From Komfie Manalo, Opalesque Asia:
According to Vineer Bhansali, managing director and portfolio manager, head of quantitative investment portfolios and a member of the asset allocation committee at PIMCO, it pays to be countercyclical in the context of tail risk hedging.
Speaking to Sona Blessing on Opalesque Radio, Bhansali elaborates on the trade-off between the cost of protection and securing returns, and instruments in the tool box that can be set up as hedges against political risk.
He says the main reason for countercyclical tail risk hedging is "because the prices of tail risk hedging move inversely to how the markets are doing. So when markets are falling and volatilities are high and everybody wants to buy tail risk protection - that is usually the worst time to be buying tail risk protection because it is very expensive. It actually makes more sense to be buying risky assets [then] because everybody else is selling risky assets. On the other hand when markets are rallying, for example equity markets have been up over 15% in the last 12 months or so, everybody forgets the last crisis and the price of protection falls. That is usually the best time to buy protection."
Bhansali shares that PIMCO’s tool kit is quite broad and when they think of tail risk hedging they are not always thinking of buying options.......................
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