Print

September is the hottest month of the year for gold prices, rising on average 3% over the past 20 years. As the yellow metal tests hovers off 2-month-lows, Bloomberg notes that “Indian jewelers and dealers will be stocking up in the coming weeks,” ahead of the festival period, which runs from late August to October (andis followed by the wedding season) when bullion is bought for part of the bridal trousseau or in jewelry form as gifts from relatives.
As GoldCore’s Mark O’Byrne notes, “a lot of traders are aware of this trend towards seasonal strength… They tend to buy and that creates momentum.” The pattern of trading in precious metals changed for the better this week. After London’s bank holiday on Monday, for the first time in a long time the market opened in London’s pre-market with higher prices………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Hedge funds cut gold bullish bets as bullion recovery stalls

Posted on 02 September 2014 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Prices fall 2.6 per cent since June as signs of faster US growth fortifies the case for an interest-rate rise and reduces bullion’s value as a haven. After gold’s rally in the first half of the year beat gains for commodities, equities and Treasuries, bullion is back to being out of favour with investors.
Hedge funds cut their bullish gold bets for the fourth week in five, sending holdings to a two-month low, United States government data shows. Open interest in New York futures is the smallest in five years, and assets in global exchange-traded products backed by the metal in August posted the biggest monthly drop since May………………………………………..Full Article: Source

The case for a September gold price surge

Posted on 02 September 2014 by VRS  |  Email |Print

July, August and September are typically gold’s strongest performing months. But gold dropped 2.7% in July, and barely managed a gain in August. Gold futures inched higher on Monday as investors sought safe-haven assets amid increased tensions between Ukraine and Russia, after fighting intensified over the weekend.
Gold for December delivery rose slightly to $1,288 on Monday and historically holding gold going into September reaps investors a more than 3% return………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Gold Speculators Cut Back Bullish Bets As Prices Remain Under $1,300

Posted on 02 September 2014 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Gold market traders and speculators cut back on their overall bullish bets last week for a second consecutive week and to the lowest level in over two months, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday.
The non-commercial futures contracts of Comex gold futures, traded by large speculators and hedge funds, totaled a net position of +113,169 contracts in the data reported through August 26th. This was a weekly change of -24,807 contracts from the previous week’s total of +137,976 net contracts that was registered on August 19th………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Hedge Funds Cut Gold Bull Bets to Lowest Since June

Posted on 01 September 2014 by VRS  |  Email |Print

After gold’s rally in the first half of the year beat gains for commodities, equities and Treasuries, bullion is back to being out of favor with investors. Hedge funds cut their bullish gold bets for the fourth week in five, sending holdings to a two-month low, U.S. government data show. Open interest in New York futures is the smallest in five years, and assets in global exchange-traded products backed by the metal in August posted the biggest monthly drop since May.
Gold prices fell 2.6 percent since June, heading the first quarterly loss this year, as signs of faster U.S. economic growth bolstered the case for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, cutting demand for an inflation hedge. Holdings through ETPs slumped for the fourth time in five months as escalating violence from Ukraine to the Middle East wasn’t enough to revive buying………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Africa’s Biggest Fund Manager Favors Platinum Equities Over Gold

Posted on 01 September 2014 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Africa’s biggest fund manager favors South African platinum equities over those of gold, betting against the price performance of the metals and the share performance of the companies that mine them..
The Pretoria, South Africa-based Public Investment Corp., which manages the equivalent of $1.5 billion, is the biggest or second-largest shareholder in South Africa’s four biggest gold producers and two largest platinum miners, according to data compiled by Bloomberg………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Gold’s Headwinds Now Starting To Fade - Look For Higher Prices Ahead

Posted on 01 September 2014 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Positive seasonal factors are now in effect for precious metals and this should help push prices higher in the period ahead. A stronger dollar continues to limit gold and silver price gains, however, a dovish Federal Reserve could cause the dollar rally to reverse course. Safe haven demand remains strong and this too could boost demand precious metals this fall.
Gold and silver prices rose together for the first time in seven weeks, but the metals stayed within well-defined ranges during quiet, end-of-summer trading, setting the stage for positive seasonal factors and possibly rising prices in the period ahead. The strengthening dollar continues to be a major impediment to higher metal prices and dollar bearish developments are sorely needed for any sustained gold rally this fall………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Top 20 largest gold reserves by country

