Dr. Ariel Sergio Goekmen Benedicte Gravrand, Opalesque Geneva:
Dr. Ariel Sergio Goekmen, Partner at Kaiser Partner Privatbank AG in Liechtenstein, a top-down investor, believes critical investors are uneasy about the hedge fund industry. He presented his views on the matter during Terrapinns Hedge Funds World conference in Zurich earlier this month.
"On the one hand you have a huge block of institutional investors who will need to invest in funds further in order to get liquidity out of their portfolios, and on the other, you have a group of private investors who are facing the problem of not being able to find the returns," he notes.
The game has changed for the hedge fund industry, he says, as indeed, it went from $38bn in AuM in 1990, $380bn in 1998 (after LTCMs collapse) to $2.5tln now.
"Its still a kind of a success story," he continues, "and people think that in the next three to five years, the hedge fund industry might manage up to $5 trillion. And that is despite, or maybe because, investors are not clever enough to understand hedge funds offering."
He quotes Nassim Taleb, author of the book "The Black Swan" and lecturer at New York university, who, in a new paper (Why It is No Longer a Good Idea to Be......................
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