Sat, Jan 31, 2015
A A A
Welcome Guest
Free Trial RSS
Get FREE trial access to our award winning publications
Alternative Market Briefing

Stanley Druckenmiller: Expansion in credit during slower GDP growth is a problem for China

Tuesday, June 25, 2013

amb
Stanley Druckenmiller
Benedicte Gravrand, Opalesque Geneva: - In its latest Equity Research report, Goldman Sachs examines the rising cost of growth in China and Asia, which is hurting profits and returns. The authors, Hugo Scott-Gall and Sumana Manohar, ask two questions, namely, who does China need, and who needs China. "The answer to the first is solutions providers to the rising costs and constraints (e.g. energy efficiency, food science, shale expertise)", the report states. "Second, for those who need China, for either low-cost goods or capital (i.e. debt heavy, consumption-driven economies) or to buy hard commodities, the future maybe tougher, while those who rely on China as a source of export growth need to ensure that domestic competition won’t undermine them."

Stanley Druckenmiller, chairman and CEO of Duquesne Family Office (which used to be Duquesne Capital Management from 1981 to 2010), tells Goldman Sachs in an interview that the problem in China is in its expansion in credit just when the GDP growth is slowing down. He believes it is all due to the 2009-11 stimulus, which slowed down future growth by crowding out more productive investments.

"The system’s building enough leverage and misallocation of resources to warrant risks of a financial crisis," he adds, although the timing of such an event is uncertain. The credit growth outpacing economic growth that we see in China sinc......................

To view our full article Click here

Today's Exclusives Today's Other Voices More Exclusives
Previous Opalesque Exclusives                                  
More Other Voices
Previous Other Voices                                               
Access Alternative Market Briefing


  • Top Forwarded
  • Top Tracked
  • Top Searched
  1. Opalesque Exclusive: Ex-Citi trader launches 'sleep-at-night’ long/short equity fund[more]

    Benedicte Gravrand, Opalesque Geneva for New Managers: After working at Citi's proprietary trading desk, managing a large portfolio between 2008 and 2011, Joel S. Salomon founded SalaurMor Management in New Yor

  2. Investing - U.S. investors favor currency hedged Europe ETFs as euro tumbles, Quants win back investors as Swiss franc fuels volatility gains, David Einhorn's $7bn hedge fund is loading up on this stock, Hedge fund BlueMountain Capital unveils Ocwen Financial short, claims default on notes[more]

    U.S. investors favor currency hedged Europe ETFs as euro tumbles From Reuters.com: U.S. investors stung by the falling euro who want to stay invested in Europe are turning to exchange-traded funds designed to strip out the impact of the region's currency. The biggest among so-called "cur

  3. News Briefs - Millennials use tech tools to jump into investing, Winklevoss twins to launch bitcoin exchange with FDIC insured deposits, Robertson’s legacy from hedge funds to New Zealand, Real estate managers exploring smaller open-end funds[more]

    Millennials use tech tools to jump into investing It is the Facebookification of monetary investing. From social networking platforms that enable young investors to stick to every other's stock-picking mojo, to internet sites for initially-timers hungry for a piece of the Silicon Valley

  4. Update: Prosecutors seek 12 years for hedge fund manager Francisco Illarramendi[more]

    Komfie Manalo, Opalesque Asia: Federal prosecutors have asked the court to sentence convicted hedge fund manager Francisco Illarramendi to 12 years imprisonment for running an elaborate Ponzi scheme that bilked investors hundreds of millions in dollars, including a Venezuelan pension fund, report

  5. Institutions - Ontario pension fund leader calls all asset classes ‘expensive’, Taiwan's BLF plans $2bn in alternative mandates[more]

    Ontario pension fund leader calls all asset classes ‘expensive’ From WSJ.com: The head of one of the world’s largest pension funds said that across asset classes, “everything is expensive.” Ron Mock, who leads Canada’s $141 billion Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan, said that the plan would