Mon, May 2, 2016
A A A
Welcome Guest
Free Trial RSS
Get FREE trial access to our award winning publications
Alternative Market Briefing

ConvergeEx: Investors underestimate volatility potential

Friday, August 01, 2014

Bailey McCann, Opalesque New York:

Investment professionals say that investors are too complacent about the potential rise in volatility that could hit financial markets in the coming months according to new research from ConvergeEx Group. 71% of survey respondents expect volatility to climb from historically low levels by the end of September 2014, and even more (81%) expect a rise by the end of December 2014.

A majority of those surveyed identified U.S. Federal Reserve policy as the most likely driver of a near-term spike in volatility. Events in the Middle East came in second at 16% and Ukraine came in third at 14%. In line with those observations, respondents predict the VIX will be at 13.3 by the end of September 2014, and at 14.5 by the end of December 2014.

"We also have a clear picture of how record low volatility has hurt the sell side," says Tony Saliba, ConvergeEx Group executive managing director. "Two thirds of banks and brokers say the current environment has been bad or very bad for business."

An uptick in market volatility could actually be a blessing in disguise for some investors - particularly those with hedge fund allocations that have lagged behind in the low volatility environment. Still, investors are often unwilling to ride out volatility to reap those returns. Others who are not defensively positioned, may find volatility tough to take if they've been over reliant on the long only rally in recent quarters.

Survey respondent......................

To view our full article Click here

Today's Exclusives Today's Other Voices More Exclusives
Previous Opalesque Exclusives                                  
More Other Voices
Previous Other Voices                                               
Access Alternative Market Briefing


  • Top Forwarded
  • Top Tracked
  • Top Searched
  1. Hedge funds see $14.3bn outflows in Q1, CTAs and multi-strategy lead net inflows[more]

    Komfie Manalo, Opalesque Asia: The hedge fund industry saw net outflows of investor capital in the first quarter of the year, totaling $14.3bn, data from Preqin showed. This continues from the $8.9bn overall net outflows that funds recorded in Q4

  2. Third Point calls Q1 "catastrophic" for hedge funds[more]

    Bailey McCann, Opalesque New York: The first quarter of this year was rocky for hedge funds based on aggregate performance from the industry, but now we are beginning to hear what the managers thought of it as quarterly letters make their way to investors. Dan Loeb, CEO of New York-based $17 bill

  3. Asia - Stabilization of China's capital outflows may hinge on Janet Yellen, Fink says China to do well this year as bubble threat postponed, Chinese hedge fund to invest in India’s infrastructure[more]

    Stabilization of China's capital outflows may hinge on Janet Yellen From Bloomberg.com: Whether China’s recent stabilization of its currency and capital outflows continues -- or downside pressure reignites -- may hinge in large part on Janet Yellen. If the Federal Reserve chair sticks to

  4. …And Finally - After all, judges are human too[more]

    From Newsoftheweird.com: In March, one District of Columbia government administrative law judge was charged with misdemeanor assault on another. Judge Sharon Goodie said she wanted to give Judge Joan Davenport some files, but Davenport, in her office, would not answer the door. Goodie said once the

  5. Comment - Unmasking the men behind Zero Hedge, Wall Street's renegade blog[more]

    From Bloomberg.com: Colin Lokey, also known as "Tyler Durden," is breaking the first rule of Fight Club: You do not talk about Fight Club. He’s also breaking the second rule of Fight Club. (See the first rule.) After more than a year writing for the financial website Zero Hedge under the n