Posted on 01 September 2014 by VRS  |  Email |Print

After a long bull move gold is at a crossroads. Depending on who you talk to, the 15-year bull market in gold has ended or is taking a breather preparing for its next leg up. The massive inflation predicted from the enormous liquidity poured into the system by central banks around the world has not arrived so gold has pulled back from its 2011 high. Gold is the most followed and globally traded commodity. But not just by retail investors watching late night TV. While there is no more gold standard, governments maintain a reserve quantity of gold.
Although gold has industrial applications, gold is a monetary asset and its prime driver is investment demand. We take a look at the top reported official gold holdings of individual countries (as of June 2014) based on information from the World Gold Council………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Artificially low Silver prices and monetary policy gone wrong

Posted on 01 September 2014 by VRS  |  Email |Print

The purpose of a taboo is to avoid destruction. Those who do not respect the taboos of a culture endanger the cultural identity. Therefore, disregarding the taboos produces self-destruction and/or destruction.
Many of you read Jeff Clark’s (of Casey Research) recent piece outlining the reasons why silver prices will likely move higher. It was a great piece from an organization with great reach. But it missed the unmentionable elephant in the room. Here is a summary in all its bullish glory………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Top 20 largest gold reserves by country

Posted on 29 August 2014 by VRS  |  Email |Print

After a long bull move gold is at a crossroads. Depending on who you talk to, the 15-year bull market in gold has ended or is taking a breather preparing for its next leg up. The massive inflation predicted from the enormous liquidity poured into the system by central banks around the world has not arrived so gold has pulled back from its 2011 high.
Gold is the most followed and globally traded commodity. But not just by retail investors watching late night TV. While there is no more gold standard, governments maintain a reserve quantity of gold. Although gold has industrial applications, gold is a monetary asset and its prime driver is investment demand. We take a look at the top reported official gold holdings of individual countries (as of June 2014) based on information from the World Gold Council………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Check Out Silver For A View On Gold

Posted on 29 August 2014 by VRS  |  Email |Print

For gold traders, the last few months have been challenging to say the least, with the precious metal lurching higher and lower driven by fear, the US Dollar, a singular lack of any inflation and seasonal supply and demand. At times like this it can help to look at related or associated markets for an alternative view.
One such is silver, which has been more measured in its price action over the last few weeks, remembering as always, that silver is not a precious metal, but an industrial one, and the daily chart for the December futures contract delivers some interesting insights………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Gold demand: Not so hot, not so cold

Posted on 29 August 2014 by VRS  |  Email |Print

As pointed out by the Fed Chairman Janet Yellen, how much slack there is in the U.S. labour market is still up for debate. The Fed uses a Labour Market Conditions Index, which consists of 19 factors. The undertone is that the underuse of the labour force is still big although a few Fed governors have been saying that the interest rates will rise sooner than expected.
The ECB governor surprised the market by saying for the first time that both the fiscal and monetary policies are necessary to stimulate aggregate demand, which means there is room for more asset purchases and possibly QE and more fiscal policy flexibility from the governments………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Let’s talk diamonds

Posted on 29 August 2014 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Let’s talk diamonds for a change. Often it seems that gold gets all the fun when I write and speak about precious metals and minerals. But Vancouver-based Lucara Diamond, which we own in both our Gold and Precious Metals Fund (USERX) and World Precious Minerals Fund (UNWPX), has been turning heads here at U.S. Global Investors lately for a number of reasons, the most notable being that it continues to report stellar returns.
The company reports that, in its second quarter, it achieved tender proceeds, or profits, of $95 million from sales of 111,900 carats of diamonds, amounting to $849 per carat. Compared to last year’s second quarter, profits are up an impressive 93 percent………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Silver Pricing Change Takes Effect; Other Metals to Follow

Posted on 29 August 2014 by VRS  |  Email |Print

With the launch in mid-August of a new system to arrive at the price for silver, precious metals investors are dealing with the first in a series of changes in how the market prices of silver, gold, platinum and palladium are reached.
More change is coming, since the other three metals have yet to go through the process, but what’s happened so far is this: Concerns about price fixing after everything from LIBOR to currency were found to have been manipulated led to accusations about the gold and silver markets, and in January of this year Germany’s financial regulator Bafin said that the manipulation of precious metals prices was worse than that occurring with LIBOR………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Gold price ‘could have some way to fall yet’

