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Alternative Market Briefing

Egypt's stock market views the unrest as good news

Thursday, July 04, 2013

Benedicte Gravrand, Opalesque Geneva:

The Egyptian EGX 30 Price Return Index, which in the last month dropped by 14% and started rising again on 25th June, lost just 0.3% on July 3rd after gaining around 4.2% on July 2nd. According to Barronís, the equity market rally may be derived from local buying rather than foreign.

"Whatever you think about the rights, wrongs, or even terminology of military intervention, I think the likelihood of getting better economic policy has increased, and ultimately I think that is a positive for financial markets," Gabriel Sterne, a senior economist at the boutique investment bank Exotix, told the Wall Street Journal.

Most of the market stress was in the cost of insuring the countryís debt against default which went up to 950 basis points on Wednesday, from 878 basis points on Tuesday, the WSJ quotes data provider Markit as saying.

However, finalising the $5bn loan from the IMF will now be even more difficult. And at the same time, Egypt is still grappling with a deteriorating fiscal position.

Meanwhile, energy producers advanced today after crude prices surged to a 14-month high a......................

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