Mon, Oct 24, 2016
Welcome Guest
Free Trial RSS
Get FREE trial access to our award winning publications
Alternative Market Briefing

Chinese shadow banking concerns expand

Monday, February 03, 2014

Bailey McCann, Opalesque New York:

The size and scope of shadow banking activities in China is steadily increasing, raising some concerns about the overall stability of the system. The impact of bad debts in China’s shadow banking system is likely more important to the global economy than Fed policy, according to the latest research from Nikko Asset Management. Several property trusts have already defaulted, but with rising land prices and generous credit, these have managed to be "worked out." Recent defaults in the mining and industrial sectors with questionable collateral will likely have more serious repercussions, however.

The relationship between the supply of iron ore and steel consumption in China - one of the biggest commodity stories in recent years is also tied up in shadow banking. Report findings show that iron ore is expected to fall in price from its current price level of around $130 per ton towards $110-$120 per ton by 2018, as a result of increased supply from Australia and Brazil. As a key component in steel products, demand for iron ore has surged as a result of China’s ongoing urbanisation process. The inability of iron ore producers to increase supply incrementally has led to a quadrupling of the iron ore price over the past 10 years.

One of the biggest suppliers - Vale is on the verge of losing its title as the largest exporter of iron ore to Rio Tinto because of inconsistency in supply. Report authors suggest that this could happen within ......................

To view our full article Click here

Today's Exclusives Today's Other Voices More Exclusives
Previous Opalesque Exclusives                                  
More Other Voices
Previous Other Voices                                               
Access Alternative Market Briefing


  • Top Forwarded
  • Top Tracked
  • Top Searched
  1. M&A - U.S. hedge fund HarbourVest is shock winner in the £1.1bn SVG Capital takeover saga, Hedge fund Parvus shows hand, toppling William Hill merger deal[more]

    U.S. hedge fund HarbourVest is shock winner in the £1.1bn SVG Capital takeover saga From The fierce battle to buy Britain's biggest private equity group has come to an unexpected conclusion, with the original bidder walking away with the prize. SVG Capital has agreed

  2. Marc Lasry: Energy is still a phenomenal opportunity[more]

    From Distressed debt specialist Marc Lasry said energy debt is still a "phenomenal opportunity" because investors can get "massively overpaid" for the risk they take on. There are "huge opportunities" in the energy sector especially in restructurings, the Avenue Capital Group CEO said Tues

  3. Opalesque Exclusive: Ex-SAC manager re-emerges with market neutral hedge fund[more]

    Benedicte Gravrand, Opalesque Geneva for New Managers: A manager re-emerged from the SAC battleground last year to launch his own hedge fund under the umbrella of New York-based investment firm Endicott Group.

  4. North America - Hedge-fund manager Kyle Bass says the U.S. is on track for stagflation, Billionaire hedge fund titans Dinan, Lasry on election, markets and best investment ideas[more]

    Hedge-fund manager Kyle Bass says the U.S. is on track for stagflation From Kyle Bass, founder of Hayman Capital Management, on Wednesday warned that the U.S. is headed toward so-called stagflation. Stagflation is typically described as persistently high inflation and hi

  5. Other Voices: Follow the advice of investment consultants - I think not[more]

    Mark Rzepczynski, Founding Partner, Chief Investment Officer AMPHI Research and Trading, writes on Harvest Exchange: Investment consultants are a force to the reckoned with in the pension world. They advise and drive many pension decisions around the globe. Consultants literally control trillion