Posted on 28 August 2014 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Investors should ignore the ‘myths’ that surround gold as an investment and not buy at the current level, despite the fact that the asset class is trading at 33 per cent below its peak valuation of just three years ago, according to Brian Dennehy, managing director of FundExpert.co.uk.
Dennehy remarked, ‘Usually, there is a negative correlation between the performance of the dollar and the price of gold. Many people expect the dollar to start performing better now that tapering is coming to an end, and indeed it already has started to perform better, and generally speaking if the dollar is performing better then the price of gold will usually perform poorly.’ ……………………………………….Full Article: Source

The Continued Strive of Market for Gold Bullion

Posted on 28 August 2014 by VRS  |  Email |Print

For a lot of business-minded people and investors, establishing and owning of solid gold bullion stores is considered as one of the best ways to secure finances for future use. With today’s unpredictable and mostly unstable economy, currency has often dealt with weak and vulnerable hand pushing investors alike to invest in gold coins hoping to gain a more stable strength as well as market independence from the currency that is holding their assets.
US Mint, for example, has found a reliable indicator of gold, silver as well as platinum demand in the country. However, sales in here have recently shown diminishing interest from present as well as potential business owners………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Gold shines most in September on seasonal buys

Posted on 28 August 2014 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Gold investors are hurting from prices within 1% of a two-month low can find solace from the historical record and research and showing gold performs best in September.
Our Bloomberg chart of the day shows bullion averaged gains of 3% each September over the past 20 years, beating next best month November, when prices rose an average 1.8% according to Bloomberg based on a market update by GoldCore. We covered gold’s seasonality and gold’s best performing months here………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Gold price lifted out of danger zone

Posted on 27 August 2014 by VRS  |  Email |Print

On the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange, gold futures for December delivery on Tuesday attempted a comeback of sorts, recovering from a two month low. By the close of regular trade gold was changing hands for $1,285.20 an ounce, up over $6, after earlier hitting a day high of $1,291.90. The gains follow six weak sessions which saw the metal lose 2% in value.
Tuesday’s move lifted the metal above its 200-day moving average – a bullish technical sign – after bouncing off support at $1,272 and could now attempt a move back above $1,300 an ounce………………………………………..Full Article: Source

India’s Appetite for Gold Improves

Posted on 27 August 2014 by VRS  |  Email |Print

As gold prices linger near a two-month low, demand in Asia has started edging higher with buyers in India increasing purchases ahead of a Hindu religious festival this week. The mark up to global gold prices, known as a premium, that Indian consumers pay has climbed to $10 to $13 a troy ounce from zero in July, a sign that appetite for gold is picking up in the world’s second-largest consumer of the precious metal.
The vast majority of India’s gold supply comes from abroad. As a result, Indian gold buyers typically pay a premium to global prices that reflects the tightness of locally available supply as well as the government-imposed import duty………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Is Asian gold demand really slipping so much?

Posted on 27 August 2014 by VRS  |  Email |Print

By all accounts in the mainstream media, gold demand in Asia, and in particular in China and India, has been slipping dramatically this year which some see as the principal reason behind current price weakness. But all may not be as the reports suggest. Is Chinese demand, as suggested by the enormous slippage in gold imports though Hong Kong really as bad as the figures appear to show?
Reuters reports Hong Kong net gold exports to mainland China in July as falling to the lowest level since June 2011 at 22 tonnes (Bloomberg reports the figure as 21 tonnes). Compare this with the heady days last year when such gold imports exceeded 100 tonnes monthly for 6 months in a row from May to October………………………………………..Full Article: Source

How The Coming Silver Price Bubble Will Develop

Posted on 27 August 2014 by VRS  |  Email |Print

What is an asset bubble? An asset bubble occurs when a large number of buyers, normally not usually prone to speculate in an asset, bid the price of that asset much higher than underlying valuations would support, most often fueled by leverage or borrowed money. Typically, towards the terminal phase of the bubble the most compelling reason for continuing to buy the asset is due to the rising price itself, as all caution is thrown to the wind amid the collective belief that prices can only move higher still.
Then, when the last possible speculator has purchased the asset, the inevitable occurs and the price of the asset collapses as previous buyers turn into sellers and attempt to get out………………………………………..Full Article: Source

How to Invest in Silver Today for Double-Digit Gains

Posted on 27 August 2014 by VRS  |  Email |Print

If you’ve been watching silver for some time, you know it’s been in the doghouse. After peaking at $49 back in April 2011 the white metal is down 60%, having languished between $19 and $22 for the past two years.
But a confluence of factors is building that make today’s silver prices look downright cheap. Here’s how the bull is going to run - and how you can ride it all the way up from here… To explain how the precious white metal behaves, I like to use the phrase: silver is like gold - on steroids………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Why Gold And Silver Prices Are Range-Bound

