Fri, Nov 27, 2015
Welcome Guest
Free Trial RSS
Get FREE trial access to our award winning publications
Alternative Market Briefing

BlackRock, UBS examine fiscal cliff scenarios

Tuesday, October 09, 2012

Bailey McCann, Opalesque New York:

Global financial firms BlackRock and UBS released analyses today that look at what will happen if sequestration is allowed to kick in, in the US. According to report authors at the BlackRock Investment Institute (BII), a 'dangerous disconnect,' exists between professional investors and Washington experts. In recent BII-moderated discussions, Washington insiders predicted political dysfunction will push the nation off the cliff – if only briefly, providing politicians the necessary cover for compromise and a budget deal by fall 2013. However, this is a "dangerous disconnect," BlackRock says. "By contrast, most financial experts believe in an 11th-hour rescue that will enable the country to avoid a recession." With the S&P 500 near record highs, the markets have yet to price in the fiscal cliff "and assume QE infinity will drown out other factors," according to the report.

Report authors note that this expectations gap could create new investment opportunities in a variety of asset classes including - treasuries, munis and dividend stocks. "The country is on the wrong fiscal path. Mathematically, it is pretty easy to change the course through a combination of tax givebacks and spending cuts. Politically, this is very tough to do – unless Washington rediscovers the art of compromise......................

To view our full article Click here

Today's Exclusives Today's Other Voices More Exclusives
Previous Opalesque Exclusives                                  
More Other Voices
Previous Other Voices                                               
Access Alternative Market Briefing

  • Top Forwarded
  • Top Tracked
  • Top Searched
  1. Other Voices: Hedge fund marketing and the selling cycle[more]

    By Bruce Frumerman. How long is the selling cycle now? That’s a question my financial communications and sales marketing consulting firm has been asked on a regular basis by hedge fund firm owners and sales people, ever since we opened the doors to our firm in 1987 pre-crash. Wa

  2. People - Solus Alternative Asset Management adds chief strategist from BTIG[more]

    From Daniel Greenhaus joined hedge fund manager Solus Alternative Asset Management as managing director and chief strategist. He will work closely with Chris Bondy, Solus’ chief economist, managing director and executive vice president, said Chris Pucillo, CEO and chief investmen

  3. Opalesque Roundtable: Seeding deal terms can be onerous for hedge funds[more]

    Benedicte Gravrand, Opalesque Geneva for New Managers: Executives from fund of funds firms, family offices, a placement agent, a private equity firm, and an accounting firm gathered in Connecticut last month for the

  4. Opalesque Roundtable: Family offices flock to co-investment[more]

    Bailey McCann, Opalesque New York: Co-investments have been a hot topic for pension funds in recent years, as they try to move away from high fees and improve transparency. But now, family offices are more readily getting into the mix and establishing in-house deal teams, according to the delega

  5. More institutional investors invest in CTAs compared to last year despite dissatisfaction with performance[more]

    Benedicte Gravrand, Opalesque Geneva: "Despite a strong start to 2015 for CTAs in Q1, commodity market conditions have made return generation difficult for fund managers over much of the rest of the year to date," says Preqin’s November