Mon, May 29, 2017
A A A
Welcome Guest
Free Trial RSS
Get FREE trial access to our award winning publications
Alternative Market Briefing

Political and violent risk analysis can add value to trading decisions

Thursday, November 29, 2012

Bailey McCann, Opalesque New York:

Effectively measuring the possibility of political and/or violent risk in a given country can be beneficial to trading decisions according to Brian Lawson, Chief Global Economist at Exclusive Analysis. Lawson has had a 30-year career in investment banking, and is currently focused on studying risk factors such as political and violent risk. He recently spoke with Sona Blessing about these risk factors in an interview for Opalesque Radio.

Exclusive Analysis is a global specialist intelligence company that forecasts commercially political and violent risks worldwide.

According to Lawson, when it comes to assessing political risk a variety of factors are considered in assembling a given country’s risk profile – "we look at political instability, bribery and corruption, contract frustration, taxation, and currency risk." Each of these factors are scored, and then compared against other countries in order to establish a final political risk score.

A given political risk score and its components can provide early insight into potential upheaval. Lawson notes that his firm was able to see several potential trigger points which eventually played out as part of the Arab Spring early on. "We were very early in respect to Egypt, and Libya. We predicted the possibility of civil war in Syria," he says. While the firm could not know which of......................

To view our full article Click here

Today's Exclusives Today's Other Voices More Exclusives
Previous Opalesque Exclusives                                  
More Other Voices
Previous Other Voices                                               
Access Alternative Market Briefing

 



  • Top Forwarded
  • Top Tracked
  • Top Searched
  1. Investing - Tudor Jones backs AI hedge funds, Massive hedge fund trades highlight insider buying: GE, Pentair, Tempur Sealy, Apollo Global and more, Hedge funds big wigs are buying consumer and selling tech, here's the stocks[more]

    Tudor Jones backs AI hedge funds From FT.com: Hedge fund magnate Paul Tudor Jones has invested in a brace of artificial-intelligence powered "quantitative" hedge funds, underscoring the increasing acceptance that the industry will need to turn more to technology and away from traditional

  2. Soon hedge fund investors won't bet on a man, they will bet on a machine[more]

    From Forexlive.com: The Wall Street Journal is in the midst of a 17-part series that looks at the rise of quant funds. The AUM and money invested in quant funds still trails traditional asset managers but the gap is closing. What's truly amazing is volume. Quant funds make up 27% of trading vo

  3. Investing - China's HNA wants to invest in Value Partners, Risk parity investors reap rewards from rebalancing act, SoftBank's $100 billion tech fund rankles VCs as valuations soar[more]

    China's HNA wants to invest in Value Partners From Reuters.com: HNA Group has alighted on a logical, if pricey, target in Hong Kong. The deal-hungry Chinese travel conglomerate known for overpaying wants to invest in Value Partners, one of Asia's few sizeable independent asset managers,

  4. Opalesque Exclusive: Investors warm to ESG, but seek standardization[more]

    Bailey McCann, Opalesque New York: Asset managers and asset owners plan to double their investment in Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) driven strategies over the next two years, according to a survey from BNP Paribas Securities Services. The report, "Great Expectations: ESG - what's nex

  5. Opalesque Roundtable: France's hidden strengths in AI and machine learning[more]

    Komfie Manalo, Opalesque Asia: All nations offer their strengths and weaknesses, but one that is undisputed is the quality of the French scientists, claimed Guillaume Vidal, co-founder of French technology startup Walnut Algorithms at the