Posted on 27 August 2014 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Frustrated investors in physical gold and its derivative asset classes have fumed quietly as a mal-regulated market for counterfeit gold and silver (futures contracts, certain ETFs) leads precious metals prices around by the nose for the exclusive enrichment of an elite cadre of financial institutions.
Entities such as Goldman Sachs, HSBC, Barclays, J.P. Morgan, and others are able to issue contracts deemed to represent millions of ounces of gold for future sale or purchase anonymously, and without limit. These paper representations of gold, while notionally tied to the prices of silver and gold, have the effect of suppressing the prices of the physical commodities because they represent exponentially more gold and silver than is physically available, thus creating a supply scenario that is utterly false………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Platinum giants still to struggle

Posted on 27 August 2014 by VRS  |  Email |Print

A combination of labour issues, various spats with government and a number of operational issues are not yet behind Lonmin, Impala Platinum and AngloPlats and investors should be wary of committing to buying shares despite a recent recovery. Lonmin in particular was one of the big movers in Europe last week, rising just over 5%. But Peter Garny, head of equity strategy at Saxo Bank was not convinced.
He told clients: “Our quant model remains significantly more bearish than consensus with a 12-month return target of only 2% compared to 31% based on 25 sell-side analyst estimates. As a result, Lonmin is the least favoured mining company in Europe by our model and the technical picture shows significant negative momentum so, in our view, it is too early to play the turnaround case………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Gold Rising-Rate Fallacy

Posted on 26 August 2014 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Gold has slid during this past week on mounting fears of interest-rate hikes. Between the latest FOMC meeting’s minutes and the Fed’s annual Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium, American futures speculators’ rising-rate phobias have been whipped into a fever pitch. They worry gold will be crushed when the Fed eventually starts normalizing rates. But history shatters this fallacy that rising rates are gold’s nemesis.
Today there is a near-universal belief among futures traders that rising interest rates are very bearish for gold. The underlying logic is simple. When interest rates rise, so do yields on bonds and cash in the form of money-market funds. This makes bonds and cash relatively more attractive to investors than gold, which yields nothing. Therefore they jettison their gold holdings to migrate capital back into bonds and cash………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Gold likely to find limited support on downside: Barclays

Posted on 26 August 2014 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Gold is likely to find limited support on the downside in the absence of firm physical demand coupled with muted investor appetite, a report by Barclays said. Gold prices dropped to two-month lows, remaining below the $1300/oz mark last week following stronger-than-expected data from the US and hawkish comments from the Fed.
In the US, key data released last week were stronger than expected, ranging from existing home sales, the Philly Fed manufacturing index, the Conference Board’s index of leading indicators, to the weekly unemployment claims. The August employment report (due September 5) is likely to show solid employment growth of 200k and the unemployment rate to decline 0.1%, to 6.1%………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Gold price drops to near 2-month low

Posted on 26 August 2014 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Gold held close to its lowest in two months on Monday, as the dollar marched higher after central bank heads signaled that interest rates were set on a diverging course in the United States, Europe and Japan.
At a gathering of central bankers in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen nodded to the concerns of some Fed officials about the sustained level of monetary policy stimulus, even as she stressed the need to move cautiously on raising rates. The heads of the European Central Bank and Bank of Japan pledged more policy stimulus, which weighed on the euro and the yen versus the US currency………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Gold Speculators Reduce Positions

Posted on 26 August 2014 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Investors are exiting the Gold market on speculation that signs of sustained U.S. economic growth will push the Federal Reserve closer to raising interest rates, cutting demand for bullion as an inflation hedge.
Hedge funds reduced their bullish gold bets for the third time in four weeks and open interest in New York futures and options are near the lowest in five years, U.S. government data show. Prices tumbled 2 percent last week, the most since late May, erasing $1.2 billion from the value of exchange-traded products backed by bullion………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Platinum giants still to struggle

Posted on 26 August 2014 by VRS  |  Email |Print

A combination of labour issues, various spats with government and a number of operational issues are not yet behind Lonmin, Impala Platinum and AngloPlats and investors should be wary of committing to buying shares despite a recent recovery.
Lonmin in particular was one of the big movers in Europe last week, rising just over 5%. But Peter Garny, head of equity strategy at Saxo Bank was not convinced. He told clients: “Our quant model remains significantly more bearish than consensus with a 12-month return target of only 2% compared to 31% based on 25 sell-side analyst estimates……………………………………….Full Article: Source

