Beverly Chandler, Opalesque London: On the back of regulatory change instituted by Guo Shuqing, chairman of the China Securities Regulatory Commission and other drivers for growth in the Chinese asset management industry, Cerulli Associates projects that the Chinese mutual fund industry's assets under management will grow at a four year compound annual growth rate of 13.3% to RMB3.9 trn (US$614.1 bn) by 2016.
Cerulli believes that Chinese investors will walk away from their direct equity culture and return to equity funds by 2014 or 2016. But the firm warns that the progressive, fast-paced regulatory moves will benefit only the largest asset managers.
The Cerulli Quantitative Update: Asset Management in China 2012 says the new regulatory direction has several side effects. "It creates simultaneous competition from other segments of the financial services industry, such as securities companies that are now allowed to create and sell a wide variety of products without having to seek approval from the regulator" the firm writes.
"Securities companies' new investment parameters include commodities futures, interest rate forwards and swaps, asset management products investing into securities firms' special projects, and wealth management schemes from commercial banks and trust companies" Cerulli says.
"These are the types of assets that wealthy invest......................
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