Wed, Jun 1, 2016
A A A
Welcome Guest
Free Trial RSS
Get FREE trial access to our award winning publications
Alternative Market Briefing

Other Voices: Roadmap to absolute returns, part 1

Monday, October 28, 2013

amb
Rene Levesque
By: Rene Levesque, Founder, Mountjoy Capital

"Past Performance Is No Guarantee Of Future Results" The studies are well documented on the fact that manager selection based on trailing performance metrics is a losing proposition. Chasing return profiles ultimately results in disappointments for the investor. New research now suggests a mean-reversion theory: outperforming and underperforming fund managers across the world showed the idea of mean reversion to be factually correct, suggesting that strong periods of outperformance can be followed by less attractive results, and that frequently strong periods of underperformance can be followed by improved returns.

Qualitative versus Quantitative

Quantitative tools do in fact help in building a case to justify manager selection decisions with evidence of hard data under the scrutiny of the investment committee members. Quote: "A judicious man uses statistics, not to get knowledge, but to save himself from having ignorance foisted upon him." (Thomas Carlyle) The process has evolved into a culture that imposes quantitative filters on a discipline better referred to as an art rather than a science. Plainly, the justification process has somehow drifted as the core of the evaluation and decision-making process; while the two being two very distinct activities.

The problem is acutely applicable in the evaluation and selection of abs......................

To view our full article Click here

Today's Exclusives Today's Other Voices More Exclusives
Previous Opalesque Exclusives                                  
More Other Voices
Previous Other Voices                                               
Access Alternative Market Briefing


  • Top Forwarded
  • Top Tracked
  • Top Searched
  1. Investing - Scientist turned hedge fund founder cuts profitable Aussie short, Pelargos joins hedge funds’ bet on turnaround at Honda, Managers set to cash in on infrastructure debt upswing[more]

    Scientist turned hedge fund founder cuts profitable Aussie short From Bloomberg.com: AE Capital, a hedge fund run by a former atmospheric scientist, trimmed bets against the Australian dollar as it gauges shifts in the world’s two biggest economies. The Australian, Canadian and New Zeala

  2. He's lost £200m in a year - so has Britain's star hedge fund boss Crispin Odey lost his golden touch?[more]

    From Thisismoney.co.uk: ...Odey’s laid-back attitude gave no indication of the turmoil his flagship fund had put investors through. It had tumbled 20 per cent in May – a terrible performance given most of his rivals were in positive territory for the year. Odey’s fund had got into trouble after taki

  3. Comment - If you’re such a great investor, where’s your alpha?[more]

    From Mineweb.com: … They are few and far between. You likely know their names. There is a short list of those who have 1) outperformed; 2) over long periods of time, and; 3) manage substantial sums of money. It’s impressive if you are on that list, but discouraging if you seek to invest institutiona

  4. European fund managers 'dressing up’ track record to gloss on performance[more]

    Komfie Manalo, Opalesque Asia: A new study by global analytics firm Cerulli Associates has found that the problem of 'dressing up' track records by fund managers is getting worse. In its latest issue of The Cerulli Edge - Europe Edition,

  5. Why the equity short bias hedge fund underperformed in April[more]

    From Marketrealist.com: The Barclay Equity Short Bias Hedge Fund returned -0.83% in April 2016. However, on a year-to-date basis, the fund provided a return of 3.4% through April 30, 2016. The equity short bias strategy works best when the Market is in a downturn. From January 2016 to mid-Febr