Fund Managers Cut Most Precious Metals Positions In Latest CFTC Data

Posted on 26 August 2014 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Large speculators cut their net-long gold futures and options holdings on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange in the latest Commodity Futures Trading Commission data for the week ended Aug. 19, reversing some of the gains established in the last report.
The retreat came as geopolitical fears subsided and pushed the yellow metal under $1,300 an ounce during that timeframe. Platinum group metals activity was mixed, with large speculators adding to bullish palladium holdings and dropping platinum. These traders continued to trim net-long silver positions and cut their exposure in copper, too………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Weaker Prices Forecast For Gold Market — Survey Participants

Posted on 25 August 2014 by VRS  |  Email |Print

A majority of participants in the weekly Kitco News Gold Survey expect gold prices will continue to soften as improving U.S. economic news and the Federal Reserve making broader hints about raising interest rates next year may weigh on values.
Out of 37 participants, 23 responded this week. Of those, eight see higher prices, 12 see lower prices and three see prices trading sideways or are neutral. Market participants include bullion dealers, investment banks, futures traders and technical-chart analysts………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Gold should be $1,400/oz: Global Investors’s Holmes

Posted on 25 August 2014 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Frank Holmes, CEO and CIO of US Global Investors, a company known for its focus on the natural resources sector, says he believes the price of gold should be $1,400 per ounce, according to an interview on Ceo.ca. Holmes mentions several reasons for his bullish stance on the yellow metal, including economic concerns in Europe and China that trigger stimulus.
“We saw, three weeks ago, Germany go to a negative real interest rates. Well, when that happens all of a sudden you start seeing gold rise in euro terms,” Holmes tells interviewer Shannon Nelson………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Gold Price Manipulation Still Alive

Posted on 25 August 2014 by VRS  |  Email |Print

If one looks at a longer term chart of the last two years it’s very clear that gold is being capped at certain levels, and those levels are slowly forcing gold lower and lower. Each one of these manipulation zones are being defended successfully and that has some serious connotations going forward.
This all started right after the announcement of QE3. Gold was driven below $1700 and held below that level for 2 months. This got the ball rolling so to speak, it broke an intermediate cycle and started the bear market. Of course we all remember the call by GS to sell gold short followed by the premarket attack on April 12 that took out the stops below $1520 leading to a waterfall decline. That had to be one of the most blatant cases of manipulation in market history………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Rhodium Rally Pushes Price Past Platinum, Gold: Chart of the Day

Posted on 25 August 2014 by VRS  |  Email |Print

The price of rhodium, a metal used in car pollution-control devices, surpassed that of more-widely used platinum for the first time in 31 months as a mine strike in South Africa reduced supply amid rising demand.
The CHART OF THE DAY shows rhodium surging to $1,475 an ounce on Aug. 14, surpassing platinum for the first time since 2011 after overtaking gold, according to price data compiled by Bloomberg. Rhodium was at $1,400 as of Aug. 22, up 57 percent from its nine-year low in December………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Korea: No rush of investors at gold exchange

Posted on 25 August 2014 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Although business is transacted, there are no records and the government can’t levy taxes. This is the character of the underground economy in Korea, where gold is the commodity of choice. Transactions are made through a direct exchange of bullion or by cash, and the total value not subject to taxation is estimated at 300 billion won ($294.8 million) a year.
In an attempt to tap into that source of revenue, the government in March opened the nation’s first gold exchange market. After five months, are there signs of progress toward making the underground market more transparent?……………………………………….Full Article: Source

Can Gold and Silver still meet the previous price forecasts?

Posted on 25 August 2014 by VRS  |  Email |Print

In your previous Gold Report interview of Dec. 31, 2013, you predicted 2014 prices of $1,400 per ounce ($1,400/oz) for gold and $25/oz for silver. Do you think that gold and silver can still meet those prices this year?
Those figures referred to the high side of the anticipated trading range for both metals. Today, our prediction for the high side in 2014 is $1,350/oz for gold and $22/oz for silver. In other words, we see silver potentially trading up to $22/oz this year but do not imply in any way that we expect silver to average $22/oz this year………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Investors pile up dollar, abandon gold

