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Alternative Market Briefing

Fund managers expect a slowdown in China but a continued boom in Japan

Wednesday, May 15, 2013

Beverly Chandler, Opalesque London: The latest fund manager survey from BofA Merrill Lynch finds that investors are positioning themselves for a slowdown in China and a prolonged period of low Inflation. Allocators are also scaling back in commodities, sending allocations to a four year low, and Emerging Market Stocks.

"May’s Fund Manager Survey demonstrates a clear exit from China and assets connected to China – in the shape of commodities and emerging market equities. But it’s worth noting that investors are keeping faith in global growth," said Michael Hartnett, chief investment strategist at BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research. "We see signs that Europe is the region investors are watching. They are increasingly aware of cheap valuations in European stocks, and concerns over sovereign risk in the region are dissipating," said John Bilton, European investment strategist.

A quarter of the respondents to BofA Merrill Lynch’s May survey reported that a hard landing in China and a commodity collapse is their number one "tail risk", an increase from 18% in April. A net 8% of fund managers in Japan, Asia-Pacific Rim and Global Emerging Markets expect China’s economy to weaken over the next 12 months, compared with a net 9% saying it would strengthen a month ago.

BofA Merill Lynch panellists also see little thre......................

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