Posted on 25 August 2014 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Strong economic data from the US saw gold prices drop sharply last week to hit $1,281/ounce, down 1.8 per cent. The US Commerce Department said that the number of building permits issued in July increased by 8.1 per cent to 1.052 million units from 9,73,000 in June. It also said that the US housing starts soared by over 15 per cent in July, much above the market expectations of an increase of 8.6 per cent.
The FOMC minutes released on Wednesday showed that US officials were optimistic about the recovery in the job market. As this hinted at a sooner than expected increase in interest rates, gold got a thumbs-down from investors………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Gold To Fall Lower But Don’t Expect Prices To Collapse - Capital Economics

Posted on 22 August 2014 by VRS  |  Email |Print

An improving U.S. economy and growing expectations for an early rate hike will drag gold prices lower by the end of the year, but the impact will be limited says commodity economists at a leading macro-economic research firm.
Caroline Bain, senior commodity economist at Capital Economics said, in an interview with Kitco News, that they are currently in the process of revising their year-end price target for the yellow metal lower; the firm’s current price target is $1,400 an ounce………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Three reasons why gold is set to rally for the rest of 2014

Posted on 22 August 2014 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Scott Winship, portfolio manager of the Investec Global Gold fund, explains why gold is set to build on a strong first half of the year. In recent months there has been renewed investor interest in gold, with the first half of 2014 seeing the gold price rise by 10 per cent.
Investors have also tempered their gold ETF selling year on year. Last year saw global gold ETF holdings decline by 33 per cent as investors priced in tapering of QE and higher interest rates, but this year has seen a change in sentiment as year-to-date ETF holdings have only declined by 1.8 per cent………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Can Gold and Silver still meet the previous price forecasts?

Posted on 22 August 2014 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Today, our prediction for the high side in 2014 is $1,350/oz for gold and $22/oz for silver. In other words, we see silver potentially trading up to $22/oz this year but do not imply in any way that we expect silver to average $22/oz this year.
We think gold and silver have performed relatively well this year and showed strength toward the end of the second quarter. My feeling is that stronger gold and silver prices that we have seen earlier than anticipated this year is a reflection of global political tensions and maybe just a reminder that we are not out of the woods as far as U.S. economic performance is concerned. Earlier is better, and so we look for gold and silver prices to retain most of their gains in the third quarter………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Is the LBMA Silver Price more transparent than the Fix? Not yet!

Posted on 22 August 2014 by VRS  |  Email |Print

So now we have had three days of the new LBMA Silver Price – the new name for the London Silver Fixing given that the term ‘Fix’ is somewhat discredited in modern-day parlance. The banks involved in the old system, which had fallen to two, wanted to withdraw from it, in part because they felt the process, even if it was a totally honest system, which it probably was, could lay them open to having to defend expensive, and probably spurious, lawsuits and the London Bullion Market Association took upon itself to go out and set up some kind of new silver benchmarking process at very short notice.
And is this new process any more transparent than the old one – one of the main charges laid against the old Silver fixing process. The answer so far is probably not!……………………………………….Full Article: Source

US Mint Platinum Coins Bypassed in Rush for Gold

Posted on 22 August 2014 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Five months after the U.S. Mint began producing coins made with platinum, sales have all but collapsed as investors continue to favor gold and silver.
“It’s not considered a currency,” said Jason Carstensen, a medical-sales representative in Ventura, California, who spends about $2,000 a month on coins. Gold and silver have value as hedges against a devaluation of the dollar, while platinum is viewed as an industrial commodity, he said………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Peak Gold? Russia To Surpass Australia As World No 2 Gold Producer

Posted on 21 August 2014 by VRS  |  Email |Print

Another important player in the gold market at the moment is Russia. Their intentions are more realistic and not as ambitious of those of China. However, Russia sees gold as a valuable monetary asset that will protect the ruble in the continuing currency wars.
This is why, Russia has been one of the largest buyers of gold in recent months (see chart) - largest sovereign buyer and one of the largest buyers in general. Although we do not know how much gold the People’s Bank of China is quietly accumulating. Russia now looks set to become the world’s second largest producer of gold, after China and surpassing current world number two gold producer Australia………………………………………..Full Article: Source

Why Aren’t Gold Prices Rising?

Posted on 21 August 2014 by VRS  |  Email |Print

The numbers are in… In the second quarter of 2014, world central banks bought 117.8 tonnes of gold bullion compared to 92.1 tonnes a year earlier—a jump of 28%. Central banks have been net purchasers of gold bullion for 14 consecutive quarters!
According to the World Gold Council, “Economic and geopolitical events throughout the world are sources of ongoing instability and uncertainty. Such events reinforce the requirement for appropriate risk management by central banks through holding gold reserves for asset diversification.”……………………………………….Full Article: Source

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